Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 628.44 LIT at 2.344$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3699 (1.09 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3317 (0.54 %)
Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 628.44 LIT at 2.344$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3699 (1.09 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3317 (0.54 %)
Position
Entry 2.3444$
Qty 628.4397 LIT
Size 1473.3141$ (margin 100$) (leverage 15)
Risk Setup
TP 2.3699 (+1.09%)
TP $ 16.03$
SL 2.3317 (-0.54%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7063
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.88×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.32×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.27×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 03:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.318173 15m : 0.292096 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6217 | r1h: 0.068% · r4h: 1.594% · r1d: 3.53% · r3d: 6.75% · ema21_slope: 0.0521% · dist_ema21: 2.081% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6059 | rs_1h: -0.063% · rs_4h: 1.278% · rs_1d: 2.69% · rs_3d: 5.79% · beta_24h: 3.688 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3252 | rvol_20: 0.74× · zscore_50: 0.080 · trend: 11.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7683 | ADX: 32.5 (trend) · Chop: 38.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.044% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.037% | 1.9R | -0.239% | 0.4R | 4.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.037% | 1.9R | -0.529% | 1.0R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.382% | 2.6R | -0.529% | 1.0R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.604% | 3.0R | -1.246% | 2.3R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.604% | 3.0R | -1.246% | 2.3R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -4.20% | +0.34 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near 0.4ATR | near -0.3ATR | 0.29 | range_medium | -0.36% | +0.41 | 17/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.28 | range_low | +0.50% | +0.12 | 17/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.29 | range_low | +0.71% | +0.24 | 17/08 02:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 2.524×ATR | p0 | +0.733×ATR | p43 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 3.113×ATR | p47 | +1.429×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 3.453×ATR | p76 | +1.442×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 1.813×ATR | p14 | +1.93×ATR | p85 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63322.8
0.00312947
63521
0.318173
63172.6
0.00553016
63522
0.292096
63204
0.00550456
63552
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2.2725
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1.9475
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3.9704
1.9475
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0.2454
0.82
0.2314
0.5126
0.5369
0
0.6471
-3.3442
6.1318
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:23 | 2.34440000 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:28 | 2.34650000 | +0.09% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 00:50:00 | 2.2728 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:15:00 | 2.3415 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 03:45:00 | 2.3246 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 04:20:00 | 2.373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 05:10:00 | 2.3559 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:25:00 | 2.3867 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:15:00 | 2.3804 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:35:00 | 2.356 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 2.3817 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 07:20:00 | 2.3444 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 12:15:00 | 2.338 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 13:00:00 | 2.308 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:15:00 | 2.3251 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:45:00 | 2.3608 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 19:00:00 | 2.3139 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 2.337 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 23:15:00 | 2.2725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:15:00 | 2.3867 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 2.3817 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 07:15:00 | 2.3534 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 2.4162 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 03:00:00 | 2.2065 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 2.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 18:00:00 | 2.2625 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 2.3149 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 16:00:00 | 2.2772 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 03:00:00 | 2.3238 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 2.3608 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 23:00:00 | 2.2725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:00:00 | 2.3867 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3444 | 2.3317 | 2.3699 | 2.01 | 3.6107 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3317 - 2.3444 = -0.0127
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3444 - 2.3699 = -0.0255
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0255 / -0.0127 = 2.0079
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1473.3141 | 100 | 628.4397 | 15.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0127 = -629.92
Taille de position USD = -629.92 x 2.3444 = -1476.78
Donc, tu peux acheter -629.92 avec un stoploss a 2.3317
Avec un position size USD de -1476.78$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -629.92 x -0.0127 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -629.92 x -0.0255 = 16.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.06$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.09 % | 16.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.03 $ | 1.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5289 % | 97.64 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3444 | 2.3317 | 2.3699 | 2.01 | 3.6107 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3317 - 2.3444 = -0.0127
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3444 - 2.3699 = -0.0255
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0255 / -0.0127 = 2.0079
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)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.037% | 1.9R | -0.239% | 0.4R | 4.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.037% | 1.9R | -0.529% | 1.0R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.382% | 2.6R | -0.529% | 1.0R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.604% | 3.0R | -1.246% | 2.3R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.604% | 3.0R | -1.246% | 2.3R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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