Long Trade on XMR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1.7 XMR at 415.91$ per unit. Take profit: 427.667 (2.83 %) & Stop Loss: 411.2072 (1.13 %)
17 Aug 2026 at 00:22:19
hyperliquid
XMR
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
17 Aug 2026 00:22
→ 12:20
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 415.91$
Qty 1.7011 XMR
Size 707.5108$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 427.667 (+2.83%)
TP $ 20$
SL 411.2072 (-1.13%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.51%
/ -3.62$
MAE -1.04%
MFE +1.40%
1.2R
expires
17 Aug 12:22
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 71877)
#25 / 41
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 00:00
score du 17/08/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4930
Quality Score
0.544
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
7.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 00:17
17/08 00:17
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#25 / 41
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#25 / 41
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.75×ATR |
| 4h | near | -2.27×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.72×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 00:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1583
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.92
Snapshot évalué :
17/08 00:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
17/08/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5444
Score SMA
0.5415
Rank
#25
/ 41
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4930
Rank Norm SMA
0.5773
Calculé le
17/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5971 | r1h: 0.731% · r4h: 1.413% · r1d: 0.54% · r3d: 5.26% · ema21_slope: 0.0094% · dist_ema21: 0.985% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5943 | rs_1h: 0.807% · rs_4h: 0.698% · rs_1d: 0.19% · rs_3d: 5.26% · beta_24h: 0.271 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2093 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.786 · trend: -3.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4991 | ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 54.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.786% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.131%
(4.7028)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.168% | 0.2R | -0.414% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.503% | 0.4R | -0.414% | 0.4R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.822% | 0.7R | -0.414% | 0.4R | 2.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.402% | 1.2R | -0.414% | 0.4R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.402% | 1.2R | -1.036% | 0.9R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.402% | 1.2R | -1.450% | 1.3R | 1.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.82
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
72%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -5.25% | +0.96 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -2.3ATR | 0.27 | range_medium | -0.47% | +0.48 | 17/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.12 | range_low | +0.35% | +0.05 | 17/08 00:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bull_low |
46%
|
choppy 57% | late | — | — | 0.03 | range_low | +0.59% | +0.03 | 17/08 00:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 2.474×ATR | p5 | +1.764×ATR | p89 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 19b | — | 3.606×ATR | p55 | +1.233×ATR | p72 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +1.161×ATR | p61 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 21b | — | 7.446×ATR | p97 | +2.632×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8505
- reason: up_bo width=2.59×ATR dur=32b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 411.20720277
- tp_price: 427.66699308
- atr:
- score: 0.8504649070319
- expires_at: 2026-08-17T16:22:11.840705
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.8504649070319
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0406
- obi_top10 : 0.107
- micro_price : 415.82
- spread_pct : 0.033674
- mid_price : 415.82
- bid_wall_price : 414
- bid_wall_size : 631.64
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 417
- ask_wall_size : 727.48
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.043
- obi_top5_std : 0.0026
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6890
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
415.535
- balance_zone_bottom:
407.5
- balance_zone_mid:
411.5175
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786827600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786939200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.5895
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
32
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8505
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786935600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
415.535
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8438
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.1209
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 3.10297233 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
32
inside_close_ratio
0.8438
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.1209
Signaux confirmants (50)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:22 | 415.91000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:28 | 415.91000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 00:35 | 415.91000000 | 0% |
| 4 | 00:40 | 415.83000000 | -0.019% |
| 5 | 00:46 | 415.83000000 | -0.019% |
| 6 | 00:52 | 415.98000000 | +0.017% |
| 7 | 00:58 | 415.98000000 | +0.017% |
| 8 | 01:05 | 415.98000000 | +0.017% |
| 9 | 02:10 | 417.20000000 | +0.31% |
| 10 | 02:16 | 417.20000000 | +0.31% |
| 11 | 02:22 | 416.81000000 | +0.216% |
| 12 | 02:28 | 416.81000000 | +0.216% |
| 13 | 02:34 | 416.81000000 | +0.216% |
| 14 | 02:40 | 417.15000000 | +0.298% |
| 15 | 02:46 | 417.15000000 | +0.298% |
| 16 | 02:52 | 416.07000000 | +0.038% |
| 17 | 02:58 | 416.07000000 | +0.038% |
| 18 | 03:05 | 416.07000000 | +0.038% |
| 19 | 03:10 | 418.31000000 | +0.577% |
| 20 | 03:17 | 418.31000000 | +0.577% |
| 21 | 03:23 | 418.92000000 | +0.724% |
| 22 | 03:28 | 418.92000000 | +0.724% |
| 23 | 03:35 | 418.92000000 | +0.724% |
| 24 | 03:40 | 417.27000000 | +0.327% |
| 25 | 03:47 | 417.27000000 | +0.327% |
| 26 | 03:52 | 419.00000000 | +0.743% |
| 27 | 03:58 | 419.00000000 | +0.743% |
| 28 | 04:06 | 419.00000000 | +0.743% |
| 29 | 04:11 | 418.01000000 | +0.505% |
| 30 | 04:18 | 418.01000000 | +0.505% |
| 31 | 04:23 | 418.59000000 | +0.644% |
| 32 | 04:29 | 418.59000000 | +0.644% |
| 33 | 04:35 | 418.59000000 | +0.644% |
| 34 | 04:41 | 417.75000000 | +0.442% |
| 35 | 04:47 | 417.75000000 | +0.442% |
| 36 | 04:52 | 418.02000000 | +0.507% |
| 37 | 04:59 | 418.02000000 | +0.507% |
| 38 | 05:06 | 418.02000000 | +0.507% |
| 39 | 05:11 | 417.74000000 | +0.44% |
| 40 | 05:17 | 417.74000000 | +0.44% |
| 41 | 05:23 | 418.46000000 | +0.613% |
| 42 | 05:29 | 418.46000000 | +0.613% |
| 43 | 05:35 | 418.46000000 | +0.613% |
| 44 | 05:41 | 418.03000000 | +0.51% |
| 45 | 05:47 | 418.03000000 | +0.51% |
| 46 | 05:53 | 419.61000000 | +0.89% |
| 47 | 05:59 | 419.61000000 | +0.89% |
| 48 | 06:06 | 419.61000000 | +0.89% |
| 49 | 06:11 | 419.07000000 | +0.76% |
| 50 | 06:18 | 419.07000000 | +0.76% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6890ms
Confidence avant OB :
85%
→
85%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.041
avg 0.043
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
0.107
Microstructure
Mid Price
415.8200
Micro Price
415.8200
Spread
0.0337%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
414.0000
Size
631.64
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
417.0000
Size
727.48
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415.91 | 411.2072 | 427.667 | 2.5 | 537.57 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 415.91
- Stop Loss: 411.2072
- Take Profit: 427.667
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 411.2072 - 415.91 = -4.7028
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 415.91 - 427.667 = -11.757
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -11.757 / -4.7028 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 707.5108 | 100 | 1.7011 | 7.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -4.7028
Taille de position = 8 / -4.7028 = -1.7
Taille de position USD = -1.7 x 415.91 = -707.05
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.7 avec un stoploss a 411.2072
Avec un position size USD de -707.05$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.7 x -4.7028 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.7 x -11.757 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.7
- Taille de position USD -707.05
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.83 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.13 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.62 $ | -0.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0363 % | 91.65 % | 17 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415.91 | 411.2072 | 427.667 | 2.5 | 537.57 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 415.91
- Stop Loss: 411.2072
- Take Profit: 427.667
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 411.2072 - 415.91 = -4.7028
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 415.91 - 427.667 = -11.757
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -11.757 / -4.7028 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.131%
(4.7028)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.168% | 0.2R | -0.414% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.503% | 0.4R | -0.414% | 0.4R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.822% | 0.7R | -0.414% | 0.4R | 2.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.402% | 1.2R | -0.414% | 0.4R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.402% | 1.2R | -1.036% | 0.9R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.402% | 1.2R | -1.450% | 1.3R | 1.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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