Short Trade on PUMP

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16 Aug 2026 at 20:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_score)

With 81757.79 PUMP at 0.00268$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002774 (3.66 %)

PUMP SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 16 Aug 2026 20:10 → 21:40 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.002676$

Qty 81757.7925 PUMP

Size 218.7839$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 218.78$

SL 0.002774 (-3.66%)

SL $ 8.01$

Status loss PnL -3.66% / -8.01$ MAE -5.75% MFE +0.60% 0.2R expires 16 Aug 23:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 71713)

#34 / 37 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2900

Quality Score

0.455

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

1 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

20.9M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 20:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#34 / 37 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.66 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#34 / 37 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.66 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.45×ATR
4h	near	-1.73×ATR
1d	clear	6.67×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	late	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 20:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

16/08 20:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 15/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 16/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 16/08 19:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

15/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

16/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

16/08 19:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1579

range compression range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	bear	expansion	—	+1
Tactical	range	compression	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.87

Transition risk : 0.13

Score contribution (this trade) +1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.67

Snapshot évalué : 16/08 20:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 16/08/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4549

Score SMA

0.4753

Rank

#34 / 37

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2900

Rank Norm SMA

0.3137

Calculé le

16/08/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3168	r1h: -0.261% · r4h: -2.978% · r1d: -3.01% · r3d: -8.15% · ema21_slope: -0.1161% · dist_ema21: -2.295%
Force Relative	25%	0.3410	rs_1h: -0.233% · rs_4h: -2.653% · rs_1d: -2.73% · rs_3d: -7.20% · beta_24h: 3.420
Volume	20%	0.4629	rvol_20: 1.26× · zscore_50: 0.171 · trend: 47.42%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5467	ADX: 20.8 (weak) · Chop: 53.8 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.301% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.662% (0.0001)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.598%	0.2R	-2.055%	0.6R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.598%	0.2R	-5.082%	1.4R	0.1×	24
3h ★	+0.598%	0.2R	-5.755%	1.6R	0.1×	36
4h	+0.598%	0.2R	-5.755%	1.6R	0.1×	48
8h	+0.598%	0.2R	-12.108%	3.3R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.598%	0.2R	-12.108%	3.3R	0.1×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.18

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 43%	late	—	near -0.3ATR	0.57	bear_high	-4.94%	+0.99	15/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 37%	mid	near -1.7ATR	—	0.30	bear_medium	-1.35%	-0.58	16/08 16:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high_confirmed	54%	noisy_chop 42%	late	—	—	0.24	range_low	-0.57%	-0.34	16/08 19:00
15m	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_medium	55%	noisy_chop 43%	late	—	—	0.20	range_low	-0.24%	-0.16	16/08 19:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	33b	—	6.799×ATR	p89	+1.252×ATR	p74
4h	↓ down	mid	17b	—	3.483×ATR	p61	-1.16×ATR	p68
1h	↓ down	late	2b	—	2.964×ATR	p68	-1.898×ATR	p93
15m	↓ down	late	10b	—	6.655×ATR	p100	-1.88×ATR	p90

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.00277385
atr: 3.262E-5
expires_at: 2026-08-17T03:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 37
total: 38
score: 0.3168
confidence: 0.973

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.002676	0.002774			0.006264

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.002676
Stop Loss: 0.002774
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.002774 - 0.002676 = 9.8E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.002676 - = 0.002676
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.002676 / 9.8E-5 = 27.3061

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
218.7839	100	81757.7925	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 9.8E-5

Taille de position = 8 / 9.8E-5 = 81632.65

Taille de position USD = 81632.65 x 0.002676 = 218.45

Donc, tu peux acheter 81632.65 avec un stoploss a 0.002774

Avec un position size USD de 218.45$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 81632.65 x 9.8E-5 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 81632.65 x 0.002676 = 218.45

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 218.45$

Résumé

Taille de position 81632.65
Taille de position USD 218.45
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 218.45
Risk-Reward Ratio 27.3061

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	218.78 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.66 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-8.01 $	-3.66

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-5.0822 %	138.77 %	2

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.002676	0.002774			0.006264

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.002676
Stop Loss: 0.002774
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.002774 - 0.002676 = 9.8E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.002676 - = 0.002676
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.002676 / 9.8E-5 = 27.3061

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.002676
            [stop_loss] => 0.0027838
            [rr_ratio] => 24.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-17 01:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.002676
            [stop_loss] => 0.0027936
            [rr_ratio] => 22.76
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-17 01:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.002676
            [stop_loss] => 0.0028034
            [rr_ratio] => 21
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-17 01:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.002676
            [stop_loss] => 0.002823
            [rr_ratio] => 18.2
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-17 02:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.662% (0.0001)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.598%	0.2R	-2.055%	0.6R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.598%	0.2R	-5.082%	1.4R	0.1×	24
3h ★	+0.598%	0.2R	-5.755%	1.6R	0.1×	36
4h	+0.598%	0.2R	-5.755%	1.6R	0.1×	48
8h	+0.598%	0.2R	-12.108%	3.3R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.598%	0.2R	-12.108%	3.3R	0.1×	144

computed 1 month ago

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