16 Aug 2026 at 22:38:33 hyperliquid

Short Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)

With 14.4 TAO at 197.42$ per unit. Take profit: 196.3085 (0.56 %) & Stop Loss: 197.9757 (0.28 %)

TAO SHORT CatchTheWave hyperliquid 16 Aug 2026 22:38 → 22:45 · 6 minutes

Position

Entry 197.42$

Qty 14.3951 TAO

Size 2841.8813$ (margin 100$) (leverage 28)

Risk Setup

TP 196.3085 (+0.56%)

TP $ 16$

SL 197.9757 (-0.28%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2

Status loss PnL -0.28% / -8$ MAE -0.63% MFE +0.49% 1.8R

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 71778)
#26 / 39 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4600

Quality Score
0.578
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
43 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 22:31

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#26 / 39 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
43 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.28 % TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#26 / 39 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
43 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.28 % TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.31×ATR
4h clear 0.59×ATR
1d clear 0.95×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

16/08 22:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

5m : 0.648432

15m : 0.505683

1H_regime : range_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

16/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

16/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

16/08 22:00

Score : +5 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 16/08/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.5781
Score SMA
0.4999
Rank
#26 / 39
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4600
Rank Norm SMA
0.4181
Calculé le
16/08/2026 22:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5036 r1h: 0.450% · r4h: 0.347% · r1d: -0.05% · r3d: -4.16% · ema21_slope: -0.0057% · dist_ema21: -0.066%
Force Relative 25% 0.4631 rs_1h: -0.034% · rs_4h: -0.119% · rs_1d: -0.27% · rs_3d: -3.56% · beta_24h: 1.121
Volume 20% 0.6043 rvol_20: 1.87× · zscore_50: 0.891 · trend: 44.60%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6026 ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: 46.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.510% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: CatchTheWave (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -0.282% (0.5557)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.208% 0.7R -0.628% 2.2R 0.3× 12
2h +0.208% 0.7R -0.628% 2.2R 0.3× 24
4h ★ +0.491% 1.8R -0.628% 2.2R 0.8× 48
8h +1.434% 5.1R -0.628% 2.2R 2.3× 96
12h +1.434% 5.1R -0.628% 2.2R 2.3× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.88
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 30% early — — 0.61 bear_high -5.25% +0.22 16/08 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 43% mid — — 0.67 bear_medium -1.20% -0.22 16/08 20:00
1h ↓ down range range strong balanced expansion range_medium
41%
noisy_chop 35% early near 0.3ATR near 0.1ATR 0.52 range_low -0.26% +0.04 16/08 22:00
15m ↔ neutral range bullish_transition moderate fading normal range_low
35%
noisy_chop 38% early — near -0.1ATR 0.46 range_low +0.17% +0.05 16/08 22:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 20b — 1.611×ATR p0 -0.265×ATR p11
4h ↓ down mid 12b — 2.054×ATR p7 -0.828×ATR p66
1h ↑ up early 5b — 2.402×ATR p46 +0.12×ATR p6
15m ↑ up early 2b — 1.81×ATR p20 +1.025×ATR p58

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.4286
  3. reason: HTF_bearish_stack | KC_extension(0.99) | regime:range_medium
  4. stop_price: 197.97574453
  5. tp_price: 196.30851093
  6. atr: 0.37049635598552
  7. score: 1.9727
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.4286
Details
  1. 1H
  2. timeframe : 1H
  3. ema9 : 196.62
  4. ema21 : 196.746
  5. ema50 : 197.309
  6. ema100 : 198.283
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00406476
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000640042
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00285055
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00435605
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.00293762
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0051888
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0146266
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0172265
  17. rsi : 0.55615
  18. adx : 0.192576
  19. kc_percentage : 0.656112
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0222818
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0932665
  22. rvol_20 : 0.290919
  23. rvol_50 : 0.316039
  24. volume_zscore_50 : -0.715677
  25. volume_vol_ratio : 170.541
  26. chop : 46.939
  27. regime : range_medium
  28. ¸
  29. 15m
  30. timeframe : 15m
  31. ema9 : 196.732
  32. ema21 : 196.553
  33. ema50 : 196.617
  34. ema100 : 196.642
  35. price_ema9_diff : 0.00349641
  36. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000910921
  37. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000326457
  38. price_ema100_diff : 0.0039553
  39. all_emas_in_trend : False
  40. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  41. ema_slope_9 : 0.024712
  42. ema_slope_21 : 0.002123
  43. ema_slope_50 : -0.0034584
  44. ema_slope_100 : -0.00218847
  45. rsi : 0.626822
  46. adx : 0.271927
  47. kc_percentage : 0.843278
  48. kc_width_percentage : 0.0127788
  49. volume_ema_diff : -0.463033
  50. rvol_20 : 0.211492
  51. rvol_50 : 0.315425
  52. volume_zscore_50 : -0.461562
  53. volume_vol_ratio : 101.956
  54. chop : 46.6131
  55. regime : range_low
  56. ¸
  57. 5m
  58. timeframe : 5m
  59. ema9 : 196.977
  60. ema21 : 196.679
  61. ema50 : 196.489
  62. ema100 : 196.59
  63. price_ema9_diff : 0.00224583
  64. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00151776
  65. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000964974
  66. price_ema100_diff : 0.00421908
  67. all_emas_in_trend : True
  68. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  69. ema_slope_9 : 0.0200533
  70. ema_slope_21 : 0.0169796
  71. ema_slope_50 : 0.00820889
  72. ema_slope_100 : 0.00219789
  73. rsi : 0.658192
  74. adx : 0.270176
  75. kc_percentage : 0.986357
  76. kc_width_percentage : 0.00753697
  77. volume_ema_diff : -0.563794
  78. rvol_20 : 0.450369
  79. rvol_50 : 0.51125
  80. volume_zscore_50 : -0.329096
  81. volume_vol_ratio : 86.5263
  82. chop : 44.643
  83. regime : range_low
  84. ¸
  85. btc_indicators
  86. btc_indicators
  87. 5m_ema100:
    63015.4
  88. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00357976
  89. 5m_price:
    63241
  90. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.648432
  91. btc_indicators
  92. 15m_ema100:
    63035.1
  93. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00361454
  94. 15m_price:
    63263
  95. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.505683
  96. btc_indicators
  97. 1H_ema100:
    63140.8
  98. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00239331
  99. 1H_price:
    63292
  100. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    
                                                                                                                                
  101. ¸
  102. market_structures
  103. market_structures
  104. 1H_version: 1.1
  105. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-14 02:00:00
                        [1] => 205.56
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-14 14:00:00
                        [1] => 193.04
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-15 02:00:00
                        [1] => 201.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-15 12:00:00
                        [1] => 196.33
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-15 15:00:00
                        [1] => 198.64
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-15 22:00:00
                        [1] => 198.64
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-16 06:00:00
                        [1] => 195.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-16 19:00:00
                        [1] => 197.99
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-16 21:00:00
                        [1] => 194.45
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-17 02:00:00
                        [1] => 197.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.096114933225414
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5633839033171
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6610953972744
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  106. market_structures
  107. 15m_version: 1.1
  108. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-16 11:30:00
                        [1] => 196.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-16 12:30:00
                        [1] => 196.12
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-16 15:30:00
                        [1] => 197.89
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-16 17:30:00
                        [1] => 196.51
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-16 19:30:00
                        [1] => 197.99
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-16 20:30:00
                        [1] => 197.99
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-16 21:30:00
                        [1] => 194.45
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-16 23:00:00
                        [1] => 196.56
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-17 00:30:00
                        [1] => 195.31
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-17 02:30:00
                        [1] => 197.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.096114933225414
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1161742870309
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2134555322308
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  109. market_structures
  110. 5m_version: 1.1
  111. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-16 21:40:00
                        [1] => 194.45
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-16 22:20:00
                        [1] => 196.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-16 22:35:00
                        [1] => 195.72
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-16 23:00:00
                        [1] => 196.56
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-16 23:20:00
                        [1] => 195.63
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-17 00:00:00
                        [1] => 196.3
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-17 00:35:00
                        [1] => 195.31
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-17 01:05:00
                        [1] => 197.15
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-17 02:05:00
                        [1] => 196.08
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-17 02:30:00
                        [1] => 197.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13152569809795
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.68339453284372
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.81599347205222
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  112. ¸
  113. market_structure_v2
  114. timeframe : 1h
  115. state : range
  116. confidence : 0.891
  117. trend_strength : -0.0547
  118. trend_persistence : 0.5
  119. high_delta_atr : 0.0957
  120. low_delta_atr : -1.9719
  121. current_swing_amp_atr : 3.7123
  122. current_swing_speed : 1.85617
  123. current_swing_efficiency : 0.7299
  124. retracement_ratio : 2.3919
  125. extension_ratio : 2.5652
  126. compression_score : 1.022
  127. swing_entropy : 1
  128. breakout_strength : -0.9381
  129. distance_to_last_high_atr : -0.4786
  130. distance_to_last_low_atr : 2.91
  131. pivot_count : 38
  132. swing_count : 37
  133. market_structure_v2
  134. last_pivot_kind: low
  135. last_pivot_price:
    194.45
  136. last_pivot_index:
    194
  137. ¸
  138. trend_analyzer_1h
  139. direction : neutral
  140. phase : range
  141. structure : range
  142. breakout_state : none
  143. quality : volatile
  144. strength : strong
  145. exhaustion : low
  146. momentum_type : balanced
  147. volatility_regime : volatile_reversal
  148. htf_context : unknown
  149. risk_state : discount
  150. confidence : 0.518
  151. state : neutral_range_balanced
  152. trend_analyzer_1h
  153. scores_direction_score:
    0.4576
  154. scores_strength_score:
    0.6694
  155. scores_quality_score:
    0.3156
  156. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2105
  157. scores_structural_quality:
    0.4017
  158. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  159. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.0925
  160. scores_continuation_score:
    0.5303
  161. scores_structure_score:
    0.3254
  162. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.88
  163. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.5973
  164. scores_risk_score:
    0.3458
  165. trend_analyzer_1h
  166. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.0394
  167. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0368
  168. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0.6667
  169. features_price_vs_ema20:
    0.6471
  170. features_price_vs_ema50:
    0.1547
  171. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.4
  172. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.6
  173. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  174. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    5
  175. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  176. features_wick_ratio:
    0.579
  177. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.7299
  178. features_impulse_strength:
    3.7123
  179. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.55
  180. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    2.3919
  181. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    4.59
  182. features_extension_from_mean:
    0.1547
  183. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0
  184. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.3157
  185. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.8
  186. features_volatility_delta:
    0.4054
  187. features_body_ratio:
    0.4749
  188. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.5757
  189. features_slope_consistency:
    0
  190. features_range_position:
    0.3458
  191. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -7.2004
  192. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    3.8054
  193. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  194. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  195. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  196. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  197. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  198. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  199. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  200. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  201. ¸
  202. orderbook_context
  203. obi_top5 : -0.1313
  204. obi_top10 : -0.1313
  205. micro_price : 197.33864865
  206. spread_pct : 0.015204
  207. mid_price : 197.335
  208. bid_wall_price :
  209. bid_wall_size :
  210. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  211. ask_wall_price :
  212. ask_wall_size :
  213. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  214. snapshots_count : 5
  215. obi_top5_mean : -0.1107
  216. obi_top5_std : 0.0415
  217. pressure_side : neutral
  218. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  219. collection_ms : 6952
  220. aggregation_tick : 1
  221. error :
  222. ¸

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.68%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.82%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2957
0.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.8585
0.95%
DateTime Price Type
2026-08-16 21:40:00 194.45 ↓ Low
2026-08-16 22:20:00 196.48 ↑ High
2026-08-16 22:35:00 195.72 ↓ Low
2026-08-16 23:00:00 196.56 ↑ High
2026-08-16 23:20:00 195.63 ↓ Low
2026-08-17 00:00:00 196.3 ↑ High
2026-08-17 00:35:00 195.31 ↓ Low
2026-08-17 01:05:00 197.15 ↑ High
2026-08-17 02:05:00 196.08 ↓ Low
2026-08-17 02:30:00 197.68 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.12%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.21%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0143
0.01%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.8585
0.95%
DateTime Price Type
2026-08-16 11:30:00 196.69 ↑ High
2026-08-16 12:30:00 196.12 ↓ Low
2026-08-16 15:30:00 197.89 ↑ High
2026-08-16 17:30:00 196.51 ↓ Low
2026-08-16 19:30:00 197.99 ↑ High
2026-08-16 20:30:00 197.99 ↑ High
2026-08-16 21:30:00 194.45 ↓ Low
2026-08-16 23:00:00 196.56 ↑ High
2026-08-17 00:30:00 195.31 ↓ Low
2026-08-17 02:30:00 197.68 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.56%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.66%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.5843
3.83%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.2685
1.66%
DateTime Price Type
2026-08-14 02:00:00 205.56 ↑ High
2026-08-14 14:00:00 193.04 ↓ Low
2026-08-15 02:00:00 201.51 ↑ High
2026-08-15 12:00:00 196.33 ↓ Low
2026-08-15 15:00:00 198.64 ↑ High
2026-08-15 22:00:00 198.64 ↑ High
2026-08-16 06:00:00 195.25 ↓ Low
2026-08-16 19:00:00 197.99 ↑ High
2026-08-16 21:00:00 194.45 ↓ Low
2026-08-17 02:00:00 197.68 ↑ High

Market Structure V2

1H ↔ range
Confidence 89%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.055
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
0.096
Low Δ ATR
-1.972

Current Swing

Amp ATR
3.712
Speed
1.856
Efficiency
0.730

Structure

Retracement
2.392
Extension
2.565
Compression
1.022
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-0.938
Dist High ATR
-0.479
Dist Low ATR
2.910
38 pivots · 37 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 194.4500 @ bar 194

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_balanced
Confidence 52%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength strong
exhaustion low
momentum balanced
volatility volatile_reversal
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.458
Strength Score 0.669
Quality Score 0.316
Cleanliness Score 0.211
Structural Quality 0.402
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.093
Continuation Score 0.530
Structure Score 0.325
Volatility Expansion 0.880
Momentum Type Score 0.597
Risk Score 0.346
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.039
Ema50 Slope
-0.037
Ema Alignment Score
0.667
Price Vs Ema20
0.647
Price Vs Ema50
0.155
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.400
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.600
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
5.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.579
Trend Efficiency
0.730
Impulse Strength
3.712
Directional Candle Ratio
0.550
Pullback Depth Ratio
2.392
Pullback Depth Atr
4.590
Extension From Mean
0.155
Impulse Decay Score
0.000
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.316
Volatility Percentile
0.800
Volatility Delta
0.405
Body Ratio
0.475
Closes Position Ratio
0.576
Slope Consistency
0.000
Range Position
0.346
Distance To Recent High
-7.200
Distance To Recent Low
3.805
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6952ms Confidence avant OB : 43% → 43%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.131
avg -0.111 ± 0.042
OBI Top 10 -0.131

Microstructure

Mid Price
197.3350
Micro Price
197.3386
Spread
0.0152%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
197.42 197.9757 196.3085 2 261.88
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 197.42
  • Stop Loss: 197.9757
  • Take Profit: 196.3085

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 197.9757 - 197.42 = 0.5557

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 197.42 - 196.3085 = 1.1115

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.1115 / 0.5557 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2841.8813 100 14.3951 28.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.5557

Taille de position = 8 / 0.5557 = 14.4

Taille de position USD = 14.4 x 197.42 = 2842.85

Donc, tu peux acheter 14.4 avec un stoploss a 197.9757

Avec un position size USD de 2842.85$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 14.4 x 0.5557 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 14.4 x 1.1115 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 14.4
  • Taille de position USD 2842.85
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.56 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.28 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.28
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4508 % 160.14 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
197.42 197.9757 196.3085 2 261.88
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 197.42
  • Stop Loss: 197.9757
  • Take Profit: 196.3085

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 197.9757 - 197.42 = 0.5557

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 197.42 - 196.3085 = 1.1115

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.1115 / 0.5557 = 2.0002

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 196.3085
            [entry_price] => 197.42
            [stop_loss] => 198.03127
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-17 02:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 196.3085
            [entry_price] => 197.42
            [stop_loss] => 198.08684
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-17 02:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 196.3085
            [entry_price] => 197.42
            [stop_loss] => 198.14241
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-17 02:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 196.3085
            [entry_price] => 197.42
            [stop_loss] => 198.25355
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-17 02:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: CatchTheWave (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -0.282% (0.5557)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.208% 0.7R -0.628% 2.2R 0.3× 12
2h +0.208% 0.7R -0.628% 2.2R 0.3× 24
4h ★ +0.491% 1.8R -0.628% 2.2R 0.8× 48
8h +1.434% 5.1R -0.628% 2.2R 2.3× 96
12h +1.434% 5.1R -0.628% 2.2R 2.3× 144

computed 1 month ago

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