Long Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 2430.6 FARTCOIN at 0.145$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1535 (5.64 %) & Stop Loss: 0.142 (2.27 %)
16 Aug 2026 at 13:20:46
hyperliquid
FARTCOIN
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
16 Aug 2026 13:20
→ 17:40
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.1453$
Qty 2430.5988 FARTCOIN
Size 353.2146$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1535 (+5.64%)
TP $ 19.93$
SL 0.142 (-2.27%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.48
Status
loss
PnL
-2.27%
/ -8.02$
MAE -3.52%
MFE +0.89%
0.4R
expires
17 Aug 01:20
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 71458)
#9 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 13:00
score du 16/08/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7427
Quality Score
0.627
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 13:16
16/08 13:16
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#9 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#9 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.57×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.64×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.46×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 13:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 16/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 16/08 13:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1572
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.67
Snapshot évalué :
16/08 13:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
16/08/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.6270
Score SMA
0.5686
Rank
#9
/ 35
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7427
Rank Norm SMA
0.8061
Calculé le
16/08/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6440 | r1h: 1.124% · r4h: 1.414% · r1d: 1.66% · r3d: 9.51% · ema21_slope: 0.0167% · dist_ema21: 1.066% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6517 | rs_1h: 0.883% · rs_4h: 0.974% · rs_1d: 1.37% · rs_3d: 9.30% · beta_24h: 3.240 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4390 | rvol_20: 1.41× · zscore_50: 0.676 · trend: -13.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5535 | ADX: 23.9 (weak) · Chop: 56.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.033% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.271%
(0.0033)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.833% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.014% | 0.0R | -0.833% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.888% | 0.4R | -1.494% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.888% | 0.4R | -3.524% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.888% | 0.4R | -3.524% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 143 |
| 24h | +0.888% | 0.4R | -3.524% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.27
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.94 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.56 | bear_medium | -0.88% | +0.72 | 16/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near -1.6ATR | 0.48 | range_low | -0.13% | +0.20 | 16/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -1.5ATR | — | range_low | +0.22% | +0.10 | 16/08 13:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 18b | — | 3.126×ATR | p16 | +1.08×ATR | p61 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 2.992×ATR | p41 | +1.461×ATR | p80 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.644×ATR | p57 | +1.287×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 1.282×ATR | p0 | +2.369×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7901
- reason: up_bo width=2.02×ATR dur=40b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.14202863
- tp_price: 0.15354842
- atr:
- score: 0.79014776732182
- expires_at: 2026-08-17T05:20:38.343200
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79014776732182
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.075
- obi_top10 : -0.0285
- micro_price : 0.14517118
- spread_pct : 0.068918
- mid_price : 0.14515
- bid_wall_price : 0.144
- bid_wall_size : 1951214.88
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.146
- ask_wall_size : 1842865.32
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.075
- obi_top5_std : 0.0001
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7036
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.14365
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.1407
- balance_zone_mid:
0.142175
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786759200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786899600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.0155
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
40
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7901
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786896000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.14365
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.625
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.141
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00146366 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
40
inside_close_ratio
0.625
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.141
Signaux confirmants (18)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:20 | 0.14532000 | +0.014% |
| 2 | 13:26 | 0.14532000 | +0.014% |
| 3 | 13:33 | 0.14532000 | +0.014% |
| 4 | 13:38 | 0.14464000 | -0.454% |
| 5 | 13:44 | 0.14464000 | -0.454% |
| 6 | 13:50 | 0.14444000 | -0.592% |
| 7 | 13:56 | 0.14444000 | -0.592% |
| 8 | 14:03 | 0.14444000 | -0.592% |
| 9 | 14:09 | 0.14460000 | -0.482% |
| 10 | 14:14 | 0.14460000 | -0.482% |
| 11 | 14:20 | 0.14478000 | -0.358% |
| 12 | 14:26 | 0.14478000 | -0.358% |
| 13 | 14:33 | 0.14478000 | -0.358% |
| 14 | 14:38 | 0.14432000 | -0.674% |
| 15 | 14:44 | 0.14432000 | -0.674% |
| 16 | 14:50 | 0.14496000 | -0.234% |
| 17 | 14:56 | 0.14496000 | -0.234% |
| 18 | 15:03 | 0.14496000 | -0.234% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7036ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.075
avg 0.075
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
-0.029
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1452
Micro Price
0.1452
Spread
0.0689%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1440
Size
1,951,214.88
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1460
Size
1,842,865.32
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1453 | 0.142 | 0.1535 | 2.48 | 0.177 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1453
- Stop Loss: 0.142
- Take Profit: 0.1535
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.142 - 0.1453 = -0.0033
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1453 - 0.1535 = -0.0082
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0082 / -0.0033 = 2.4848
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 353.2146 | 100 | 2430.5988 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0033
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0033 = -2424.24
Taille de position USD = -2424.24 x 0.1453 = -352.24
Donc, tu peux acheter -2424.24 avec un stoploss a 0.142
Avec un position size USD de -352.24$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2424.24 x -0.0033 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2424.24 x -0.0082 = 19.88
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.88$
Résumé
- Taille de position -2424.24
- Taille de position USD -352.24
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.88
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4848
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.64 % | 19.93 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.27 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -2.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5189 % | 110.91 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1453 | 0.142 | 0.1535 | 2.48 | 0.177 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1453
- Stop Loss: 0.142
- Take Profit: 0.1535
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.142 - 0.1453 = -0.0033
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1453 - 0.1535 = -0.0082
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0082 / -0.0033 = 2.4848
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1535
[entry_price] => 0.1453
[stop_loss] => 0.14167
[rr_ratio] => 2.26
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 21:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1535
[entry_price] => 0.1453
[stop_loss] => 0.14134
[rr_ratio] => 2.07
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 21:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1535
[entry_price] => 0.1453
[stop_loss] => 0.14101
[rr_ratio] => 1.91
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 21:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1535
[entry_price] => 0.1453
[stop_loss] => 0.14035
[rr_ratio] => 1.66
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 21:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.271%
(0.0033)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.833% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.014% | 0.0R | -0.833% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.888% | 0.4R | -1.494% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.888% | 0.4R | -3.524% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.888% | 0.4R | -3.524% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 143 |
| 24h | +0.888% | 0.4R | -3.524% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.