15 Aug 2026 at 22:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ACE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 150.09 ACE at 0.135$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1321 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1888 (39.34 %)

ACE SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 15 Aug 2026 22:10 → 22:20 · 9 minutes

Position

Entry 0.1355$

Qty 150.0923 ACE

Size 20.3375$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1321 (+2.51%)

TP $ 0.51$

SL 0.1888 (-39.34%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.064

Status win PnL +2.51% / +0.51$ MAE -15.72% MFE +3.99% 0.1R expires 16 Aug 04:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 70894)
#41 / 41 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 15/08/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0000

Quality Score
0.228
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
10.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
15/08 22:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#41 / 41 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
39.34 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#41 / 41 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
39.34 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.12×ATR
4h clear 1.07×ATR
1d clear 0.52×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

15/08 22:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

15/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

15/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

15/08 21:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1557
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear expansion — +1
Tactical range compression — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.87
Transition risk : 0.13
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.67
Snapshot évalué : 15/08 22:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 15/08/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.2277
Score SMA
0.4671
Rank
#41 / 41
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.3237
Calculé le
15/08/2026 22:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2268 r1h: -8.534% · r4h: -7.995% · r1d: -29.06% · r3d: 29.64% · ema21_slope: -1.6237% · dist_ema21: -21.053%
Force Relative 25% 0.2500 rs_1h: -8.506% · rs_4h: -7.849% · rs_1d: -29.09% · rs_3d: 30.26% · beta_24h: 8.433
Volume 20% 0.1911 rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.426 · trend: -40.62%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3929 ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: 72.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 15.747% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -39.336% (0.0533)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.985% 0.1R -0.664% 0.0R 6.0× 12
2h +3.985% 0.1R -3.100% 0.1R 1.3× 24
4h +3.985% 0.1R -15.720% 0.4R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +3.985% 0.1R -15.720% 0.4R 0.3× 72
8h +3.985% 0.1R -15.720% 0.4R 0.3× 96
12h +3.985% 0.1R -15.720% 0.4R 0.3× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.17
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 37% mid — — 0.23 bear_high -5.07% +1.00 15/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 46% early — — -0.02 bear_medium -1.28% +1.00 15/08 20:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong fading compression bear_high
47%
noisy_chop 46% late — — -0.06 range_low -0.48% -1.00 15/08 21:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading normal bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 43% late near -0.4ATR — — range_low -0.02% -0.88 15/08 21:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 2b — 4.886×ATR p54 +0.602×ATR p37
4h ↑ up early 6b — 0×ATR p0 -0.354×ATR p23
1h ↑ up late 19b — 0×ATR p0 -2.61×ATR p89
15m ↓ down late 5b — 3.224×ATR p62 -3.179×ATR p93

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.18880055
  2. tp_price: 0.1321125
  3. atr: 0.02132022
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-16T08:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 41
  2. total: 42
  3. score: 0.2268
  4. delta_2h: -0.0607
  5. extension_atr: -1.73
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0
  9. confidence: 0.976

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1355 0.1888 0.1321 0.064 0.1893
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1355
  • Stop Loss: 0.1888
  • Take Profit: 0.1321

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1888 - 0.1355 = 0.0533

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1355 - 0.1321 = 0.0034

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0034 / 0.0533 = 0.0638

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
20.3375 20.3375 150.0923 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0533

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0533 = 150.09

Taille de position USD = 150.09 x 0.1355 = 20.34

Donc, tu peux acheter 150.09 avec un stoploss a 0.1888

Avec un position size USD de 20.34$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 150.09 x 0.0533 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 150.09 x 0.0034 = 0.51

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 0.51$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 150.09
  • Taille de position USD 20.34
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 0.51
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.0638

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 0.51 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
39.34 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
0.51 $ 2.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6642 % 1.69 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1355 0.1888 0.1321 0.064 0.1893
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1355
  • Stop Loss: 0.1888
  • Take Profit: 0.1321

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1888 - 0.1355 = 0.0533

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1355 - 0.1321 = 0.0034

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0034 / 0.0533 = 0.0638

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

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Extra SL data

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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -39.336% (0.0533)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.985% 0.1R -0.664% 0.0R 6.0× 12
2h +3.985% 0.1R -3.100% 0.1R 1.3× 24
4h +3.985% 0.1R -15.720% 0.4R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +3.985% 0.1R -15.720% 0.4R 0.3× 72
8h +3.985% 0.1R -15.720% 0.4R 0.3× 96
12h +3.985% 0.1R -15.720% 0.4R 0.3× 144

computed 1 month ago

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