Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 15613.41 NIL at 0.0465$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0475 (2.22 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04596 (1.1 %)
Long Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 15613.41 NIL at 0.0465$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0475 (2.22 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04596 (1.1 %)
Position
Entry 0.04647$
Qty 15613.4119 NIL
Size 725.5709$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 0.0475 (+2.22%)
TP $ 16.08$
SL 0.04596 (-1.1%)
SL $ 7.96$
RR 2.02
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6072
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.15×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.34×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.09×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 12:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.247275 15m : -0.148537 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_high_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 16/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 16/08 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4633 | r1h: -1.247% · r4h: -3.449% · r1d: -1.82% · r3d: 11.82% · ema21_slope: 0.0479% · dist_ema21: 0.689% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4514 | rs_1h: -1.266% · rs_4h: -3.604% · rs_1d: -1.85% · rs_3d: 12.28% · beta_24h: -8.075 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1867 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.550 · trend: -32.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5298 | ADX: 20.6 (weak) · Chop: 55.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7471 | ATR%: 3.759% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.691% | 0.6R | -2.135% | 2.0R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.691% | 0.6R | -2.135% | 2.0R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.691% | 0.6R | -3.267% | 3.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.146% | 2.0R | -3.351% | 3.1R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.296% | 8.5R | -3.351% | 3.1R | 2.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.33 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.99 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.24 | bear_medium | -1.15% | +0.95 | 16/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | -0.01 | range_low | -0.29% | -0.69 | 16/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | -0.09 | range_low | +0.09% | -0.21 | 16/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.558×ATR | p0 | +1.491×ATR | p70 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.604×ATR | p0 | +0.639×ATR | p47 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 2.306×ATR | p24 | +0.285×ATR | p12 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 0.88×ATR | p0 | -0.328×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63044.7
0.0023044
63190
-0.247275
63049
0.00223618
63190
-0.148537
63211
-0.00153534
63114
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0.8322
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10
1
0.5228
0.4307
4.6907
0.55
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3.7139
0.8322
0
0.2833
0.18
-0.485
0.3961
0.4785
0
0.6619
-4.5584
8.922
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 0.049783 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 11:00:00 | 0.047497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 11:30:00 | 0.049282 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:10:00 | 0.049705 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:55:00 | 0.04699 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 0.048464 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 14:45:00 | 0.047267 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 15:00:00 | 0.048427 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 15:55:00 | 0.047815 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:10:00 | 0.046471 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 19:45:00 | 0.052271 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:45:00 | 0.045658 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 01:00:00 | 0.047311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 06:00:00 | 0.043559 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 0.049783 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 11:00:00 | 0.047497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 0.049705 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:45:00 | 0.04699 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 0.048464 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 0.046471 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 09:00:00 | 0.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 13:00:00 | 0.043332 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 17:00:00 | 0.04026 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 06:00:00 | 0.041206 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 07:00:00 | 0.04375 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 16:00:00 | 0.040997 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 07:00:00 | 0.054116 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 19:00:00 | 0.052271 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 06:00:00 | 0.043559 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 0.049783 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04647 | 0.04596 | 0.0475 | 2.02 | 0.08716 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04596 - 0.04647 = -0.00051
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04647 - 0.0475 = -0.00103
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00103 / -0.00051 = 2.0196
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 725.5709 | 100 | 15613.4119 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00051 = -15686.27
Taille de position USD = -15686.27 x 0.04647 = -728.94
Donc, tu peux acheter -15686.27 avec un stoploss a 0.04596
Avec un position size USD de -728.94$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -15686.27 x -0.00051 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -15686.27 x -0.00103 = 16.16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.22 % | 16.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.1 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.96 $ | -1.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.8851 % | 171.76 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04647 | 0.04596 | 0.0475 | 2.02 | 0.08716 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04596 - 0.04647 = -0.00051
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04647 - 0.0475 = -0.00103
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00103 / -0.00051 = 2.0196
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.691% | 0.6R | -2.135% | 2.0R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.691% | 0.6R | -2.135% | 2.0R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.691% | 0.6R | -3.267% | 3.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.146% | 2.0R | -3.351% | 3.1R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.296% | 8.5R | -3.351% | 3.1R | 2.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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