Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 7.18 XMR at 411.52$ per unit. Take profit: 413.7475 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 410.4063 (0.27 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 7.18 XMR at 411.52$ per unit. Take profit: 413.7475 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 410.4063 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 411.52$
Qty 7.183 XMR
Size 2955.9679$ (margin 100$) (leverage 30)
Risk Setup
TP 413.7475 (+0.54%)
TP $ 16$
SL 410.4063 (-0.27%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6592
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.83×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.86×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 14:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.031846 15m : -0.236884 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 16/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 16/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5560 | r1h: 0.663% · r4h: -0.815% · r1d: 2.12% · r3d: 3.77% · ema21_slope: 0.0538% · dist_ema21: 0.687% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5743 | rs_1h: 0.867% · rs_4h: -0.912% · rs_1d: 2.03% · rs_3d: 3.81% · beta_24h: -1.868 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2745 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.590 · trend: 35.41% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5229 | ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 53.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.861% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.318% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.039% | 0.1R | -0.649% | 2.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.996% | 3.7R | -0.987% | 3.7R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.996% | 3.7R | -0.987% | 3.7R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.708% | 6.3R | -0.987% | 3.7R | 1.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
72%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -4.94% | +0.95 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -1.8ATR | 0.26 | bear_medium | -1.07% | +0.15 | 16/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | weak | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.10 | range_low | -0.23% | +0.08 | 16/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
34%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.09 | range_low | +0.08% | -0.13 | 16/08 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 2.483×ATR | p5 | +2.053×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 3.121×ATR | p39 | +1.125×ATR | p64 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.628×ATR | p9 | +0.362×ATR | p20 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.593×ATR | p3 | -0.162×ATR | p10 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63099.1
0.000346964
63121
0.031846
63074.8
0.000716558
63120
-0.236884
63157.6
-0.00058101
63121
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418.92
195
0.7667
0.3962
0.3643
0.2923
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0.5367
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0.5322
0.8768
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0.0726
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1.4529
0.65
0.35
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0.4155
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2.3759
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1.4529
0.7817
0.1738
0.72
-0.068
0.5831
0.4941
0.7225
0.8768
-1.5435
10.9823
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:57 | 411.52000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:05 | 410.44000000 | -0.262% |
| 3 | 15:10 | 410.86000000 | -0.16% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 11:35:00 | 415.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:50:00 | 410.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 14:15:00 | 415.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:35:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 15:25:00 | 417.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:55:00 | 412 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:40:00 | 415.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:05:00 | 412.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 18:50:00 | 411.2 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 03:45:00 | 414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 06:15:00 | 409.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 07:30:00 | 413.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:15:00 | 407.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 11:30:00 | 415.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:45:00 | 410.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 14:30:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:45:00 | 412 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:30:00 | 415.71 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 08:00:00 | 393.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 12:00:00 | 403.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:00:00 | 394.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:00:00 | 409 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 401 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 416.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 407.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 03:00:00 | 414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 407.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 411.52 | 410.4063 | 413.7475 | 2 | 548.12 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 410.4063 - 411.52 = -1.1137
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 411.52 - 413.7475 = -2.2275
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.2275 / -1.1137 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2955.9679 | 100 | 7.183 | 30.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.1137 = -7.18
Taille de position USD = -7.18 x 411.52 = -2954.71
Donc, tu peux acheter -7.18 avec un stoploss a 410.4063
Avec un position size USD de -2954.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7.18 x -1.1137 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7.18 x -2.2275 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3062 % | 113.16 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 411.52 | 410.4063 | 413.7475 | 2 | 548.12 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 410.4063 - 411.52 = -1.1137
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 411.52 - 413.7475 = -2.2275
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.2275 / -1.1137 = 2.0001
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.318% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.039% | 0.1R | -0.649% | 2.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.996% | 3.7R | -0.987% | 3.7R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.996% | 3.7R | -0.987% | 3.7R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.708% | 6.3R | -0.987% | 3.7R | 1.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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