Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 5.31 XMR at 413.21$ per unit. Take profit: 416.2226 (0.73 %) & Stop Loss: 411.7037 (0.36 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 5.31 XMR at 413.21$ per unit. Take profit: 416.2226 (0.73 %) & Stop Loss: 411.7037 (0.36 %)
Position
Entry 413.21$
Qty 5.3111 XMR
Size 2194.592$ (margin 100$) (leverage 22)
Risk Setup
TP 416.2226 (+0.73%)
TP $ 16$
SL 411.7037 (-0.36%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5708
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -2.08×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.75×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 12:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.081852 15m : -0.103015 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 16/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 16/08 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5806 | r1h: -0.075% · r4h: 0.632% · r1d: 1.79% · r3d: 3.84% · ema21_slope: 0.0610% · dist_ema21: 0.941% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5639 | rs_1h: -0.094% · rs_4h: 0.477% · rs_1d: 1.76% · rs_3d: 4.30% · beta_24h: 0.910 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8075 | rvol_20: 2.36× · zscore_50: 2.066 · trend: 79.65% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5279 | ADX: 17.8 (weak) · Chop: 53.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.837% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.046% | 0.1R | -0.293% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.605% | 1.7R | -0.293% | 0.8R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.605% | 1.7R | -0.980% | 2.7R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.605% | 1.7R | -1.392% | 3.8R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.816% | 2.2R | -1.392% | 3.8R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
72%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.95 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late_trend | bull_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -2.1ATR | 0.27 | bear_medium | -1.08% | +0.19 | 16/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.11 | range_low | -0.14% | +0.01 | 16/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.06 | range_low | +0.38% | -0.04 | 16/08 12:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 2.401×ATR | p0 | +1.978×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 3.409×ATR | p42 | +1.36×ATR | p77 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 0.303×ATR | p0 | +0.73×ATR | p42 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.217×ATR | p14 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63059.4
0.00391
63306
0.081852
63059.4
0.00376646
63297
-0.103015
63212.4
-0.000434352
63185
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415.45
194
0.7196
0.6857
0.3477
0.2818
0.4017
1
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0.5569
0.6747
0.6642
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0.8969
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0.0866
1
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1.802
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1
5
1
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0.8071
2.3759
0.65
1.2231
2.6274
1.802
0.362
0.2027
0.78
-0.0057
0.5717
0.4753
0.7215
0.8969
-1.2881
11.2045
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:27 | 413.21000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:34 | 413.03000000 | -0.044% |
| 3 | 12:45 | 412.64000000 | -0.138% |
| 4 | 12:51 | 412.32000000 | -0.215% |
| 5 | 12:57 | 412.01000000 | -0.29% |
| 6 | 13:04 | 412.33000000 | -0.213% |
| 7 | 13:09 | 412.01000000 | -0.29% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 09:55:00 | 411.25 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:20:00 | 407.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 11:00:00 | 407.94 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 11:35:00 | 415.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:50:00 | 410.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 14:15:00 | 415.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:35:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 15:25:00 | 417.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:20:00 | 412.9 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 02:45:00 | 410.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 03:45:00 | 414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 06:15:00 | 409.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 07:30:00 | 413.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:15:00 | 407.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 11:30:00 | 415.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:45:00 | 410.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 14:30:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:15:00 | 413.81 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 08:00:00 | 393.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 12:00:00 | 403.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:00:00 | 394.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:00:00 | 409 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 401 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 416.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 407.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 03:00:00 | 414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 407.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 413.21 | 411.7037 | 416.2226 | 2 | 552.01 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 411.7037 - 413.21 = -1.5063
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 413.21 - 416.2226 = -3.0126
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.0126 / -1.5063 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2194.592 | 100 | 5.3111 | 22.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.5063 = -5.31
Taille de position USD = -5.31 x 413.21 = -2194.15
Donc, tu peux acheter -5.31 avec un stoploss a 411.7037
Avec un position size USD de -2194.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5.31 x -1.5063 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5.31 x -3.0126 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.73 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4864 % | 133.44 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 413.21 | 411.7037 | 416.2226 | 2 | 552.01 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 411.7037 - 413.21 = -1.5063
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 413.21 - 416.2226 = -3.0126
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.0126 / -1.5063 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.046% | 0.1R | -0.293% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.605% | 1.7R | -0.293% | 0.8R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.605% | 1.7R | -0.980% | 2.7R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.605% | 1.7R | -1.392% | 3.8R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.816% | 2.2R | -1.392% | 3.8R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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