Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 40002 XPL at 0.0769$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07726 (0.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07666 (0.26 %)
Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 40002 XPL at 0.0769$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07726 (0.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07666 (0.26 %)
Position
Entry 0.07686$
Qty 40002.0001 XPL
Size 3074.5937$ (margin 100$) (leverage 31)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07726 (+0.52%)
TP $ 16$
SL 0.07666 (-0.26%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7593
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.11×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.73×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.02×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 11:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.101506 15m : 0.053987 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 16/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 16/08 11:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5024 | r1h: -0.241% · r4h: -0.875% · r1d: 0.09% · r3d: 3.11% · ema21_slope: 0.0799% · dist_ema21: -0.257% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5029 | rs_1h: -0.288% · rs_4h: -1.018% · rs_1d: 0.01% · rs_3d: 4.31% · beta_24h: 1.207 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2000 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.654 · trend: -17.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5632 | ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 46.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.135% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.541% | 2.1R | -0.302% | 1.2R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.541% | 2.1R | -0.302% | 1.2R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.541% | 2.1R | -0.708% | 2.7R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.541% | 2.1R | -3.871% | 14.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.541% | 2.1R | -3.871% | 14.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.00 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.41 | bear_medium | -1.15% | +0.35 | 16/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_high |
30%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.39 | range_low | -0.30% | -0.03 | 16/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
35%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.08% | -0.21 | 16/08 11:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 43b | — | 7.955×ATR | p91 | -0.017×ATR | p1 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 22b | — | 2.409×ATR | p20 | +0.184×ATR | p11 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 0.024×ATR | p0 | -0.516×ATR | p35 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 4.57×ATR | p88 | -1.578×ATR | p77 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63028.4
0.000913055
63086
0.101506
63038.5
0.000752209
63086
0.053987
63251.2
-0.00262843
63085
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0.076742
192
0.5443
0.5545
0.3456
0.2516
0.4225
0.5143
0.3705
0.7066
0.682
0.856
0.6323
0.592
0.0093
0.0263
0.3333
-0.6122
-0.1374
0.6
0.4
1
29
1
0.4968
0.4283
4.6703
0.5
0.5143
1.868
-0.1374
0.7553
0.2253
0.76
0.5311
0.5628
0.5023
0.8154
0.592
-2.9353
4.2585
1
0
2
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:21 | 0.07686100 | +0.001% |
| 2 | 11:27 | 0.07685400 | -0.008% |
| 3 | 11:33 | 0.07682600 | -0.044% |
| 4 | 11:39 | 0.07679500 | -0.085% |
| 5 | 11:45 | 0.07676700 | -0.121% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 09:15:00 | 0.077438 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 09:50:00 | 0.078969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:30:00 | 0.077413 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 11:05:00 | 0.077572 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 11:55:00 | 0.078424 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:35:00 | 0.078645 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:50:00 | 0.077418 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 13:40:00 | 0.077002 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:05:00 | 0.077553 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 15:15:00 | 0.076742 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 01:00:00 | 0.076268 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 02:15:00 | 0.075808 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 04:00:00 | 0.078095 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 07:00:00 | 0.078197 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 07:15:00 | 0.076213 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 09:45:00 | 0.078969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:30:00 | 0.077413 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 12:30:00 | 0.078645 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 13:30:00 | 0.077002 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 15:15:00 | 0.076742 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 07:00:00 | 0.07591 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 0.073546 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 22:00:00 | 0.075494 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 08:00:00 | 0.073551 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 0.077425 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 0.075218 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 10:00:00 | 0.078341 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 23:00:00 | 0.075368 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 09:00:00 | 0.078969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 15:00:00 | 0.076742 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07686 | 0.07666 | 0.07726 | 2 | 0.09588 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07666 - 0.07686 = -0.00019999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07686 - 0.07726 = -0.0004
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0004 / -0.00019999999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3074.5937 | 100 | 40002.0001 | 31.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00019999999999999 = -40000
Taille de position USD = -40000 x 0.07686 = -3074.4
Donc, tu peux acheter -40000 avec un stoploss a 0.07666
Avec un position size USD de -3074.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -40000 x -0.00019999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -40000 x -0.0004 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.52 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3018 % | 115.99 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07686 | 0.07666 | 0.07726 | 2 | 0.09588 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07666 - 0.07686 = -0.00019999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07686 - 0.07726 = -0.0004
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0004 / -0.00019999999999999 = 2
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[result] => loss
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.541% | 2.1R | -0.302% | 1.2R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.541% | 2.1R | -0.302% | 1.2R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.541% | 2.1R | -0.708% | 2.7R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.541% | 2.1R | -3.871% | 14.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.541% | 2.1R | -3.871% | 14.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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