Long Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)
With 1830.29 NIL at 0.0473$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04298 (9.23 %)
16 Aug 2026 at 20:10:04
hyperliquid
NIL
LONG
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
16 Aug 2026 20:10
→ 23:00
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.04735$
Qty 1830.2909 NIL
Size 86.6679$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 86.66$
SL 0.04298 (-9.23%)
SL $ 8$
RR
Status
win
PnL
+4.72%
/ +4.09$
MAE -0.16%
MFE +7.27%
0.8R
expires
16 Aug 23:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 71712)
#6 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 20:00
score du 16/08/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3472
Quality Score
0.604
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 20:02
16/08 20:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 37
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.52×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.96×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.14×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 20:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 16/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 16/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1579
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.67
Snapshot évalué :
16/08 20:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
16/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6040
Score SMA
0.4992
Rank
#6
/ 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3472
Rank Norm SMA
0.4317
Calculé le
16/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7230 | r1h: 2.501% · r4h: 3.946% · r1d: 0.32% · r3d: 11.79% · ema21_slope: -0.0575% · dist_ema21: 0.986% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8081 | rs_1h: 2.529% · rs_4h: 4.271% · rs_1d: 0.60% · rs_3d: 12.75% · beta_24h: -15.332 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1493 | rvol_20: 0.13× · zscore_50: -0.761 · trend: -66.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4420 | ADX: 15.2 (weak) · Chop: 61.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8894 | ATR%: 3.332% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -9.229%
(0.0044)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.478% | 0.2R | -0.158% | 0.0R | 9.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +5.413% | 0.6R | -0.158% | 0.0R | 34.2× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +7.265% | 0.8R | -0.158% | 0.0R | 45.9× | 36 |
| 4h | +7.265% | 0.8R | -0.158% | 0.0R | 45.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +9.497% | 1.0R | -0.158% | 0.0R | 60.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.497% | 1.0R | -1.618% | 0.2R | 5.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.32
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.33 | bear_high | -4.94% | +0.93 | 15/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.24 | bear_medium | -1.35% | +0.71 | 16/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | -0.04 | range_low | -0.57% | +0.41 | 16/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.24% | +0.22 | 16/08 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.922×ATR | p0 | +0.999×ATR | p57 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 2.243×ATR | p11 | +0.159×ATR | p10 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0.811×ATR | p0 | -0.205×ATR | p7 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.66×ATR | p0 | +0.704×ATR | p31 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04735 | 0.04298 | 0.09642 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04735
- Stop Loss: 0.04298
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04298 - 0.04735 = -0.00437
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04735 - = 0.04735
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04735 / -0.00437 = -10.8352
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86.6679 | 86.6679 | 1830.2909 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00437
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00437 = -1830.66
Taille de position USD = -1830.66 x 0.04735 = -86.68
Donc, tu peux acheter -1830.66 avec un stoploss a 0.04298
Avec un position size USD de -86.68$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1830.66 x -0.00437 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1830.66 x 0.04735 = -86.68
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -86.68$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1830.66
- Taille de position USD -86.68
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel -86.68
- Risk-Reward Ratio -10.8352
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 86.66 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.23 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.09 $ | 4.72 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1584 % | 1.72 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04735 | 0.04298 | 0.09642 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04735
- Stop Loss: 0.04298
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04298 - 0.04735 = -0.00437
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04735 - = 0.04735
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04735 / -0.00437 = -10.8352
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -9.229%
(0.0044)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.478% | 0.2R | -0.158% | 0.0R | 9.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +5.413% | 0.6R | -0.158% | 0.0R | 34.2× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +7.265% | 0.8R | -0.158% | 0.0R | 45.9× | 36 |
| 4h | +7.265% | 0.8R | -0.158% | 0.0R | 45.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +9.497% | 1.0R | -0.158% | 0.0R | 60.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.497% | 1.0R | -1.618% | 0.2R | 5.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.