Long Trade on SOL

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17 Aug 2026 at 03:12:33 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SOL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 17.82 SOL at 75.796$ per unit. Take profit: 76.9186 (1.48 %) & Stop Loss: 75.347 (0.59 %)

SOL LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 17 Aug 2026 03:12 → 04:25 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 75.796$

Qty 17.8164 SOL

Size 1350.4153$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)

Risk Setup

TP 76.9186 (+1.48%)

TP $ 20$

SL 75.347 (-0.59%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -0.59% / -8$ MAE -0.86% MFE +0.52% 0.9R expires 17 Aug 15:12

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 71968)

#25 / 44 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6463

Quality Score

0.528

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

79 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

2 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

59.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 03:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#25 / 44 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

79 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-3

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

0.59 % TIGHT

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#25 / 44 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

79 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

0.59 % TIGHT

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.99×ATR
4h	clear	2.22×ATR
1d	clear	0.72×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
4h	↑ up	early	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 03:00 Score : 0

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

17/08 03:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 17/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 02:00 Score : -3 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

16/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

17/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

17/08 02:00

Score : -3 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1586

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	range	compression	—	0
Tactical	range	range	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.87

Transition risk : 0.13

Score contribution (this trade) 0

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.92

Snapshot évalué : 17/08 03:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 17/08/2026 03:00

Score brut

0.5281

Score SMA

0.5226

Rank

#25 / 44

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6463

Rank Norm SMA

0.4735

Calculé le

17/08/2026 03:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5084	r1h: 0.338% · r4h: 0.239% · r1d: 0.37% · r3d: 0.16% · ema21_slope: -0.0153% · dist_ema21: 0.547%
Force Relative	25%	0.4946	rs_1h: 0.208% · rs_4h: -0.077% · rs_1d: -0.47% · rs_3d: -0.79% · beta_24h: 1.712
Volume	20%	0.2712	rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.070 · trend: -2.74%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6515	ADX: 18.2 (weak) · Chop: 31.2 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 0.371% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -0.592% (0.4490)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.074%	0.1R	-0.431%	0.7R	0.2×	12
2h	+0.074%	0.1R	-0.864%	1.5R	0.1×	24
4h	+0.074%	0.1R	-0.864%	1.5R	0.1×	48
8h	+0.253%	0.4R	-0.864%	1.5R	0.3×	96
12h ★	+0.520%	0.9R	-0.864%	1.5R	0.6×	144
24h	+0.520%	0.9R	-0.864%	1.5R	0.6×	288

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.54

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 30%	early	—	—	0.87	bear_high	-4.20%	+0.27	16/08 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	range_high	37%	noisy_chop 35%	early	—	—	0.80	range_medium	-0.36%	-0.11	17/08 00:00
1h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	range_low	33%	noisy_chop 42%	late	—	near -1.0ATR	0.73	range_low	+0.50%	-0.04	17/08 02:00
15m	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	compression	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 49%	mid	—	near -0.3ATR	0.66	range_low	+0.66%	-0.02	17/08 02:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	16b	—	2.426×ATR	p0	+0.183×ATR	p11
4h	↑ up	early	2b	—	2.24×ATR	p7	+0.074×ATR	p4
1h	↑ up	late	9b	—	5.512×ATR	p98	+1.177×ATR	p69
15m	↑ up	mid	2b	—	1.459×ATR	p3	+1.943×ATR	p79

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

long_trend: 1
confidence: 0.7942
reason: up_bo width=2.03×ATR dur=54b phase=fresh
stop_price: 75.34697666
tp_price: 76.91855834
atr:
score: 0.79419546794373
expires_at: 2026-08-17T19:12:26.125331
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.79419546794373

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : -0.1375
obi_top10 : -0.1375
micro_price : 75.79993148
spread_pct : 0.001319
mid_price : 75.7995
bid_wall_price :
bid_wall_size :
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price :
ask_wall_size :
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : -0.1057
obi_top5_std : 0.0403
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7068
aggregation_tick : 0.1
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
75.674
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
75.0785
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
75.37625
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1786759200
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1786950000
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
2.0343
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
54
```
balance_zone_quality: tight
balance_zone_maturity: established
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.7942
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1786946400
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
75.674
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.8333
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
0.4168
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
0
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
8
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
5
```
regime : bull_high
atr_entry : 0.29273338

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.8333

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

0.4168

Signaux confirmants (9)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	03:12	75.79600000	0%
2	03:18	75.77900000	-0.022%
3	03:24	75.77900000	-0.022%
4	03:30	75.77900000	-0.022%
5	03:36	75.82600000	+0.04%
6	03:42	75.82600000	+0.04%
7	03:48	75.79500000	-0.001%
8	03:54	75.79500000	-0.001%
9	04:00	75.79500000	-0.001%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7068ms Confidence avant OB : 79% → 79%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.138

avg -0.106 ± 0.040

OBI Top 10 -0.138

Microstructure

Mid Price

75.7995

Micro Price

75.7999

Spread

0.0013%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
75.796	75.347	76.9186	2.5	109.53

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 75.796
Stop Loss: 75.347
Take Profit: 76.9186

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 75.347 - 75.796 = -0.44900000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 75.796 - 76.9186 = -1.1226
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1226 / -0.44900000000001 = 2.5002

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
1350.4153	100	17.8164	14.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.44900000000001

Taille de position = 8 / -0.44900000000001 = -17.82

Taille de position USD = -17.82 x 75.796 = -1350.68

Donc, tu peux acheter -17.82 avec un stoploss a 75.347

Avec un position size USD de -1350.68$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -17.82 x -0.44900000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -17.82 x -1.1226 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

Taille de position -17.82
Taille de position USD -1350.68
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 20
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
1.48 %	20 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
0.59 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-0.59

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.5924 %	100 %	3

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
75.796	75.347	76.9186	2.5	109.53

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 75.796
Stop Loss: 75.347
Take Profit: 76.9186

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 75.347 - 75.796 = -0.44900000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 75.796 - 76.9186 = -1.1226
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1226 / -0.44900000000001 = 2.5002

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 76.9186
            [entry_price] => 75.796
            [stop_loss] => 75.3021
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-17 08:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 76.9186
            [entry_price] => 75.796
            [stop_loss] => 75.2572
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-17 08:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 76.9186
            [entry_price] => 75.796
            [stop_loss] => 75.2123
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-17 08:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -0.592% (0.4490)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.074%	0.1R	-0.431%	0.7R	0.2×	12
2h	+0.074%	0.1R	-0.864%	1.5R	0.1×	24
4h	+0.074%	0.1R	-0.864%	1.5R	0.1×	48
8h	+0.253%	0.4R	-0.864%	1.5R	0.3×	96
12h ★	+0.520%	0.9R	-0.864%	1.5R	0.6×	144
24h	+0.520%	0.9R	-0.864%	1.5R	0.6×	288

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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