Short Trade on XRP (CatchTheWave)
With 3504.02 XRP at 1.001$ per unit. Take profit: 0.9963 (0.46 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0032 (0.23 %)
Short Trade on XRP (CatchTheWave)
With 3504.02 XRP at 1.001$ per unit. Take profit: 0.9963 (0.46 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0032 (0.23 %)
Position
Entry 1.0009$
Qty 3504.0231 XRP
Size 3507.1767$ (margin 100$) (leverage 35)
Risk Setup
TP 0.9963 (+0.46%)
TP $ 16.12$
SL 1.0032 (-0.23%)
SL $ 8.06$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5444
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.23×ATR |
| 4h | near | -2.37×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 22:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.732953 15m : 0.709364 |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 16/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 16/08 22:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5229 | r1h: 0.679% · r4h: 0.443% · r1d: -0.11% · r3d: -1.13% · ema21_slope: -0.0201% · dist_ema21: 0.122% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4990 | rs_1h: 0.195% · rs_4h: -0.023% · rs_1d: -0.34% · rs_3d: -0.53% · beta_24h: 1.304 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6230 | rvol_20: 1.48× · zscore_50: 1.598 · trend: 69.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7232 | ADX: 26.8 (trend) · Chop: 32.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.359% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.050% | 0.2R | -0.340% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.050% | 0.2R | -0.340% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.050% | 0.2R | -0.380% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.474% | 2.1R | -0.600% | 2.6R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.474% | 2.1R | -0.600% | 2.6R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.86 | bear_high | -5.25% | -0.52 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | near -2.4ATR | — | 0.78 | bear_medium | -1.20% | -0.06 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_low |
35%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.60 | range_low | -0.26% | -0.02 | 16/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_low |
29%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near 0.0ATR | — | range_low | +0.17% | -0.01 | 16/08 22:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 27b | — | 6.805×ATR | p90 | -1.845×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 1.315×ATR | p0 | -0.872×ATR | p55 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 2.898×ATR | p59 | -0.036×ATR | p4 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 4.573×ATR | p78 | +1.394×ATR | p80 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63015.5
0.00371975
63250
0.732953
63035.1
0.00361454
63263
0.709364
63140.8
0.00239331
63292
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0.3005
0.92
1.2199
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0.5322
0.601
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3.1387
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0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 21:35:00 | 0.98937 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 22:10:00 | 0.9964 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:35:00 | 0.991 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 23:00:00 | 0.99438 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 23:20:00 | 0.99092 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 0.99345 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:25:00 | 0.98815 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 01:30:00 | 1.0009 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 02:05:00 | 0.99719 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:30:00 | 1.0018 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 09:15:00 | 1.0022 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:15:00 | 0.99704 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 11:45:00 | 0.99869 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 12:15:00 | 1.0004 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:30:00 | 1.0031 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:15:00 | 0.99759 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:30:00 | 1.0019 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:30:00 | 0.98937 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 00:15:00 | 0.98815 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:30:00 | 1.0018 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 1.009 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 0.98701 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 1.0072 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 14:00:00 | 0.99908 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 22:00:00 | 1.0061 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 09:00:00 | 1.0022 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 0.99704 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 1.0031 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 0.98815 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:00:00 | 1.0018 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0009 | 1.0032 | 0.9963 | 2 | 1.3463 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0032 - 1.0009 = 0.0023000000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0009 - 0.9963 = 0.0045999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0045999999999999 / 0.0023000000000002 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3507.1767 | 100 | 3504.0231 | 35.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0023000000000002 = 3478.26
Taille de position USD = 3478.26 x 1.0009 = 3481.39
Donc, tu peux acheter 3478.26 avec un stoploss a 1.0032
Avec un position size USD de 3481.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3478.26 x 0.0023000000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3478.26 x 0.0045999999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 16.12 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.23 % | 8.06 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.06 $ | -0.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3397 % | 147.82 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0009 | 1.0032 | 0.9963 | 2 | 1.3463 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0032 - 1.0009 = 0.0023000000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0009 - 0.9963 = 0.0045999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0045999999999999 / 0.0023000000000002 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.050% | 0.2R | -0.340% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.050% | 0.2R | -0.340% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.050% | 0.2R | -0.380% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.474% | 2.1R | -0.600% | 2.6R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.474% | 2.1R | -0.600% | 2.6R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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