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Long Trade on NIL

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16 Aug 2026 at 18:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2079.06 NIL at 0.0471$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04826 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04323 (8.18 %)

NIL LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 16 Aug 2026 18:10 → 21:30 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.04708$

Qty 2079.0561 NIL

Size 97.8861$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.04826 (+2.51%)

TP $ 2.45$

SL 0.04323 (-8.18%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.31

Status win PnL +2.51% / +2.45$ MAE -3.07% MFE +7.88% 1.0R expires 17 Aug 00:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 71638)
#13 / 36 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2306

Quality Score
0.584
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 18:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#13 / 36 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.18 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#13 / 36 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.18 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.50×ATR
4h clear 2.23×ATR
1d near -1.14×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

16/08 18:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

15/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

16/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

16/08 17:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1577
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear expansion — -1
Tactical range compression — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.87
Transition risk : 0.13
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.67
Snapshot évalué : 16/08 18:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 16/08/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.5837
Score SMA
0.4908
Rank
#13 / 36
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2306
Rank Norm SMA
0.4176
Calculé le
16/08/2026 18:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6832 r1h: 2.782% · r4h: 1.281% · r1d: 0.28% · r3d: 11.90% · ema21_slope: 0.0161% · dist_ema21: -0.206%
Force Relative 25% 0.7726 rs_1h: 2.975% · rs_4h: 1.634% · rs_1d: 0.64% · rs_3d: 12.79% · beta_24h: -14.549
Volume 20% 0.1577 rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.634 · trend: -56.37%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4327 ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 61.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.8911 ATR%: 3.327% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.178% (0.0039)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -3.071% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.593% 0.1R -3.071% 0.4R 0.2× 24
4h +6.017% 0.7R -3.071% 0.4R 2.0× 48
6h ★ +7.880% 1.0R -3.071% 0.4R 2.6× 72
8h +10.125% 1.2R -3.071% 0.4R 3.3× 96
12h +10.125% 1.2R -3.071% 0.4R 3.3× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.86
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 40% early — near -1.1ATR 0.33 bear_high -4.94% +0.93 15/08 20:00
4h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.24 bear_medium -1.18% +0.62 16/08 16:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong balanced compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 40% early — — -0.03 range_low -0.54% -0.02 16/08 17:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression range_high
40%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — — range_low -0.24% +0.12 16/08 17:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 5b — 1.922×ATR p0 +0.999×ATR p57
4h ↓ down early 10b — 2.518×ATR p22 +0.031×ATR p2
1h ↓ down early 11b — 2.051×ATR p14 +0.071×ATR p3
15m ↑ up mid 5b — 3.089×ATR p56 +1.507×ATR p55

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.0432341
  2. tp_price: 0.04825905
  3. atr: 0.00153916
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-17T04:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 36
  3. score: 0.6832
  4. delta_2h: 0.2448
  5. extension_atr: 0.32
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2306
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04708 0.04323 0.04826 0.31 0.101
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04708
  • Stop Loss: 0.04323
  • Take Profit: 0.04826

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04323 - 0.04708 = -0.00385

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04708 - 0.04826 = -0.00118

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00118 / -0.00385 = 0.3065

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
97.8861 97.8861 2079.0561 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00385

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00385 = -2077.92

Taille de position USD = -2077.92 x 0.04708 = -97.83

Donc, tu peux acheter -2077.92 avec un stoploss a 0.04323

Avec un position size USD de -97.83$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2077.92 x -0.00385 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2077.92 x -0.00118 = 2.45

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.45$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -2077.92
  • Taille de position USD -97.83
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.45
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3065

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 2.45 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.18 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
2.45 $ 2.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.0714 % 37.56 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04708 0.04323 0.04826 0.31 0.101
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04708
  • Stop Loss: 0.04323
  • Take Profit: 0.04826

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04323 - 0.04708 = -0.00385

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04708 - 0.04826 = -0.00118

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00118 / -0.00385 = 0.3065

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.178% (0.0039)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -3.071% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.593% 0.1R -3.071% 0.4R 0.2× 24
4h +6.017% 0.7R -3.071% 0.4R 2.0× 48
6h ★ +7.880% 1.0R -3.071% 0.4R 2.6× 72
8h +10.125% 1.2R -3.071% 0.4R 3.3× 96
12h +10.125% 1.2R -3.071% 0.4R 3.3× 144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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