Web3Way Logo

Long Trade on CHIP

Previous Trade Next Trade
16 Aug 2026 at 16:10:17 hyperliquid

Long Trade on CHIP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 5914.53 CHIP at 0.029$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03243 (11.64 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0277 (4.65 %)

CHIP LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 16 Aug 2026 16:10 → 19:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.02905$

Qty 5914.535 CHIP

Size 171.8232$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.03243 (+11.64%)

TP $ 19.99$

SL 0.0277 (-4.65%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -4.65% / -7.98$ MAE -5.58% MFE +13.13% 2.8R expires 17 Aug 04:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 71574)
#5 / 36 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9195

Quality Score
0.647
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
71 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 16:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#5 / 36 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
71 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.65 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 36 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
71 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.65 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.75×ATR
4h near 0.28×ATR
1d clear 2.33×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

16/08 16:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

15/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

16/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

16/08 15:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1575
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear expansion — -1
Tactical range compression — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.87
Transition risk : 0.13
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.67
Snapshot évalué : 16/08 16:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 16/08/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6468
Score SMA
0.7561
Rank
#5 / 36
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9195
Rank Norm SMA
0.9721
Calculé le
16/08/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7878 r1h: 2.226% · r4h: -1.574% · r1d: 8.17% · r3d: 28.68% · ema21_slope: 0.4706% · dist_ema21: 2.847%
Force Relative 25% 0.7843 rs_1h: 2.199% · rs_4h: -1.613% · rs_1d: 8.10% · rs_3d: 29.09% · beta_24h: -8.544
Volume 20% 0.2315 rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.592 · trend: 3.22%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7419 ADX: 40.3 (trend) · Chop: 49.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.5681 ATR%: 4.296% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.647% (0.0014)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.010% 0.4R -0.114% 0.0R 17.7× 12
2h +2.010% 0.4R -0.778% 0.2R 2.6× 24
4h +2.010% 0.4R -5.143% 1.1R 0.4× 48
8h +2.010% 0.4R -5.584% 1.2R 0.4× 96
12h ★ +13.129% 2.8R -5.584% 1.2R 2.4× 143
24h +13.129% 2.8R -5.584% 1.2R 2.4× 288

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.34
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 35% early — — — bear_high -4.94% +0.81 15/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 44% late — near 0.3ATR 0.31 bear_medium -1.04% +0.98 16/08 12:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 36% early near -0.1ATR — 0.15 range_low -0.20% +0.35 16/08 15:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 40% early — — -0.10 range_low +0.10% -0.28 16/08 15:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 7b — 3.137×ATR p40 +1.512×ATR p58
4h ↑ up late 3b — 1.182×ATR p0 +1.583×ATR p84
1h ↓ down early 4b — 1.79×ATR p4 +0.386×ATR p25
15m ↑ up early 12b — 2.047×ATR p22 +0.411×ATR p22

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.7112
  3. reason: up_bo width=1.99×ATR dur=24b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.0276984
  5. tp_price: 0.03243249
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.71115574339989
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-17T08:10:09.844604
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.71115574339989
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : -0.0083
  10. obi_top10 : 0.0198
  11. micro_price : 0.02902252
  12. spread_pct : 0.068942
  13. mid_price : 0.02902
  14. bid_wall_price :
  15. bid_wall_size :
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price :
  18. ask_wall_size :
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : -0.009
  22. obi_top5_std : 0.0015
  23. pressure_side : neutral
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 7089
  26. aggregation_tick : 0.0001
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    0.0289855
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    0.026646
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    0.02781575
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1786827600
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1786910400
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    1.9937
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    24
  38. balance_zone_quality: tight
  39. balance_zone_maturity: forming
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.7112
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1786906800
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    0.0289855
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.7083
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    1
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    0.0558
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    1
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    8
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    3
  54. regime : bull_high_confirmed
  55. atr_entry : 0.00117347
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
24
inside_close_ratio
0.7083
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0558

Signaux confirmants (20)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 16:10 0.02905100 +0.003%
2 16:16 0.02905100 +0.003%
3 16:22 0.02912300 +0.251%
4 16:27 0.02912300 +0.251%
5 16:34 0.02912300 +0.251%
6 16:40 0.02940800 +1.232%
7 16:46 0.02940800 +1.232%
8 16:51 0.02947100 +1.449%
9 16:57 0.02947100 +1.449%
10 17:05 0.02947100 +1.449%
11 17:10 0.02916100 +0.382%
12 17:16 0.02916100 +0.382%
13 17:22 0.02927300 +0.768%
14 17:28 0.02927300 +0.768%
15 17:34 0.02927300 +0.768%
16 17:39 0.02926200 +0.73%
17 17:46 0.02926200 +0.73%
18 17:52 0.02902600 -0.083%
19 17:58 0.02902600 -0.083%
20 18:05 0.02902600 -0.083%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7089ms Confidence avant OB : 71% → 71%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.008
avg -0.009 ± 0.002
OBI Top 10 0.020

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0290
Micro Price
0.0290
Spread
0.0689%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02905 0.0277 0.03243 2.5 0.04985
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02905
  • Stop Loss: 0.0277
  • Take Profit: 0.03243

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0277 - 0.02905 = -0.00135

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02905 - 0.03243 = -0.00338

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00338 / -0.00135 = 2.5037

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
171.8232 100 5914.535 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00135

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00135 = -5925.93

Taille de position USD = -5925.93 x 0.02905 = -172.15

Donc, tu peux acheter -5925.93 avec un stoploss a 0.0277

Avec un position size USD de -172.15$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -5925.93 x -0.00135 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -5925.93 x -0.00338 = 20.03

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.03$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -5925.93
  • Taille de position USD -172.15
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.03
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5037

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
11.64 % 19.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.65 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
-7.98 $ -4.65
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.1429 % 110.67 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02905 0.0277 0.03243 2.5 0.04985
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02905
  • Stop Loss: 0.0277
  • Take Profit: 0.03243

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0277 - 0.02905 = -0.00135

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02905 - 0.03243 = -0.00338

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00338 / -0.00135 = 2.5037

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03243
            [entry_price] => 0.02905
            [stop_loss] => 0.027565
            [rr_ratio] => 2.28
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-16 23:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03243
            [entry_price] => 0.02905
            [stop_loss] => 0.02743
            [rr_ratio] => 2.09
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-17 01:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.647% (0.0014)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.010% 0.4R -0.114% 0.0R 17.7× 12
2h +2.010% 0.4R -0.778% 0.2R 2.6× 24
4h +2.010% 0.4R -5.143% 1.1R 0.4× 48
8h +2.010% 0.4R -5.584% 1.2R 0.4× 96
12h ★ +13.129% 2.8R -5.584% 1.2R 2.4× 143
24h +13.129% 2.8R -5.584% 1.2R 2.4× 288

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.