16 Aug 2026 at 21:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ACE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 387.05 ACE at 0.137$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1332 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1573 (15.15 %)

ACE SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 16 Aug 2026 21:10 → 23:05 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.1366$

Qty 387.0497 ACE

Size 52.871$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1332 (+2.49%)

TP $ 1.32$

SL 0.1573 (-15.15%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.16

Status loss PnL -15.15% / -8.01$ MAE -30.09% MFE +1.76% 0.1R expires 17 Aug 03:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 71739)
#37 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0000

Quality Score
0.269
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 21:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#37 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
15.15 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#37 / 37 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
15.15 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.32×ATR
4h clear 0.75×ATR
1d near 0.13×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

16/08 21:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

16/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

16/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

16/08 20:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1580
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear expansion — +1
Tactical range range — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.87
Transition risk : 0.13
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.67
Snapshot évalué : 16/08 21:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 16/08/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.2687
Score SMA
0.2820
Rank
#37 / 37
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.0104
Calculé le
16/08/2026 21:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3175 r1h: 1.203% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -12.31% · r3d: 7.68% · ema21_slope: -0.6769% · dist_ema21: -4.970%
Force Relative 25% 0.5004 rs_1h: 1.163% · rs_4h: 0.216% · rs_1d: -12.05% · rs_3d: 8.70% · beta_24h: -8.084
Volume 20% 0.1554 rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.669 · trend: -71.92%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.1153 ADX: 13.7 (weak) · Chop: 99.8 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.126% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -15.154% (0.0207)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.757% 0.1R -5.417% 0.4R 0.3× 12
2h +1.757% 0.1R -20.791% 1.4R 0.1× 24
4h +1.757% 0.1R -30.088% 2.0R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +1.757% 0.1R -30.088% 2.0R 0.1× 72
8h +1.757% 0.1R -30.088% 2.0R 0.1× 96
12h +1.757% 0.1R -48.316% 3.2R 0.0× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.14
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 37% mid near 0.1ATR — 0.23 bear_high -5.25% +1.00 16/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 43% early — — -0.02 bear_medium -1.43% +0.92 16/08 20:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong fading compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 36% mid — — -0.07 range_low -0.53% -0.31 16/08 20:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate balanced expansion bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 37% early — — — range_low -0.18% -0.10 16/08 20:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 3b — 5.476×ATR p62 +0.272×ATR p15
4h ↑ up early 12b — 0×ATR p0 -0.526×ATR p34
1h ↑ up mid 42b — 0×ATR p0 -1.765×ATR p70
15m ↑ up early 2b — 1.463×ATR p0 -0.301×ATR p12

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.15726918
  2. tp_price: 0.133185
  3. atr: 0.00826767
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-17T07:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 36
  2. total: 37
  3. score: 0.3175
  4. delta_2h: -0.0334
  5. extension_atr: -0.44
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0
  9. confidence: 0.972

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1366 0.1573 0.1332 0.16 0.1945
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1366
  • Stop Loss: 0.1573
  • Take Profit: 0.1332

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1573 - 0.1366 = 0.0207

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1366 - 0.1332 = 0.0034

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0034 / 0.0207 = 0.1643

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
52.871 52.871 387.0497 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0207

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0207 = 386.47

Taille de position USD = 386.47 x 0.1366 = 52.79

Donc, tu peux acheter 386.47 avec un stoploss a 0.1573

Avec un position size USD de 52.79$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 386.47 x 0.0207 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 386.47 x 0.0034 = 1.31

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.31$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 386.47
  • Taille de position USD 52.79
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 1.31
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.1643

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 1.32 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
15.15 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -15.15
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-16.9839 % 112.08 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1366 0.1573 0.1332 0.16 0.1945
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1366
  • Stop Loss: 0.1573
  • Take Profit: 0.1332

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1573 - 0.1366 = 0.0207

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1366 - 0.1332 = 0.0034

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0034 / 0.0207 = 0.1643

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1332
            [entry_price] => 0.1366
            [stop_loss] => 0.15937
            [rr_ratio] => 0.15
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-17 03:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1332
            [entry_price] => 0.1366
            [stop_loss] => 0.16144
            [rr_ratio] => 0.14
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-17 03:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1332
            [entry_price] => 0.1366
            [stop_loss] => 0.16351
            [rr_ratio] => 0.13
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-17 03:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1332
            [entry_price] => 0.1366
            [stop_loss] => 0.16765
            [rr_ratio] => 0.11
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-17 03:20:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -15.154% (0.0207)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.757% 0.1R -5.417% 0.4R 0.3× 12
2h +1.757% 0.1R -20.791% 1.4R 0.1× 24
4h +1.757% 0.1R -30.088% 2.0R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +1.757% 0.1R -30.088% 2.0R 0.1× 72
8h +1.757% 0.1R -30.088% 2.0R 0.1× 96
12h +1.757% 0.1R -48.316% 3.2R 0.0× 144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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