Short Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 15227.65 ONDO at 0.327$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3259 (0.31 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3275 (0.18 %)
Short Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 15227.65 ONDO at 0.327$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3259 (0.31 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3275 (0.18 %)
Position
Entry 0.3269$
Qty 15227.6534 ONDO
Size 4978.3767$ (margin 100$) (leverage 50)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3259 (+0.31%)
TP $ 15.23$
SL 0.3275 (-0.18%)
SL $ 9.14$
RR 1.67
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4323
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 2.49×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.28×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 07:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.26938 15m : 0.334374 |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 16/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 16/08 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4792 | r1h: -0.071% · r4h: 0.569% · r1d: -0.40% · r3d: -2.73% · ema21_slope: -0.0312% · dist_ema21: 0.071% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4913 | rs_1h: -0.098% · rs_4h: 0.664% · rs_1d: -0.33% · rs_3d: -1.72% · beta_24h: 1.933 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2819 | rvol_20: 0.71× · zscore_50: -0.027 · trend: -11.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4845 | ADX: 12.7 (weak) · Chop: 53.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.501% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.447% | 2.4R | -0.012% | 0.1R | 36.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.447% | 2.4R | -0.184% | 1.0R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.447% | 2.4R | -2.083% | 11.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.447% | 2.4R | -2.154% | 11.7R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.447% | 2.4R | -2.154% | 11.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -5.08% | -0.95 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.52 | bear_medium | -1.33% | -0.16 | 16/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.56 | range_low | -0.49% | -0.01 | 16/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.45 | range_low | -0.12% | +0.11 | 16/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 6.007×ATR | p75 | -1.884×ATR | p87 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 17b | — | 2.895×ATR | p27 | -0.658×ATR | p37 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 2.537×ATR | p45 | +0.574×ATR | p33 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 20b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +2.225×ATR | p86 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63027.4
-0.00108552
62959
0.26938
63040.9
-0.00129934
62959
0.334374
63221.2
-0.00413254
62960
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0.482
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0.6852
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-9.4896
3.6873
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:38 | 0.32693000 | +0.009% |
| 2 | 07:44 | 0.32673000 | -0.052% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 04:40:00 | 0.3242 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 05:20:00 | 0.32472 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 06:05:00 | 0.3245 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 06:15:00 | 0.32317 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 06:35:00 | 0.32463 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 07:55:00 | 0.32484 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 08:10:00 | 0.32402 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 09:50:00 | 0.32613 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:25:00 | 0.32516 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 11:30:00 | 0.32698 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 15:15:00 | 0.32638 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:00:00 | 0.32454 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 20:00:00 | 0.32602 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:45:00 | 0.32554 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 0.32315 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 00:45:00 | 0.3284 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 02:00:00 | 0.32231 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 03:45:00 | 0.32555 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 06:15:00 | 0.32317 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 11:30:00 | 0.32698 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 0.337 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 14:00:00 | 0.33946 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 0.32998 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 21:00:00 | 0.32135 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 0.33145 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 0.3254 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 0.32969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 0.3284 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 02:00:00 | 0.32231 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 11:00:00 | 0.32698 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3269 | 0.3275 | 0.3259 | 1.67 | 0.4849 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3275 - 0.3269 = 0.00059999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3269 - 0.3259 = 0.001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.001 / 0.00059999999999999 = 1.6667
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4978.3767 | 100 | 15227.6534 | 50.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00059999999999999 = 13333.33
Taille de position USD = 13333.33 x 0.3269 = 4358.67
Donc, tu peux acheter 13333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.3275
Avec un position size USD de 4358.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 13333.33 x 0.00059999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 13333.33 x 0.001 = 13.33
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 13.33$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 15.23 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 9.14 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.23 $ | 0.31 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0122 % | 6.65 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3269 | 0.3275 | 0.3259 | 1.67 | 0.4849 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3275 - 0.3269 = 0.00059999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3269 - 0.3259 = 0.001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.001 / 0.00059999999999999 = 1.6667
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.447% | 2.4R | -0.012% | 0.1R | 36.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.447% | 2.4R | -0.184% | 1.0R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.447% | 2.4R | -2.083% | 11.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.447% | 2.4R | -2.154% | 11.7R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.447% | 2.4R | -2.154% | 11.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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