Long Trade on CRV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1496.86 CRV at 0.246$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2595 (5.44 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2407 (2.19 %)
16 Aug 2026 at 11:19:07
hyperliquid
CRV
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
16 Aug 2026 11:19
→ 23:15
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.2461$
Qty 1496.8603 CRV
Size 368.3624$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2595 (+5.44%)
TP $ 20.06$
SL 0.2407 (-2.19%)
SL $ 8.08$
RR 2.48
Status
win
PnL
+1.95%
/ +7.17$
MAE -0.40%
MFE +3.62%
1.7R
expires
16 Aug 23:18
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 71373)
#7 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 11:00
score du 16/08/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8156
Quality Score
0.575
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 11:15
16/08 11:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#7 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#7 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.24×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 6.18×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.36×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 11:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 16/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 16/08 11:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1570
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.67
Snapshot évalué :
16/08 11:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
16/08/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.5754
Score SMA
0.4822
Rank
#7
/ 35
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8156
Rank Norm SMA
0.3573
Calculé le
16/08/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4769 | r1h: -0.439% · r4h: -0.707% · r1d: 2.33% · r3d: -2.57% · ema21_slope: 0.1152% · dist_ema21: 1.049% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4787 | rs_1h: -0.486% · rs_4h: -0.850% · rs_1d: 2.25% · rs_3d: -1.37% · beta_24h: -1.871 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5061 | rvol_20: 1.76× · zscore_50: 0.417 · trend: 7.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7428 | ADX: 29.1 (trend) · Chop: 32.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.980% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.194%
(0.0054)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.679% | 0.3R | -0.402% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.616% | 1.7R | -0.402% | 0.2R | 9.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.616% | 1.7R | -0.402% | 0.2R | 9.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.616% | 1.7R | -0.402% | 0.2R | 9.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.616% | 1.7R | -0.402% | 0.2R | 9.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.616% | 1.7R | -1.938% | 0.9R | 1.9× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.66
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.97 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.34 | bear_medium | -1.15% | -0.22 | 16/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | range_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.19 | range_low | -0.30% | +0.24 | 16/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.09% | -0.10 | 16/08 11:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.538×ATR | p0 | +1.258×ATR | p76 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.435×ATR | p0 | -0.01×ATR | p2 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.603×ATR | p47 | +0.526×ATR | p24 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 4.835×ATR | p89 | -1.268×ATR | p65 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8552
- reason: up_bo width=1.70×ATR dur=41b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.24074548
- tp_price: 0.25945131
- atr:
- score: 0.85524391385594
- expires_at: 2026-08-17T03:18:59.908646
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.85524391385594
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0613
- obi_top10 : 0.0795
- micro_price : 0.24641093
- spread_pct : 0.081169
- mid_price : 0.2465
- bid_wall_price : 0.245
- bid_wall_size : 963856.4
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.247
- ask_wall_size : 827787.8
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.061
- obi_top5_std : 0.0003
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6976
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.24295
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.239005
- balance_zone_mid:
0.2409775
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786748400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786892400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.7003
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
41
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8552
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786867200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.24295
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7561
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
7
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.3533
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
12
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00232025 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
41
inside_close_ratio
0.7561
bars_since_breakout
7
distance_to_edge_atr
1.3533
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:19 | 0.24609000 | -0.004% |
| 2 | 11:25 | 0.24609000 | -0.004% |
| 3 | 11:31 | 0.24609000 | -0.004% |
| 4 | 11:37 | 0.24592000 | -0.073% |
| 5 | 11:43 | 0.24592000 | -0.073% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6976ms
Confidence avant OB :
86%
→
86%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.061
avg 0.061
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.080
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2465
Micro Price
0.2464
Spread
0.0812%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.2450
Size
963,856.40
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.2470
Size
827,787.80
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2461 | 0.2407 | 0.2595 | 2.48 | 0.3771 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2461
- Stop Loss: 0.2407
- Take Profit: 0.2595
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2407 - 0.2461 = -0.0054
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2461 - 0.2595 = -0.0134
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0134 / -0.0054 = 2.4815
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 368.3624 | 100 | 1496.8603 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0054
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0054 = -1481.48
Taille de position USD = -1481.48 x 0.2461 = -364.59
Donc, tu peux acheter -1481.48 avec un stoploss a 0.2407
Avec un position size USD de -364.59$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1481.48 x -0.0054 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1481.48 x -0.0134 = 19.85
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.85$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1481.48
- Taille de position USD -364.59
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.85
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4815
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.44 % | 20.06 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.19 % | 8.08 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 7.17 $ | 1.95 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4023 % | 18.33 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2461 | 0.2407 | 0.2595 | 2.48 | 0.3771 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2461
- Stop Loss: 0.2407
- Take Profit: 0.2595
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2407 - 0.2461 = -0.0054
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2461 - 0.2595 = -0.0134
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0134 / -0.0054 = 2.4815
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.194%
(0.0054)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.679% | 0.3R | -0.402% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.616% | 1.7R | -0.402% | 0.2R | 9.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.616% | 1.7R | -0.402% | 0.2R | 9.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.616% | 1.7R | -0.402% | 0.2R | 9.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.616% | 1.7R | -0.402% | 0.2R | 9.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.616% | 1.7R | -1.938% | 0.9R | 1.9× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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