Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 421.02 ETHFI at 0.512$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5245 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4927 (3.71 %)
17 Aug 2026 at 00:10:04
hyperliquid
ETHFI
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
17 Aug 2026 00:10
→ 06:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.5117$
Qty 421.0196 ETHFI
Size 215.4357$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5245 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.39$
SL 0.4927 (-3.71%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.67
Status
loss
PnL
-3.23%
/ -6.96$
MAE -3.57%
MFE +0.72%
0.2R
expires
17 Aug 06:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 71861)
#3 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 00:00
score du 17/08/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9520
Quality Score
0.681
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 00:01
17/08 00:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#3 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.71 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.71 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.80×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.40×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 00:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 16/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 16/08 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1583
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.92
Snapshot évalué :
17/08 00:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
17/08/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6813
Score SMA
0.6766
Rank
#3
/ 41
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9520
Rank Norm SMA
0.9503
Calculé le
17/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7937 | r1h: 0.500% · r4h: 1.322% · r1d: 7.24% · r3d: 16.76% · ema21_slope: 0.2753% · dist_ema21: 1.832% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7477 | rs_1h: 0.575% · rs_4h: 0.606% · rs_1d: 6.89% · rs_3d: 16.76% · beta_24h: 0.855 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1810 | rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.475 · trend: -40.49% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8002 | ADX: 46.8 (trend) · Chop: 49.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.502% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.713%
(0.0190)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.715% | 0.2R | -0.440% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.715% | 0.2R | -0.440% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.715% | 0.2R | -1.165% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.715% | 0.2R | -3.567% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.715% | 0.2R | -3.567% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.715% | 0.2R | -3.567% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.46
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -5.25% | +0.97 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.33 | range_medium | -0.66% | +0.93 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.27 | range_low | +0.14% | +0.48 | 16/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.8ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | range_low | +0.41% | +0.03 | 16/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 5.183×ATR | p72 | +2.574×ATR | p99 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 32b | — | 8.965×ATR | p96 | +2.392×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 1.882×ATR | p21 | +1.064×ATR | p60 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.954×ATR | p19 | +0.408×ATR | p30 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.49269851
- tp_price: 0.5244925
- atr: 0.0076006
- expires_at: 2026-08-17T10:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 2
- total: 41
- score: 0.7937
- delta_2h: 0.0219
- extension_atr: 1.36
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.952
- confidence: 0.975
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:10 | 0.51170000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:10 | 0.51488000 | +0.621% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5117 | 0.4927 | 0.5245 | 0.67 | 0.704 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5117
- Stop Loss: 0.4927
- Take Profit: 0.5245
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4927 - 0.5117 = -0.019
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5117 - 0.5245 = -0.0128
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0128 / -0.019 = 0.6737
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 215.4357 | 100 | 421.0196 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.019
Taille de position = 8 / -0.019 = -421.05
Taille de position USD = -421.05 x 0.5117 = -215.45
Donc, tu peux acheter -421.05 avec un stoploss a 0.4927
Avec un position size USD de -215.45$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -421.05 x -0.019 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -421.05 x -0.0128 = 5.39
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.39$
Résumé
- Taille de position -421.05
- Taille de position USD -215.45
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.39
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6737
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.39 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.71 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -6.96 $ | -3.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5665 % | 96.05 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5117 | 0.4927 | 0.5245 | 0.67 | 0.704 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5117
- Stop Loss: 0.4927
- Take Profit: 0.5245
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4927 - 0.5117 = -0.019
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5117 - 0.5245 = -0.0128
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0128 / -0.019 = 0.6737
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.713%
(0.0190)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.715% | 0.2R | -0.440% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.715% | 0.2R | -0.440% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.715% | 0.2R | -1.165% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.715% | 0.2R | -3.567% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.715% | 0.2R | -3.567% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.715% | 0.2R | -3.567% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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