Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 1753.24 ETHFI at 0.506$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5157 (1.82 %) & Stop Loss: 0.502 (0.89 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 1753.24 ETHFI at 0.506$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5157 (1.82 %) & Stop Loss: 0.502 (0.89 %)
Position
Entry 0.5065$
Qty 1753.2364 ETHFI
Size 888.0843$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5157 (+1.82%)
TP $ 16.13$
SL 0.502 (-0.89%)
SL $ 7.89$
RR 2.04
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9537
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.13×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 14:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.121341 15m : 0.244335 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 16/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 16/08 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8160 | r1h: -0.325% · r4h: 3.922% · r1d: 7.41% · r3d: 23.54% · ema21_slope: 0.2911% · dist_ema21: 4.888% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7911 | rs_1h: -0.121% · rs_4h: 3.826% · rs_1d: 7.32% · rs_3d: 23.59% · beta_24h: 2.413 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4384 | rvol_20: 1.24× · zscore_50: -0.134 · trend: 46.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9122 | ADX: 49.5 (trend) · Chop: 25.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.703% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.238% | 1.4R | -0.138% | 0.2R | 9.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.238% | 1.4R | -0.138% | 0.2R | 9.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.238% | 1.4R | -1.084% | 1.2R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.238% | 1.4R | -1.123% | 1.3R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.012% | 2.3R | -1.123% | 1.3R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -5.14% | +0.93 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.33 | bear_medium | -0.88% | +1.00 | 16/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.22 | range_low | -0.27% | +0.66 | 16/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.06% | +0.59 | 16/08 13:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 4.541×ATR | p61 | +2.324×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 30b | — | 9.347×ATR | p100 | +3.231×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 5.389×ATR | p93 | +3.218×ATR | p95 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 1.588×ATR | p7 | +1.445×ATR | p75 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63094
0.000759634
63142
0.121341
63067.9
0.00117444
63142
0.244335
63158.1
-0.000255091
63142
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0.3086
0.66
0.3471
0.4824
0.5191
0.715
0.9051
-1.5975
15.2316
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 12:40:00 | 0.47931 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 13:00:00 | 0.4984 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 13:35:00 | 0.48878 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 13:50:00 | 0.49667 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 15:05:00 | 0.51068 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 15:20:00 | 0.50205 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:25:00 | 0.52339 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:55:00 | 0.51214 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:25:00 | 0.51998 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:05:00 | 0.50654 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 03:45:00 | 0.48042 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 04:15:00 | 0.4714 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 05:45:00 | 0.4709 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 07:00:00 | 0.48369 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 08:15:00 | 0.47452 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 0.48535 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:30:00 | 0.47931 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 13:00:00 | 0.4984 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:15:00 | 0.52339 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:00:00 | 0.50654 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 21:00:00 | 0.45149 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:00:00 | 0.42368 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 13:00:00 | 0.42373 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 19:00:00 | 0.46015 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 0.4457 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 10:00:00 | 0.48888 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 15:00:00 | 0.46912 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 23:00:00 | 0.48181 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 05:00:00 | 0.4709 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 0.52339 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5065 | 0.502 | 0.5157 | 2.04 | 0.7465 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.502 - 0.5065 = -0.0044999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5065 - 0.5157 = -0.0092000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0092000000000001 / -0.0044999999999999 = 2.0444
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 888.0843 | 100 | 1753.2364 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0044999999999999 = -1777.78
Taille de position USD = -1777.78 x 0.5065 = -900.45
Donc, tu peux acheter -1777.78 avec un stoploss a 0.502
Avec un position size USD de -900.45$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1777.78 x -0.0044999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1777.78 x -0.0092000000000001 = 16.36
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.36$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.82 % | 16.13 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.89 % | 7.89 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.89 $ | -0.89 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8983 % | 101.1 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5065 | 0.502 | 0.5157 | 2.04 | 0.7465 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.502 - 0.5065 = -0.0044999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5065 - 0.5157 = -0.0092000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0092000000000001 / -0.0044999999999999 = 2.0444
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.238% | 1.4R | -0.138% | 0.2R | 9.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.238% | 1.4R | -0.138% | 0.2R | 9.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.238% | 1.4R | -1.084% | 1.2R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.238% | 1.4R | -1.123% | 1.3R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.012% | 2.3R | -1.123% | 1.3R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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