Short Trade on ACE (momentum_rotation_score)
With 189.09 ACE at 0.141$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1831 (30.04 %)
16 Aug 2026 at 08:10:04
hyperliquid
ACE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
16 Aug 2026 08:10
→ 11:05
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.1408$
Qty 189.0869 ACE
Size 26.6234$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 26.62$
SL 0.1831 (-30.04%)
SL $ 8$
RR
Status
win
PnL
+0.50%
/ +0.13$
MAE -0.71%
MFE +3.41%
0.1R
expires
16 Aug 11:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 71276)
#36 / 36
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 08:00
score du 16/08/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0313
Quality Score
0.237
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 08:01
16/08 08:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#36 / 36
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
30.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#36 / 36
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
30.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.55×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.81×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.55×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 08:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 16/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 16/08 07:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1567
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.67
Snapshot évalué :
16/08 08:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
16/08/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.2373
Score SMA
0.3265
Rank
#36
/ 36
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0313
Rank Norm SMA
0.0162
Calculé le
16/08/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2354 | r1h: -1.065% · r4h: -2.244% · r1d: -30.61% · r3d: 28.72% · ema21_slope: -1.2978% · dist_ema21: -10.456% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4125 | rs_1h: -1.039% · rs_4h: -2.124% · rs_1d: -30.56% · rs_3d: 29.50% · beta_24h: -15.435 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1518 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.758 · trend: -48.29% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2211 | ADX: 14.4 (weak) · Chop: 87.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.038% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -30.043%
(0.0423)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.705% | 0.1R | -0.710% | 0.0R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.983% | 0.1R | -0.710% | 0.0R | 4.2× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +3.409% | 0.1R | -0.710% | 0.0R | 4.8× | 36 |
| 4h | +4.261% | 0.1R | -0.710% | 0.0R | 6.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.398% | 0.2R | -0.710% | 0.0R | 7.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.605% | 0.2R | -0.710% | 0.0R | 9.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.4
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.23 | bear_high | -5.08% | +1.00 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | -0.02 | bear_medium | -1.33% | +0.99 | 16/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | -0.06 | range_low | -0.52% | -0.98 | 16/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | -0.07 | range_low | -0.11% | -0.46 | 16/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 4.68×ATR | p54 | +0.622×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.424×ATR | p27 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 29b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -1.678×ATR | p66 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 20b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.954×ATR | p36 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1408 | 0.1831 | 0.1824 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1408
- Stop Loss: 0.1831
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1831 - 0.1408 = 0.0423
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1408 - = 0.1408
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1408 / 0.0423 = 3.3286
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.6234 | 26.6234 | 189.0869 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0423
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0423 = 189.13
Taille de position USD = 189.13 x 0.1408 = 26.63
Donc, tu peux acheter 189.13 avec un stoploss a 0.1831
Avec un position size USD de 26.63$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 189.13 x 0.0423 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 189.13 x 0.1408 = 26.63
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 26.63$
Résumé
- Taille de position 189.13
- Taille de position USD 26.63
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 26.63
- Risk-Reward Ratio 3.3286
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 26.62 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 30.04 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.13 $ | 0.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7102 % | 2.36 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1408 | 0.1831 | 0.1824 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1408
- Stop Loss: 0.1831
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1831 - 0.1408 = 0.0423
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1408 - = 0.1408
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1408 / 0.0423 = 3.3286
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -30.043%
(0.0423)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.705% | 0.1R | -0.710% | 0.0R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.983% | 0.1R | -0.710% | 0.0R | 4.2× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +3.409% | 0.1R | -0.710% | 0.0R | 4.8× | 36 |
| 4h | +4.261% | 0.1R | -0.710% | 0.0R | 6.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.398% | 0.2R | -0.710% | 0.0R | 7.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.605% | 0.2R | -0.710% | 0.0R | 9.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.