16 Aug 2026 at 23:30:11 hyperliquid

Long Trade on CHIP (momentum_pullback_v1)

With 4284.95 CHIP at 0.0293$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03038 (3.72 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02743 (6.35 %)

CHIP LONG momentum_pullback_v1 hyperliquid 16 Aug 2026 23:30 → 02:30 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.02929$

Qty 4284.9491 CHIP

Size 125.5276$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.03038 (+3.72%)

TP $ 4.67$

SL 0.02743 (-6.35%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR 0.59

Status win PnL +3.72% / +4.67$ MAE -2.70% MFE +12.20% 1.9R expires 17 Aug 11:30

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 71837)
#6 / 41 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 16/08/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6279

Quality Score
0.665
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
16/08 23:17

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#6 / 41 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.35 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#6 / 41 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.35 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.51×ATR
4h near -0.06×ATR
1d clear 2.93×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

16/08 23:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

16/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

16/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

16/08 23:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 16/08/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.6653
Score SMA
0.6856
Rank
#6 / 41
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6279
Rank Norm SMA
0.8539
Calculé le
16/08/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8696 r1h: 2.563% · r4h: 2.903% · r1d: 6.40% · r3d: 25.85% · ema21_slope: 0.1348% · dist_ema21: 1.951%
Force Relative 25% 0.8481 rs_1h: 2.317% · rs_4h: 2.365% · rs_1d: 6.18% · rs_3d: 26.23% · beta_24h: 0.363
Volume 20% 0.1504 rvol_20: 0.15× · zscore_50: -0.869 · trend: -43.75%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5790 ADX: 31.1 (trend) · Chop: 60.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.7545 ATR%: 3.737% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -6.350% (0.0019)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.423% 0.1R -2.697% 0.4R 0.2× 12
2h +1.758% 0.3R -2.697% 0.4R 0.7× 24
4h +10.700% 1.7R -2.697% 0.4R 4.0× 48
8h +12.202% 1.9R -2.697% 0.4R 4.5× 96
12h ★ +12.202% 1.9R -2.697% 0.4R 4.5× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.1
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 34% early — — — bear_high -5.25% +0.84 16/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 43% late — near -0.1ATR 0.32 range_medium -0.66% +0.99 16/08 20:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 41% early near 0.2ATR — 0.17 range_low +0.24% +0.43 16/08 23:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong balanced normal bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 34% early — near 0.1ATR -0.06 range_low +0.43% +0.15 16/08 23:15
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 8b — 2.893×ATR p20 +1.041×ATR p44
4h ↑ up late 5b — 1.472×ATR p0 +1.439×ATR p82
1h ↑ up early 2b — 1.588×ATR p0 +0.692×ATR p43
15m ↓ down early 7b — 0×ATR p0 +1.217×ATR p56

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_pullback_v1 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.027428
  2. tp_price: 0.03037806
  3. atr: 0.00043322
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-17T15:30:11+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 42
  3. score: 0.8696
  4. avg_rank_8h: 2.4
  5. rank_velocity: -1.4
  6. pullback_depth_atr: 5.09
  7. trigger_price: 0.028702
  8. fip_24h: -0.167
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (3)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 23:30 0.02929500 +0.017%
2 23:45 0.02929600 +0.02%
3 00:00 0.02925200 -0.13%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02929 0.02743 0.03038 0.59 0.04986
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02929
  • Stop Loss: 0.02743
  • Take Profit: 0.03038

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.02743 - 0.02929 = -0.00186

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02929 - 0.03038 = -0.00109

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00109 / -0.00186 = 0.586

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
125.5276 100 4284.9491 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00186

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00186 = -4301.08

Taille de position USD = -4301.08 x 0.02929 = -125.98

Donc, tu peux acheter -4301.08 avec un stoploss a 0.02743

Avec un position size USD de -125.98$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -4301.08 x -0.00186 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -4301.08 x -0.00109 = 4.69

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.69$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -4301.08
  • Taille de position USD -125.98
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.69
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.586

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.72 % 4.67 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.35 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
4.67 $ 3.72
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.6972 % 42.47 % 9
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02929 0.02743 0.03038 0.59 0.04986
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02929
  • Stop Loss: 0.02743
  • Take Profit: 0.03038

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.02743 - 0.02929 = -0.00186

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02929 - 0.03038 = -0.00109

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00109 / -0.00186 = 0.586

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -6.350% (0.0019)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.423% 0.1R -2.697% 0.4R 0.2× 12
2h +1.758% 0.3R -2.697% 0.4R 0.7× 24
4h +10.700% 1.7R -2.697% 0.4R 4.0× 48
8h +12.202% 1.9R -2.697% 0.4R 4.5× 96
12h ★ +12.202% 1.9R -2.697% 0.4R 4.5× 144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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