Short Trade on DOGE (CatchTheWave)
With 49890.86 DOGE at 0.0699$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06962 (0.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0701 (0.23 %)
Short Trade on DOGE (CatchTheWave)
With 49890.86 DOGE at 0.0699$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06962 (0.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0701 (0.23 %)
Position
Entry 0.06994$
Qty 49890.8637 DOGE
Size 3489.367$ (margin 100$) (leverage 35)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06962 (+0.46%)
TP $ 15.97$
SL 0.0701 (-0.23%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4586
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.45×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.00×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 21:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.709187 15m : 0.48413 |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 16/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 20:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5031 | r1h: 0.279% · r4h: -0.105% · r1d: 0.10% · r3d: -0.75% · ema21_slope: -0.0037% · dist_ema21: -0.061% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5190 | rs_1h: 0.239% · rs_4h: 0.111% · rs_1d: 0.36% · rs_3d: 0.27% · beta_24h: 1.374 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3758 | rvol_20: 0.81× · zscore_50: -0.052 · trend: 47.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6754 | ADX: 21.0 (weak) · Chop: 29.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.313% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.013% | 0.1R | -0.456% | 2.0R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.056% | 0.2R | -0.500% | 2.2R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.056% | 0.2R | -0.500% | 2.2R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.056% | 0.2R | -0.774% | 3.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.056% | 0.2R | -0.774% | 3.4R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 30% | mid | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -5.25% | -0.02 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.73 | bear_medium | -1.43% | -0.01 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_low |
35%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.62 | range_low | -0.53% | +0.02 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.18% | -0.03 | 16/08 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 44b | — | 5.16×ATR | p63 | -0.468×ATR | p23 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 23b | — | 2.326×ATR | p13 | -0.842×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 3.22×ATR | p65 | -0.196×ATR | p18 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 0.533×ATR | p0 | -0.368×ATR | p19 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62984.6
0.000529895
63018
0.709187
63020.1
-3.44086E-5
63018
0.48413
63130.1
-0.000889883
63074
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0.069048
195
0.4499
0.6743
0.2977
0.2021
0.3758
1
0.1222
0.5183
0.3296
0.988
0.5737
0.3161
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0.6667
0.7506
0.4975
0.45
0.55
-1
4
1
0.5958
0.6651
5.429
0.5
1.8567
7.1279
0.4975
0
0.3146
0.98
0.5099
0.4671
0.5853
0
0.3161
-9.4435
4.3645
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 21:05:00 | 0.069735 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 21:35:00 | 0.069868 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:40:00 | 0.069048 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 22:20:00 | 0.069611 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:35:00 | 0.069432 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 23:10:00 | 0.069669 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 23:40:00 | 0.069506 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 0.069649 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:25:00 | 0.06945 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 01:05:00 | 0.070136 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 08:15:00 | 0.06991 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 09:30:00 | 0.069654 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 12:15:00 | 0.069736 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:15:00 | 0.070162 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:15:00 | 0.069877 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:30:00 | 0.070048 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:30:00 | 0.069048 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 23:00:00 | 0.069669 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:15:00 | 0.06945 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 01:00:00 | 0.070136 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 12:00:00 | 0.069207 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 17:00:00 | 0.07009 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 0.070516 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 0.069874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 0.070129 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 0.070074 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 0.069493 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 0.070162 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 0.069048 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 01:00:00 | 0.070035 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06994 | 0.0701 | 0.06962 | 2 | 0.09063 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0701 - 0.06994 = 0.00015999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06994 - 0.06962 = 0.00032
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00032 / 0.00015999999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3489.367 | 100 | 49890.8637 | 35.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00015999999999999 = 50000
Taille de position USD = 50000 x 0.06994 = 3497
Donc, tu peux acheter 50000 avec un stoploss a 0.0701
Avec un position size USD de 3497$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 50000 x 0.00015999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 50000 x 0.00032 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.23 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -0.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4561 % | 199.34 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06994 | 0.0701 | 0.06962 | 2 | 0.09063 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0701 - 0.06994 = 0.00015999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06994 - 0.06962 = 0.00032
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00032 / 0.00015999999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.013% | 0.1R | -0.456% | 2.0R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.056% | 0.2R | -0.500% | 2.2R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.056% | 0.2R | -0.500% | 2.2R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.056% | 0.2R | -0.774% | 3.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.056% | 0.2R | -0.774% | 3.4R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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