Long Trade on WLD (CatchTheWave)
With 4328.56 WLD at 0.363$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3668 (1.02 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3613 (0.5 %)
Long Trade on WLD (CatchTheWave)
With 4328.56 WLD at 0.363$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3668 (1.02 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3613 (0.5 %)
Position
Entry 0.3631$
Qty 4328.5593 WLD
Size 1571.873$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3668 (+1.02%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 0.3613 (-0.5%)
SL $ 7.79$
RR 2.06
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7479
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.83×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.69×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 10.02×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 00:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.380394 15m : 0.38283 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 00:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7354 | r1h: -0.524% · r4h: 3.117% · r1d: 5.12% · r3d: 8.64% · ema21_slope: 0.2258% · dist_ema21: 2.540% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6629 | rs_1h: -0.448% · rs_4h: 2.401% · rs_1d: 4.77% · rs_3d: 8.63% · beta_24h: 5.220 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2379 | rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.279 · trend: -7.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7865 | ADX: 34.4 (trend) · Chop: 37.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.463% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.424% | 0.9R | -0.443% | 0.9R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.424% | 0.9R | -0.884% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.424% | 0.9R | -1.129% | 2.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.523% | 1.1R | -2.335% | 4.7R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.523% | 1.1R | -2.815% | 5.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -5.25% | +0.87 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.44 | range_medium | -0.47% | +0.60 | 17/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.38 | range_low | +0.35% | +0.42 | 17/08 00:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.36 | range_low | +0.60% | +0.13 | 17/08 00:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 2.936×ATR | p5 | +0.958×ATR | p43 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 0.665×ATR | p0 | +1.641×ATR | p82 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.595×ATR | p41 | +1.087×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.497×ATR | p60 | -0.114×ATR | p6 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63147.2
0.00509462
63469
0.380394
63095
0.00592685
63469
0.38283
63148.9
0.00491007
63459
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0.856
0.7113
0.8618
0.165
0.1061
1
1.2972
2.4451
0.65
0.35
1
11
1
0.451
0.5883
5.5135
0.6
0.6755
3.7244
2.4451
0.0804
0.222
0.76
0.6382
0.703
0.5585
0.7716
0.8618
-1.1973
7.4656
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:32 | 0.36314000 | +0.011% |
| 2 | 00:37 | 0.36219000 | -0.251% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.35198 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 22:40:00 | 0.35211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 00:20:00 | 0.35451 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 01:20:00 | 0.36865 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 01:55:00 | 0.36287 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:50:00 | 0.36511 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:15:00 | 0.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 03:25:00 | 0.36479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:50:00 | 0.36719 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 04:30:00 | 0.36305 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 09:15:00 | 0.34992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:45:00 | 0.34553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 11:45:00 | 0.34969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:30:00 | 0.34263 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:00:00 | 0.37144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:00:00 | 0.35983 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.35198 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 01:15:00 | 0.36865 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 03:15:00 | 0.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 04:30:00 | 0.36305 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 06:00:00 | 0.34981 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 12:00:00 | 0.34077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:00:00 | 0.35475 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 0.34616 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 02:00:00 | 0.35321 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 09:00:00 | 0.34992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 0.34263 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:00:00 | 0.37144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.35198 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:00:00 | 0.37 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3631 | 0.3613 | 0.3668 | 2.06 | 0.4922 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3613 - 0.3631 = -0.0018
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3631 - 0.3668 = -0.0037
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0037 / -0.0018 = 2.0556
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1571.873 | 100 | 4328.5593 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0018 = -4444.44
Taille de position USD = -4444.44 x 0.3631 = -1613.78
Donc, tu peux acheter -4444.44 avec un stoploss a 0.3613
Avec un position size USD de -1613.78$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4444.44 x -0.0018 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4444.44 x -0.0037 = 16.44
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.44$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.02 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 7.79 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.79 $ | -0.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5343 % | 107.79 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3631 | 0.3613 | 0.3668 | 2.06 | 0.4922 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3613 - 0.3631 = -0.0018
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3631 - 0.3668 = -0.0037
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0037 / -0.0018 = 2.0556
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.424% | 0.9R | -0.443% | 0.9R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.424% | 0.9R | -0.884% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.424% | 0.9R | -1.129% | 2.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.523% | 1.1R | -2.335% | 4.7R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.523% | 1.1R | -2.815% | 5.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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