Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 5602.87 SPX at 0.321$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3236 (0.87 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3194 (0.44 %)
Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 5602.87 SPX at 0.321$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3236 (0.87 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3194 (0.44 %)
Position
Entry 0.3208$
Qty 5602.8687 SPX
Size 1797.2882$ (margin 100$) (leverage 18)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3236 (+0.87%)
TP $ 15.69$
SL 0.3194 (-0.44%)
SL $ 7.84$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6272
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.70×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.05×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.09×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 03:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.569754 15m : 0.317759 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 17/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 02:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5924 | r1h: 0.817% · r4h: 1.918% · r1d: 1.78% · r3d: 3.06% · ema21_slope: -0.0070% · dist_ema21: 1.600% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5913 | rs_1h: 0.686% · rs_4h: 1.602% · rs_1d: 0.94% · rs_3d: 2.10% · beta_24h: 1.852 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4009 | rvol_20: 0.86× · zscore_50: 0.293 · trend: 43.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6224 | ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 36.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.922% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.187% | 0.4R | -0.539% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.187% | 0.4R | -0.539% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.505% | 1.2R | -0.539% | 1.2R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.505% | 1.2R | -1.054% | 2.4R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.505% | 1.2R | -1.054% | 2.4R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 28% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -4.20% | -0.12 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near 0.3ATR | near 0.1ATR | 0.57 | range_medium | -0.36% | +0.06 | 17/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.47 | range_low | +0.50% | +0.11 | 17/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
choppy 45% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.31 | range_low | +0.66% | +0.24 | 17/08 02:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 44b | — | 6.331×ATR | p81 | -0.177×ATR | p10 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 0.743×ATR | p0 | +0.769×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 4.159×ATR | p79 | +1.283×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 2.981×ATR | p55 | +2.541×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63322.8
0.00314494
63522
0.569754
63172.6
0.00553016
63522
0.317759
63204
0.00550456
63552
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0.2373
0.96
0.4593
0.7096
0.5032
0
0.627
-2.1569
3.6263
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:21 | 0.32078000 | -0.006% |
| 2 | 03:39 | 0.32038000 | -0.131% |
| 3 | 03:45 | 0.31990000 | -0.281% |
| 4 | 03:51 | 0.31972000 | -0.337% |
| 5 | 03:57 | 0.31978000 | -0.318% |
| 6 | 04:04 | 0.31945000 | -0.421% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 01:50:00 | 0.31592 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 02:15:00 | 0.31411 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:30:00 | 0.31856 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:45:00 | 0.321 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 04:20:00 | 0.32278 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 04:40:00 | 0.31989 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:30:00 | 0.32154 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 0.32148 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 0.32582 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 07:15:00 | 0.31882 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 06:30:00 | 0.31878 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 07:45:00 | 0.32109 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 0.32146 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:45:00 | 0.31391 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:30:00 | 0.32745 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 21:15:00 | 0.32274 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:30:00 | 0.31193 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 04:15:00 | 0.32278 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 0.32582 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 07:15:00 | 0.31882 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 01:00:00 | 0.32201 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 0.31567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 0.32088 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 20:00:00 | 0.31752 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 22:00:00 | 0.3285 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 0.32146 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 0.31391 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:00:00 | 0.32745 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 0.31193 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 0.32582 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3208 | 0.3194 | 0.3236 | 2 | 0.3697 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3194 - 0.3208 = -0.0014
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3208 - 0.3236 = -0.0028
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0028 / -0.0014 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1797.2882 | 100 | 5602.8687 | 18.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0014 = -5714.29
Taille de position USD = -5714.29 x 0.3208 = -1833.14
Donc, tu peux acheter -5714.29 avec un stoploss a 0.3194
Avec un position size USD de -1833.14$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5714.29 x -0.0014 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5714.29 x -0.0028 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.87 % | 15.69 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.44 % | 7.84 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.84 $ | -0.44 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4613 % | 105.71 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3208 | 0.3194 | 0.3236 | 2 | 0.3697 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3194 - 0.3208 = -0.0014
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3208 - 0.3236 = -0.0028
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0028 / -0.0014 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.187% | 0.4R | -0.539% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.187% | 0.4R | -0.539% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.505% | 1.2R | -0.539% | 1.2R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.505% | 1.2R | -1.054% | 2.4R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.505% | 1.2R | -1.054% | 2.4R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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