Short Trade on kPEPE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 200400.8 kPEPE at 0.00256$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002492 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002596 (1.56 %)
16 Aug 2026 at 18:10:04
hyperliquid
kPEPE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
16 Aug 2026 18:10
→ 21:30
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 0.002556$
Qty 200400.8016 kPEPE
Size 512.2244$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002492 (+2.5%)
TP $ 12.83$
SL 0.002596 (-1.56%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 1.6
Status
loss
PnL
-1.56%
/ -8.02$
MAE -2.70%
MFE +0.16%
0.1R
expires
17 Aug 00:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 71619)
#6 / 36
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 18:00
score du 16/08/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3883
Quality Score
0.614
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 18:00
16/08 18:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 36
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 36
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -3.26×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.21×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 16/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) 16/08 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1577
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.67
Snapshot évalué :
16/08 18:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
16/08/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.6139
Score SMA
0.4979
Rank
#6
/ 36
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3883
Rank Norm SMA
0.4711
Calculé le
16/08/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3454 | r1h: -0.933% · r4h: -2.300% · r1d: -3.63% · r3d: -4.64% · ema21_slope: -0.0608% · dist_ema21: -2.073% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3564 | rs_1h: -0.739% · rs_4h: -1.947% · rs_1d: -3.28% · rs_3d: -3.75% · beta_24h: 1.999 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.77× · zscore_50: 3.973 · trend: 231.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8079 | ADX: 36.9 (trend) · Chop: 24.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.652% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -1.565%
(0.0000)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.822% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.017% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.157% | 0.1R | -1.682% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.157% | 0.1R | -2.700% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.157% | 0.1R | -2.700% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.157% | 0.1R | -2.700% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.06
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.68 | bear_high | -4.94% | -0.62 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -3.3ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_medium | -1.18% | -0.31 | 16/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.60 | range_low | -0.54% | -0.22 | 16/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_low_confirmed |
33%
|
choppy 51% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.24% | -0.20 | 16/08 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 20b | — | 4.124×ATR | p36 | -1.442×ATR | p75 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 22b | — | 4.746×ATR | p82 | -2.851×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 4.57×ATR | p90 | -3.531×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 4.444×ATR | p87 | -3.074×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00259592
- tp_price: 0.0024921
- atr: 1.597E-5
- expires_at: 2026-08-17T04:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 33
- total: 36
- score: 0.3454
- delta_2h: -0.0774
- extension_atr: -2.62
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3883
- confidence: 0.914
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002556 | 0.002596 | 0.002492 | 1.6 | 0.004331 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002556
- Stop Loss: 0.002596
- Take Profit: 0.002492
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002596 - 0.002556 = 4.0E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002556 - 0.002492 = 6.4E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.4E-5 / 4.0E-5 = 1.6
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 512.2244 | 100 | 200400.8016 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 4.0E-5
Taille de position = 8 / 4.0E-5 = 200000
Taille de position USD = 200000 x 0.002556 = 511.2
Donc, tu peux acheter 200000 avec un stoploss a 0.002596
Avec un position size USD de 511.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 200000 x 4.0E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 200000 x 6.4E-5 = 12.8
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 12.8$
Résumé
- Taille de position 200000
- Taille de position USD 511.2
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 12.8
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.6
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 12.83 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.56 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -1.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6041 % | 102.5 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002556 | 0.002596 | 0.002492 | 1.6 | 0.004331 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002556
- Stop Loss: 0.002596
- Take Profit: 0.002492
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002596 - 0.002556 = 4.0E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002556 - 0.002492 = 6.4E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.4E-5 / 4.0E-5 = 1.6
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.002492
[entry_price] => 0.002556
[stop_loss] => 0.0026
[rr_ratio] => 1.45
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 02:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.002492
[entry_price] => 0.002556
[stop_loss] => 0.002604
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 02:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.002492
[entry_price] => 0.002556
[stop_loss] => 0.002608
[rr_ratio] => 1.23
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 02:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.002492
[entry_price] => 0.002556
[stop_loss] => 0.002616
[rr_ratio] => 1.07
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 02:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -1.565%
(0.0000)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.822% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.017% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.157% | 0.1R | -1.682% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.157% | 0.1R | -2.700% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.157% | 0.1R | -2.700% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.157% | 0.1R | -2.700% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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