Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 6.9 XMR at 409.05$ per unit. Take profit: 411.3689 (0.57 %) & Stop Loss: 407.8906 (0.28 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 6.9 XMR at 409.05$ per unit. Take profit: 411.3689 (0.57 %) & Stop Loss: 407.8906 (0.28 %)
Position
Entry 409.05$
Qty 6.8999 XMR
Size 2822.4164$ (margin 100$) (leverage 28)
Risk Setup
TP 411.3689 (+0.57%)
TP $ 16$
SL 407.8906 (-0.28%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6804
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.21×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.63×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.86×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 16:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.066465 15m : -0.193291 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 16/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 16/08 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4974 | r1h: -0.192% · r4h: -1.198% · r1d: -0.43% · r3d: 3.71% · ema21_slope: 0.0399% · dist_ema21: -0.291% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4932 | rs_1h: -0.219% · rs_4h: -1.238% · rs_1d: -0.49% · rs_3d: 4.11% · beta_24h: -1.626 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3439 | rvol_20: 0.92× · zscore_50: 0.020 · trend: 6.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5124 | ADX: 16.6 (weak) · Chop: 53.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.825% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.421% | 1.5R | -0.389% | 1.4R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.887% | 3.1R | -0.389% | 1.4R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.606% | 5.7R | -0.389% | 1.4R | 4.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.841% | 6.5R | -0.389% | 1.4R | 4.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.650% | 9.4R | -0.389% | 1.4R | 6.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
72%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -4.94% | +0.95 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -1.6ATR | 0.26 | bear_medium | -1.08% | +0.31 | 16/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.10 | range_low | -0.35% | +0.02 | 16/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
36%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.04 | range_low | -0.05% | -0.12 | 16/08 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 2.483×ATR | p5 | +2.053×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 17b | — | 2.982×ATR | p36 | +0.819×ATR | p45 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.42×ATR | p40 | -0.25×ATR | p13 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 4.092×ATR | p79 | -1.293×ATR | p59 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63099.9
-0.00144072
63009
0.066465
63075
-0.00106249
63008
-0.193291
63158
-0.0019006
63038
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 12:00:00
[1] => 403.11
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-14 19:00:00
[1] => 394.57
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 06:00:00
[1] => 409
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 13:00:00
[1] => 401
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 21:00:00
[1] => 416.53
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 00:00:00
[1] => 407.77
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 03:00:00
[1] => 414
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 10:00:00
[1] => 407.5
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 14:00:00
[1] => 418.92
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 20:00:00
[1] => 409.16
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1579299150196
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.17597028057483
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3853749144589
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 06:15:00
[1] => 409.95
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 07:30:00
[1] => 413.23
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 10:15:00
[1] => 407.5
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 11:30:00
[1] => 415.45
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 12:45:00
[1] => 410.08
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 14:00:00
[1] => 418.92
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 14:30:00
[1] => 418.92
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 16:45:00
[1] => 412
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 17:30:00
[1] => 415.71
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 20:15:00
[1] => 409.16
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4024199562195
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.17597028057483
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6008407468961
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 14:35:00
[1] => 418.92
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 15:25:00
[1] => 417.35
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 16:55:00
[1] => 412
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 17:40:00
[1] => 415.71
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 18:05:00
[1] => 412.69
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 19:00:00
[1] => 410.26
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 19:45:00
[1] => 410.21
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 20:10:00
[1] => 411.68
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 20:15:00
[1] => 409.16
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 20:50:00
[1] => 409
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.63884570540225
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.012224938875308
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.039119804400984
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
418.92
193
0.6718
0.4137
0.3611
0.2952
0.415
0
0.3903
0.5267
0.7445
0.4223
0.5206
0.7933
-0.0054
0.0429
0.6667
-0.5702
0.4128
0.65
0.35
1
9
1
0.4096
0.1638
2.3759
0.7
0
0
0.4128
0.7817
0.1659
0.5
-0.1166
0.5975
0.4616
0.6594
0.7933
-2.7863
10.6952
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:51 | 409.05000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:57 | 409.24000000 | +0.046% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 14:35:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 15:25:00 | 417.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:55:00 | 412 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:40:00 | 415.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:05:00 | 412.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:00:00 | 410.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:45:00 | 410.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 20:10:00 | 411.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 20:15:00 | 409.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 20:50:00 | 409 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 06:15:00 | 409.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 07:30:00 | 413.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:15:00 | 407.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 11:30:00 | 415.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:45:00 | 410.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 14:30:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:45:00 | 412 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:30:00 | 415.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 20:15:00 | 409.16 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 12:00:00 | 403.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 19:00:00 | 394.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 06:00:00 | 409 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 401 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 416.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 407.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 03:00:00 | 414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 407.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 418.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 20:00:00 | 409.16 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 409.05 | 407.8906 | 411.3689 | 2 | 545.08 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 407.8906 - 409.05 = -1.1594
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 409.05 - 411.3689 = -2.3189
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.3189 / -1.1594 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2822.4164 | 100 | 6.8999 | 28.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.1594 = -6.9
Taille de position USD = -6.9 x 409.05 = -2822.45
Donc, tu peux acheter -6.9 avec un stoploss a 407.8906
Avec un position size USD de -2822.45$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -6.9 x -1.1594 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -6.9 x -2.3189 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.57 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.28 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.28 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3887 % | 137.16 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 409.05 | 407.8906 | 411.3689 | 2 | 545.08 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 407.8906 - 409.05 = -1.1594
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 409.05 - 411.3689 = -2.3189
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.3189 / -1.1594 = 2.0001
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 411.3689
[entry_price] => 409.05
[stop_loss] => 407.77466
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 21:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 411.3689
[entry_price] => 409.05
[stop_loss] => 407.65872
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 21:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 411.3689
[entry_price] => 409.05
[stop_loss] => 407.54278
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 21:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 411.3689
[entry_price] => 409.05
[stop_loss] => 407.3109
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-16 22:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.421% | 1.5R | -0.389% | 1.4R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.887% | 3.1R | -0.389% | 1.4R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.606% | 5.7R | -0.389% | 1.4R | 4.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.841% | 6.5R | -0.389% | 1.4R | 4.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.650% | 9.4R | -0.389% | 1.4R | 6.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.