Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 27426.38 XPL at 0.0771$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07772 (0.75 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07685 (0.38 %)
Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 27426.38 XPL at 0.0771$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07772 (0.75 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07685 (0.38 %)
Position
Entry 0.07714$
Qty 27426.3773 XPL
Size 2115.6982$ (margin 100$) (leverage 21)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07772 (+0.75%)
TP $ 15.91$
SL 0.07685 (-0.38%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8465
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.53×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.34×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.02×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 09:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.070601 15m : 0.080399 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 16/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 16/08 09:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5082 | r1h: -0.765% · r4h: -0.555% · r1d: -0.06% · r3d: 4.48% · ema21_slope: 0.0762% · dist_ema21: 0.318% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5078 | rs_1h: -0.728% · rs_4h: -0.423% · rs_1d: 0.04% · rs_3d: 5.59% · beta_24h: 2.453 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4483 | rvol_20: 1.57× · zscore_50: 0.144 · trend: 0.91% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6315 | ADX: 17.3 (weak) · Chop: 39.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.170% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.535% | 1.4R | -0.139% | 0.4R | 3.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.535% | 1.4R | -0.582% | 1.6R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.535% | 1.4R | -0.963% | 2.6R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.535% | 1.4R | -4.076% | 10.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.535% | 1.4R | -4.220% | 11.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.00 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.41 | bear_medium | -1.24% | +0.43 | 16/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.39 | range_low | -0.38% | +0.07 | 16/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_medium |
36%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -1.1ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.02% | -0.11 | 16/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 43b | — | 7.955×ATR | p91 | -0.017×ATR | p1 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 22b | — | 2.862×ATR | p51 | +0.554×ATR | p39 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0.659×ATR | p0 | -0.033×ATR | p5 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.097×ATR | p69 | -1.299×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63011.8
0.00050947
63044
0.070601
63040.5
5.48223E-5
63044
0.080399
63260.2
-0.00349743
63039
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3219403460355
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0.076742
194
0.6345
0.572
0.3477
0.2461
0.4308
0.5143
0.3827
0.739
0.682
0.94
0.6471
0.6489
0.0547
0.0413
0.6667
-0.2358
0.2475
0.6
0.4
1
27
1
0.5078
0.4283
4.6703
0.55
0.5143
1.868
0.2475
0.7553
0.2357
0.9
0.5783
0.5646
0.5398
0.8469
0.6489
-2.181
4.0312
1
0
2
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:51 | 0.07714100 | +0.001% |
| 2 | 11:09 | 0.07702900 | -0.144% |
| 3 | 11:15 | 0.07684700 | -0.38% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 08:25:00 | 0.076742 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 09:00:00 | 0.07819 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 09:15:00 | 0.077438 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 09:50:00 | 0.078969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:30:00 | 0.077413 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 11:05:00 | 0.077572 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 11:55:00 | 0.078424 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:35:00 | 0.078645 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:50:00 | 0.077418 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 13:40:00 | 0.077002 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 23:15:00 | 0.075368 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 01:00:00 | 0.076268 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 02:15:00 | 0.075808 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 04:00:00 | 0.078095 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 07:00:00 | 0.078197 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 07:15:00 | 0.076213 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 09:45:00 | 0.078969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:30:00 | 0.077413 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 12:30:00 | 0.078645 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 13:30:00 | 0.077002 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 0.073061 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 07:00:00 | 0.07591 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 0.073546 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 22:00:00 | 0.075494 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 08:00:00 | 0.073551 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 0.077425 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 0.075218 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 10:00:00 | 0.078341 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 23:00:00 | 0.075368 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 09:00:00 | 0.078969 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07714 | 0.07685 | 0.07772 | 2 | 0.09577 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07685 - 0.07714 = -0.00029
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07714 - 0.07772 = -0.00058
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00058 / -0.00029 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2115.6982 | 100 | 27426.3773 | 21.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00029 = -27586.21
Taille de position USD = -27586.21 x 0.07714 = -2128
Donc, tu peux acheter -27586.21 avec un stoploss a 0.07685
Avec un position size USD de -2128$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -27586.21 x -0.00029 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -27586.21 x -0.00058 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.75 % | 15.91 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.95 $ | -0.38 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4317 % | 114.84 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07714 | 0.07685 | 0.07772 | 2 | 0.09577 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07685 - 0.07714 = -0.00029
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07714 - 0.07772 = -0.00058
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00058 / -0.00029 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.535% | 1.4R | -0.139% | 0.4R | 3.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.535% | 1.4R | -0.582% | 1.6R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.535% | 1.4R | -0.963% | 2.6R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.535% | 1.4R | -4.076% | 10.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.535% | 1.4R | -4.220% | 11.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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