Short Trade on FARTCOIN (BosPullback)
With 3015.74 FARTCOIN at 0.144$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1375 (4.58 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1468 (1.87 %)
Short Trade on FARTCOIN (BosPullback)
With 3015.74 FARTCOIN at 0.144$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1375 (4.58 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1468 (1.87 %)
Position
Entry 0.1441$
Qty 3015.7384 FARTCOIN
Size 434.6584$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1375 (+4.58%)
TP $ 19.9$
SL 0.1468 (-1.87%)
SL $ 8.14$
RR 2.44
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5043
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.88×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.28×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.63×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 21:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 16/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (-1) 16/08 21:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4565 | r1h: -0.113% · r4h: -2.326% · r1d: -2.02% · r3d: -1.08% · ema21_slope: -0.0213% · dist_ema21: -1.325% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4271 | rs_1h: -0.153% · rs_4h: -2.110% · rs_1d: -1.76% · rs_3d: -0.06% · beta_24h: 6.561 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1987 | rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.769 · trend: -21.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6155 | ADX: 21.8 (weak) · Chop: 46.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.162% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.680% | 0.4R | -0.548% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.680% | 0.4R | -1.291% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.680% | 0.4R | -1.291% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.680% | 0.4R | -1.520% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.784% | 1.0R | -1.520% | 0.8R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.784% | 1.0R | -1.520% | 0.8R | 1.2× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -5.25% | +0.90 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.56 | bear_medium | -1.07% | +0.57 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.48 | range_low | -0.33% | +0.01 | 16/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | — | range_low | +0.29% | -0.02 | 16/08 21:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 19b | — | 2.987×ATR | p16 | +0.752×ATR | p47 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 2.339×ATR | p24 | +0.79×ATR | p50 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.622×ATR | p53 | +0.903×ATR | p60 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 4.692×ATR | p90 | +2.614×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.14018
145
0.5717
0.6905
0.3186
0.2486
0.3758
1
0.2949
0.5152
0.3934
0.8884
0.6333
0.8784
-0.0795
-0.0112
1
0.6287
1.0352
0.55
0.45
-1
4
1
0.5028
0.7445
3.636
0.6
1.2471
4.1933
1.0352
0.3486
0.2595
0.96
0.1686
0.6026
0.4908
0
0.8784
-1.1368
8.2148
1
0
0
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0.14018
0.14659
0.14659
0.14018
0.14056
0.1398
0.14018
0.8696
0.14659
0.14409
0.14534
0.8338
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:39 | 0.14413000 | +0.021% |
| 2 | 21:45 | 0.14413000 | +0.021% |
| 3 | 22:04 | 0.14329000 | -0.562% |
| 4 | 22:09 | 0.14327000 | -0.576% |
| 5 | 22:15 | 0.14316000 | -0.652% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1441 | 0.1468 | 0.1375 | 2.44 | 0.1615 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1468 - 0.1441 = 0.0027
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1441 - 0.1375 = 0.0066
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0066 / 0.0027 = 2.4444
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 434.6584 | 100 | 3015.7384 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0027 = 2962.96
Taille de position USD = 2962.96 x 0.1441 = 426.96
Donc, tu peux acheter 2962.96 avec un stoploss a 0.1468
Avec un position size USD de 426.96$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2962.96 x 0.0027 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2962.96 x 0.0066 = 19.56
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.56$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.58 % | 19.9 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.87 % | 8.14 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.14 $ | -1.87 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.3803 % | 127.04 % | 45 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1441 | 0.1468 | 0.1375 | 2.44 | 0.1615 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1468 - 0.1441 = 0.0027
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1441 - 0.1375 = 0.0066
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0066 / 0.0027 = 2.4444
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.680% | 0.4R | -0.548% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.680% | 0.4R | -1.291% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.680% | 0.4R | -1.291% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.680% | 0.4R | -1.520% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.784% | 1.0R | -1.520% | 0.8R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.784% | 1.0R | -1.520% | 0.8R | 1.2× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
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