Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 21129.92 XPL at 0.0775$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07826 (0.98 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07712 (0.49 %)
Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 21129.92 XPL at 0.0775$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07826 (0.98 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07712 (0.49 %)
Position
Entry 0.0775$
Qty 21129.9226 XPL
Size 1637.6113$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07826 (+0.98%)
TP $ 16.06$
SL 0.07712 (-0.49%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8512
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.28×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.13×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.02×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 08:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.124433 15m : 0.087296 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 16/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 16/08 08:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5777 | r1h: 0.382% · r4h: 1.037% · r1d: 0.36% · r3d: 4.61% · ema21_slope: 0.0660% · dist_ema21: 1.036% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5913 | rs_1h: 0.407% · rs_4h: 1.158% · rs_1d: 0.42% · rs_3d: 5.40% · beta_24h: 1.693 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2096 | rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.666 · trend: -9.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6415 | ADX: 17.4 (weak) · Chop: 38.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.112% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.404% | 0.8R | -0.643% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.404% | 0.8R | -0.643% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.404% | 0.8R | -1.125% | 2.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.404% | 0.8R | -1.933% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.404% | 0.8R | -4.665% | 9.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.00 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
43%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.41 | bear_medium | -1.29% | +0.47 | 16/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.39 | range_low | -0.50% | +0.22 | 16/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.09% | +0.11 | 16/08 08:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 43b | — | 7.955×ATR | p91 | -0.017×ATR | p1 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 22b | — | 3.218×ATR | p54 | +0.779×ATR | p53 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.117×ATR | p32 | +1.187×ATR | p66 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 0.51×ATR | p0 | -0.281×ATR | p13 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63016.3
-0.000704022
62972
0.124433
63026.5
-0.00086504
62972
0.087296
63259.9
-0.00459887
62969
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9482008279376
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
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[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
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0.076742
195
0.7208
0.572
0.3516
0.2498
0.435
0.5143
0.4249
0.7608
0.682
0.976
0.6226
0.7244
0.0745
0.0479
1
0.2166
0.7131
0.6
0.4
1
26
1
0.5005
0.4283
4.6703
0.55
0.5143
1.868
0.7131
0.7553
0.2417
0.96
0.4975
0.5599
0.5264
0.7187
0.7244
-1.6666
4.3808
1
0
2
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:50 | 0.07750200 | +0.003% |
| 2 | 08:56 | 0.07748200 | -0.023% |
| 3 | 09:33 | 0.07733700 | -0.21% |
| 4 | 09:45 | 0.07713900 | -0.466% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 07:55:00 | 0.077672 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 08:25:00 | 0.076742 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 09:00:00 | 0.07819 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 09:15:00 | 0.077438 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 09:50:00 | 0.078969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:30:00 | 0.077413 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 11:05:00 | 0.077572 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 11:55:00 | 0.078424 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:35:00 | 0.078645 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:50:00 | 0.07743 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 23:15:00 | 0.075368 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 01:00:00 | 0.076268 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 02:15:00 | 0.075808 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 04:00:00 | 0.078095 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 07:00:00 | 0.078197 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 07:15:00 | 0.076213 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 09:45:00 | 0.078969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:30:00 | 0.077413 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 12:30:00 | 0.078645 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:45:00 | 0.077438 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 0.073061 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 07:00:00 | 0.07591 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 0.073546 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 22:00:00 | 0.075494 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 08:00:00 | 0.073551 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 0.077425 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 0.075218 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 10:00:00 | 0.078341 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 23:00:00 | 0.075368 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 09:00:00 | 0.078969 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0775 | 0.07712 | 0.07826 | 2 | 0.09567 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07712 - 0.0775 = -0.00038000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0775 - 0.07826 = -0.00076
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00076 / -0.00038000000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1637.6113 | 100 | 21129.9226 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00038000000000001 = -21052.63
Taille de position USD = -21052.63 x 0.0775 = -1631.58
Donc, tu peux acheter -21052.63 avec un stoploss a 0.07712
Avec un position size USD de -1631.58$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -21052.63 x -0.00038000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -21052.63 x -0.00076 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.98 % | 16.06 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.49 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.03 $ | -0.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6426 % | 131.06 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0775 | 0.07712 | 0.07826 | 2 | 0.09567 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07712 - 0.0775 = -0.00038000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0775 - 0.07826 = -0.00076
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00076 / -0.00038000000000001 = 2
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[result] => loss
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.404% | 0.8R | -0.643% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.404% | 0.8R | -0.643% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.404% | 0.8R | -1.125% | 2.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.404% | 0.8R | -1.933% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.404% | 0.8R | -4.665% | 9.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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