Short Trade on AAVE (BosPullback)
With 17.2 AAVE at 85.923$ per unit. Take profit: 84.7605 (1.35 %) & Stop Loss: 86.388 (0.54 %)
Short Trade on AAVE (BosPullback)
With 17.2 AAVE at 85.923$ per unit. Take profit: 84.7605 (1.35 %) & Stop Loss: 86.388 (0.54 %)
Position
Entry 85.923$
Qty 17.2049 AAVE
Size 1478.2958$ (margin 100$) (leverage 15)
Risk Setup
TP 84.7605 (+1.35%)
TP $ 20$
SL 86.388 (-0.54%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3060
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.59×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.67×ATR |
| 1d | near | -2.54×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 09:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 16/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 16/08 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4524 | r1h: -0.355% · r4h: -0.097% · r1d: -0.71% · r3d: -3.20% · ema21_slope: -0.0360% · dist_ema21: -0.337% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4623 | rs_1h: -0.318% · rs_4h: 0.035% · rs_1d: -0.62% · rs_3d: -2.10% · beta_24h: 2.405 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3534 | rvol_20: 1.58× · zscore_50: -0.327 · trend: -48.13% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4800 | ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 67.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.408% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.901% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.157% | 2.1R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.572% | 2.9R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.640% | 1.2R | -1.572% | 2.9R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.755% | 1.4R | -1.572% | 2.9R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -2.5ATR | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -5.14% | -0.82 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -1.7ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_medium | -1.24% | -0.20 | 16/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | normal | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.59 | range_low | -0.38% | -0.09 | 16/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_low |
35%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.02% | -0.00 | 16/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 20b | — | 4.558×ATR | p65 | -1.344×ATR | p72 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 26b | — | 4.126×ATR | p54 | -0.799×ATR | p47 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.112×ATR | p0 | -0.726×ATR | p47 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.704×ATR | p8 | -0.102×ATR | p5 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
86.351
148
0.2625
0.6555
0.424
0.2251
0.5867
0.4606
0.4789
0.5614
0.2797
0.377
0.6105
0.171
-0.062
-0.0627
0
-0.6002
-1.5272
0.3
0.7
-1
3
1
0.5498
0.5144
4.9136
0.65
0.4606
2.2632
-1.5272
0.6826
0.2888
0.36
-0.0585
0.4408
0.4422
0.9085
0.171
-11.1044
2.2911
1
0
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[price] => 86.868
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[price] => 87.231
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Array
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[time] => 2026-08-16 12:30:00
[price] => 85.629
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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85.637
86.351
86.351
85.637
86.154
85.033
85.5935
0.7744
87.187
86.363
86.775
0.6185
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85.923 | 86.388 | 84.7605 | 2.5 | 180.72 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 86.388 - 85.923 = 0.465
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 85.923 - 84.7605 = 1.1625
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.1625 / 0.465 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1478.2958 | 100 | 17.2049 | 15.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.465 = 17.2
Taille de position USD = 17.2 x 85.923 = 1477.88
Donc, tu peux acheter 17.2 avec un stoploss a 86.388
Avec un position size USD de 1477.88$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 17.2 x 0.465 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 17.2 x 1.1625 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.35 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.54 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7809 % | 144.29 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85.923 | 86.388 | 84.7605 | 2.5 | 180.72 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 86.388 - 85.923 = 0.465
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 85.923 - 84.7605 = 1.1625
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.1625 / 0.465 = 2.5
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.901% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.157% | 2.1R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.572% | 2.9R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.640% | 1.2R | -1.572% | 2.9R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.755% | 1.4R | -1.572% | 2.9R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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