Long Trade on WLD (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 552.18 WLD at 0.361$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3972 (10.03 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3465 (4.02 %)
16 Aug 2026 at 14:49:30
hyperliquid
WLD
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
16 Aug 2026 14:49
→ 02:45
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.361$
Qty 552.1842 WLD
Size 199.3164$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3972 (+10.03%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.3465 (-4.02%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.70%
/ +1.39$
MAE -2.50%
MFE +2.49%
0.6R
expires
17 Aug 02:49
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 71482)
#2 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 14:00
score du 16/08/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5943
Quality Score
0.758
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
9.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 14:45
16/08 14:45
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#2 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 3.09×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 9.21×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 14:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 16/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 16/08 14:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
16/08/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.7577
Score SMA
0.5562
Rank
#2
/ 35
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5943
Rank Norm SMA
0.6685
Calculé le
16/08/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6384 | r1h: -1.719% · r4h: 5.125% · r1d: 3.86% · r3d: 5.78% · ema21_slope: 0.0856% · dist_ema21: 3.383% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6372 | rs_1h: -1.515% · rs_4h: 5.028% · rs_1d: 3.76% · rs_3d: 5.82% · beta_24h: 7.734 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9957 | rvol_20: 4.29× · zscore_50: 2.935 · trend: 241.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7183 | ADX: 26.2 (trend) · Chop: 24.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.415% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.017%
(0.0145)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.803% | 0.2R | -0.241% | 0.1R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.803% | 0.2R | -0.731% | 0.2R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.803% | 0.2R | -2.499% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.119% | 0.5R | -2.499% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.493% | 0.6R | -2.499% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.493% | 0.6R | -2.499% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.47
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -4.94% | +0.80 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.43 | bear_medium | -1.07% | +0.57 | 16/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.38 | range_low | -0.23% | +0.33 | 16/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 54% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.08% | +0.42 | 16/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 2.91×ATR | p5 | +1.151×ATR | p55 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 3.08×ATR | p44 | +1.669×ATR | p83 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 2.023×ATR | p29 | +1.734×ATR | p88 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.572×ATR | p73 | +0.523×ATR | p35 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.793
- reason: up_bo width=2.40×ATR dur=40b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 0.34647208
- tp_price: 0.39717981
- atr:
- score: 0.72296796099663
- expires_at: 2026-08-17T06:49:22.913896
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.72296796099663
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1612
- obi_top10 : 0.0829
- micro_price : 0.36088437
- spread_pct : 0.027716
- mid_price : 0.36085
- bid_wall_price : 0.355
- bid_wall_size : 1903765
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.369
- ask_wall_size : 1193397
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1715
- obi_top5_std : 0.0228
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6967
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.35321
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.34077
- balance_zone_mid:
0.34699
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786762800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786903200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.4019
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
40
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.723
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786892400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.35321
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.875
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
3
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4964
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.00517924 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
40
inside_close_ratio
0.875
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4964
Signaux confirmants (15)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:49 | 0.36096000 | -0.011% |
| 2 | 14:55 | 0.36096000 | -0.011% |
| 3 | 15:02 | 0.36096000 | -0.011% |
| 4 | 15:49 | 0.36064000 | -0.1% |
| 5 | 15:55 | 0.36064000 | -0.1% |
| 6 | 16:02 | 0.36064000 | -0.1% |
| 7 | 16:37 | 0.36014000 | -0.238% |
| 8 | 16:43 | 0.36014000 | -0.238% |
| 9 | 17:07 | 0.35998000 | -0.283% |
| 10 | 17:13 | 0.35998000 | -0.283% |
| 11 | 17:19 | 0.35805000 | -0.817% |
| 12 | 17:25 | 0.35805000 | -0.817% |
| 13 | 17:31 | 0.35805000 | -0.817% |
| 14 | 17:37 | 0.35831000 | -0.745% |
| 15 | 17:43 | 0.35831000 | -0.745% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6967ms
Confidence avant OB :
72%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.161
avg 0.172
± 0.023
OBI Top 10
0.083
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.3609
Micro Price
0.3609
Spread
0.0277%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.3550
Size
1,903,765.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.3690
Size
1,193,397.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.361 | 0.3465 | 0.3972 | 2.5 | 0.5802 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.361
- Stop Loss: 0.3465
- Take Profit: 0.3972
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3465 - 0.361 = -0.0145
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.361 - 0.3972 = -0.0362
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0362 / -0.0145 = 2.4966
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 199.3164 | 100 | 552.1842 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0145
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0145 = -551.72
Taille de position USD = -551.72 x 0.361 = -199.17
Donc, tu peux acheter -551.72 avec un stoploss a 0.3465
Avec un position size USD de -199.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -551.72 x -0.0145 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -551.72 x -0.0362 = 19.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$
Résumé
- Taille de position -551.72
- Taille de position USD -199.17
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.97
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4966
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.03 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.02 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.39 $ | 0.70 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.4986 % | 62.21 % | 20 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.361 | 0.3465 | 0.3972 | 2.5 | 0.5802 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.361
- Stop Loss: 0.3465
- Take Profit: 0.3972
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3465 - 0.361 = -0.0145
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.361 - 0.3972 = -0.0362
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0362 / -0.0145 = 2.4966
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.017%
(0.0145)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.803% | 0.2R | -0.241% | 0.1R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.803% | 0.2R | -0.731% | 0.2R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.803% | 0.2R | -2.499% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.119% | 0.5R | -2.499% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.493% | 0.6R | -2.499% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.493% | 0.6R | -2.499% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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