Long Trade on HYPE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 14.76 HYPE at 57.552$ per unit. Take profit: 58.907 (2.35 %) & Stop Loss: 57.01 (0.94 %)
16 Aug 2026 at 14:08:54
hyperliquid
HYPE
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
16 Aug 2026 14:08
→ 22:50
· 8 hours
Position
Entry 57.552$
Qty 14.7596 HYPE
Size 849.4449$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 58.907 (+2.35%)
TP $ 20$
SL 57.01 (-0.94%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+2.35%
/ +20$
MAE -0.92%
MFE +2.82%
3.0R
expires
17 Aug 02:08
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 71492)
#6 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 14:00
score du 16/08/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6127
Quality Score
0.629
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
69 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
80.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 14:02
16/08 14:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
69 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
69 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.67×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.77×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.10×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 14:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 16/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 16/08 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1573
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.67
Snapshot évalué :
16/08 14:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
16/08/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.6290
Score SMA
0.5290
Rank
#6
/ 35
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6127
Rank Norm SMA
0.6661
Calculé le
16/08/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5633 | r1h: -0.042% · r4h: 1.022% · r1d: 1.27% · r3d: 0.65% · ema21_slope: 0.0615% · dist_ema21: 0.925% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5466 | rs_1h: 0.163% · rs_4h: 0.925% · rs_1d: 1.18% · rs_3d: 0.69% · beta_24h: 1.562 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6227 | rvol_20: 1.93× · zscore_50: 1.134 · trend: 38.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6590 | ADX: 28.1 (trend) · Chop: 47.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.528% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.942%
(0.5420)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.235% | 0.3R | -0.273% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.659% | 0.7R | -0.273% | 0.3R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.659% | 0.7R | -0.714% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.510% | 1.6R | -0.923% | 1.0R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.822% | 3.0R | -0.923% | 1.0R | 3.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.035% | 4.3R | -0.923% | 1.0R | 4.4× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.78
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.31 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | bear_medium | -0.88% | +0.17 | 16/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -1.7ATR | 0.48 | range_low | -0.27% | +0.16 | 16/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_low |
37%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.06% | +0.08 | 16/08 13:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 2.455×ATR | p0 | +0.347×ATR | p24 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.537×ATR | p52 | +1.568×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 2.895×ATR | p57 | +2.287×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0.903×ATR | p3 | +1.164×ATR | p58 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.6917
- reason: up_bo width=2.05×ATR dur=24b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 57.00998016
- tp_price: 58.90704959
- atr:
- score: 0.79166839255204
- expires_at: 2026-08-17T06:08:46.980094
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79166839255204
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.2136
- obi_top10 : -0.2136
- micro_price : 57.56536238
- spread_pct : 0.001737
- mid_price : 57.5655
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.2126
- obi_top5_std : 0.0106
- pressure_side : ask
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6943
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
57.35
- balance_zone_bottom:
56.7305
- balance_zone_mid:
57.04025
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786820400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786903200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.0466
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
24
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7917
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786892400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
57.35
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6667
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
3
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.6673
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
3
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.30269837 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
24
inside_close_ratio
0.6667
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6673
Signaux confirmants (30)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:08 | 57.55200000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:14 | 57.55200000 | 0% |
| 3 | 14:20 | 57.39900000 | -0.266% |
| 4 | 14:26 | 57.39900000 | -0.266% |
| 5 | 14:33 | 57.39900000 | -0.266% |
| 6 | 14:38 | 57.61400000 | +0.108% |
| 7 | 14:44 | 57.61400000 | +0.108% |
| 8 | 14:50 | 57.66300000 | +0.193% |
| 9 | 14:56 | 57.66300000 | +0.193% |
| 10 | 15:03 | 57.66300000 | +0.193% |
| 11 | 15:08 | 57.62000000 | +0.118% |
| 12 | 15:14 | 57.62000000 | +0.118% |
| 13 | 15:20 | 57.66700000 | +0.2% |
| 14 | 15:26 | 57.66700000 | +0.2% |
| 15 | 15:33 | 57.66700000 | +0.2% |
| 16 | 15:38 | 57.80300000 | +0.436% |
| 17 | 15:44 | 57.80300000 | +0.436% |
| 18 | 15:50 | 57.73200000 | +0.313% |
| 19 | 15:56 | 57.73200000 | +0.313% |
| 20 | 16:03 | 57.73200000 | +0.313% |
| 21 | 16:08 | 57.76300000 | +0.367% |
| 22 | 16:14 | 57.76300000 | +0.367% |
| 23 | 16:20 | 57.68400000 | +0.229% |
| 24 | 16:26 | 57.68400000 | +0.229% |
| 25 | 16:33 | 57.68400000 | +0.229% |
| 26 | 16:38 | 57.59200000 | +0.07% |
| 27 | 16:44 | 57.59200000 | +0.07% |
| 28 | 16:50 | 57.63700000 | +0.148% |
| 29 | 16:56 | 57.63700000 | +0.148% |
| 30 | 17:03 | 57.63700000 | +0.148% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↓ ask
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6943ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
69%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.214
avg -0.213
± 0.011
OBI Top 10
-0.214
Microstructure
Mid Price
57.5655
Micro Price
57.5654
Spread
0.0017%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.552 | 57.01 | 58.907 | 2.5 | 90.216 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 57.552
- Stop Loss: 57.01
- Take Profit: 58.907
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 57.01 - 57.552 = -0.542
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 57.552 - 58.907 = -1.355
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.355 / -0.542 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 849.4449 | 100 | 14.7596 | 8.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.542
Taille de position = 8 / -0.542 = -14.76
Taille de position USD = -14.76 x 57.552 = -849.47
Donc, tu peux acheter -14.76 avec un stoploss a 57.01
Avec un position size USD de -849.47$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -14.76 x -0.542 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -14.76 x -1.355 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -14.76
- Taille de position USD -849.47
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.35 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.94 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 2.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9226 % | 97.96 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.552 | 57.01 | 58.907 | 2.5 | 90.216 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 57.552
- Stop Loss: 57.01
- Take Profit: 58.907
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 57.01 - 57.552 = -0.542
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 57.552 - 58.907 = -1.355
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.355 / -0.542 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.942%
(0.5420)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.235% | 0.3R | -0.273% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.659% | 0.7R | -0.273% | 0.3R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.659% | 0.7R | -0.714% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.510% | 1.6R | -0.923% | 1.0R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.822% | 3.0R | -0.923% | 1.0R | 3.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.035% | 4.3R | -0.923% | 1.0R | 4.4× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.