Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 6.35 ZEC at 490.58$ per unit. Take profit: 493.099 (0.51 %) & Stop Loss: 489.3205 (0.26 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 6.35 ZEC at 490.58$ per unit. Take profit: 493.099 (0.51 %) & Stop Loss: 489.3205 (0.26 %)
Position
Entry 490.58$
Qty 6.3518 ZEC
Size 3116.0721$ (margin 100$) (leverage 31)
Risk Setup
TP 493.099 (+0.51%)
TP $ 16$
SL 489.3205 (-0.26%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4776
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.12×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.72×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.64×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 13:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.188666 15m : 0.40404 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 16/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 16/08 13:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5370 | r1h: -0.010% · r4h: 1.894% · r1d: 0.51% · r3d: 1.64% · ema21_slope: 0.0116% · dist_ema21: 0.980% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5345 | rs_1h: -0.251% · rs_4h: 1.454% · rs_1d: 0.22% · rs_3d: 1.43% · beta_24h: 1.715 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6835 | rvol_20: 2.04× · zscore_50: 1.027 · trend: 76.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6083 | ADX: 18.7 (weak) · Chop: 44.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.543% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.237% | 0.9R | -0.055% | 0.2R | 4.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.377% | 1.5R | -0.055% | 0.2R | 6.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.377% | 1.5R | -1.246% | 4.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.402% | 1.6R | -1.246% | 4.9R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.572% | 6.1R | -1.246% | 4.9R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.47 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.28 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_medium | -0.88% | +0.10 | 16/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | range_medium |
41%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.53 | range_low | -0.27% | +0.06 | 16/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_low |
36%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.35 | range_low | +0.06% | +0.12 | 16/08 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 18b | — | 1.435×ATR | p0 | -0.397×ATR | p22 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 0.865×ATR | p0 | +0.482×ATR | p33 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 3.116×ATR | p77 | +1.204×ATR | p68 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 2.882×ATR | p36 | +0.013×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63096
0.000443428
63124
0.188666
63072.4
0.000833191
63125
0.40404
63146.1
-0.000715265
63101
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 16:00:00
[1] => 482.56
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 06:00:00
[1] => 495
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 14:00:00
[1] => 480.39
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 01:00:00
[1] => 498.75
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 10:00:00
[1] => 487.5
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 11:00:00
[1] => 492.39
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 18:00:00
[1] => 485.86
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 06:00:00
[1] => 483.97
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 12:00:00
[1] => 484.26
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 15:00:00
[1] => 495.54
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0614682972111
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2431338537149
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3293272209144
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 02:15:00
[1] => 484.45
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 02:30:00
[1] => 487.51
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 05:00:00
[1] => 488.84
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 06:15:00
[1] => 483.97
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 06:45:00
[1] => 488.73
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 09:30:00
[1] => 489.39
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 10:15:00
[1] => 485.07
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 12:15:00
[1] => 484.26
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 15:00:00
[1] => 495.54
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 17:45:00
[1] => 489.85
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.99285627799976
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.15719097682964
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1615800755333
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 11:25:00
[1] => 486.54
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 12:15:00
[1] => 484.26
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 13:15:00
[1] => 487.67
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 15:00:00
[1] => 495.54
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 15:30:00
[1] => 495.32
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 16:15:00
[1] => 494.43
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 16:20:00
[1] => 492.75
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 17:00:00
[1] => 492.02
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 17:30:00
[1] => 493.68
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 17:45:00
[1] => 489.85
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.62793712526333
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.14902521179952
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.78187200163315
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
495.54
197
0.7153
0.7328
0.2923
0.2166
0.3542
1
0.1018
0.6306
0.6482
0.4927
0.591
0.6902
0.1364
0.0479
1
0.379
0.4062
0.5
0.5
1
2
1
0.5668
0.7983
4.0896
0.6
2.1988
4.6671
0.4062
0
0.2651
0.42
0.061
0.4614
0.4773
0
0.6902
-3.0916
6.8887
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:51 | 490.58000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:10 | 490.61000000 | +0.006% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 11:25:00 | 486.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:15:00 | 484.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 13:15:00 | 487.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 15:00:00 | 495.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 15:30:00 | 495.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:15:00 | 494.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:20:00 | 492.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:00:00 | 492.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:30:00 | 493.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 17:45:00 | 489.85 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 02:15:00 | 484.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 02:30:00 | 487.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 05:00:00 | 488.84 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 06:15:00 | 483.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 06:45:00 | 488.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 09:30:00 | 489.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:15:00 | 485.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 12:15:00 | 484.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 15:00:00 | 495.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 17:45:00 | 489.85 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 482.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 06:00:00 | 495 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 14:00:00 | 480.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 01:00:00 | 498.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 10:00:00 | 487.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:00:00 | 492.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 18:00:00 | 485.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 06:00:00 | 483.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 484.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 15:00:00 | 495.54 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 490.58 | 489.3205 | 493.099 | 2 | 1328.6 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 489.3205 - 490.58 = -1.2595
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 490.58 - 493.099 = -2.519
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.519 / -1.2595 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3116.0721 | 100 | 6.3518 | 31.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.2595 = -6.35
Taille de position USD = -6.35 x 490.58 = -3115.18
Donc, tu peux acheter -6.35 avec un stoploss a 489.3205
Avec un position size USD de -3115.18$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -6.35 x -1.2595 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -6.35 x -2.519 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.51 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.369 % | 143.75 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 490.58 | 489.3205 | 493.099 | 2 | 1328.6 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 489.3205 - 490.58 = -1.2595
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 490.58 - 493.099 = -2.519
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.519 / -1.2595 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 493.099
[entry_price] => 490.58
[stop_loss] => 489.19455
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 20:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 493.099
[entry_price] => 490.58
[stop_loss] => 489.0686
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 20:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 493.099
[entry_price] => 490.58
[stop_loss] => 488.94265
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 20:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 493.099
[entry_price] => 490.58
[stop_loss] => 488.69075
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 20:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.237% | 0.9R | -0.055% | 0.2R | 4.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.377% | 1.5R | -0.055% | 0.2R | 6.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.377% | 1.5R | -1.246% | 4.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.402% | 1.6R | -1.246% | 4.9R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.572% | 6.1R | -1.246% | 4.9R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.