Long Trade on LIT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 105.56 LIT at 2.355$ per unit. Take profit: 2.5447 (8.05 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2794 (3.22 %)
17 Aug 2026 at 03:52:39
hyperliquid
LIT
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
17 Aug 2026 03:52
→ 15:50
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 2.3552$
Qty 105.5607 LIT
Size 248.6166$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 2.5447 (+8.05%)
TP $ 20$
SL 2.2794 (-3.22%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.92%
/ -2.28$
MAE -1.70%
MFE +1.14%
0.4R
expires
17 Aug 15:52
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 72007)
#8 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 03:00
score du 17/08/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7063
Quality Score
0.618
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 03:47
17/08 03:47
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#8 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.22 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#8 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.22 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.42×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.26×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.27×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 03:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
17/08/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.6183
Score SMA
0.5774
Rank
#8
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7063
Rank Norm SMA
0.7342
Calculé le
17/08/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6217 | r1h: 0.068% · r4h: 1.594% · r1d: 3.53% · r3d: 6.75% · ema21_slope: 0.0521% · dist_ema21: 2.081% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6059 | rs_1h: -0.063% · rs_4h: 1.278% · rs_1d: 2.69% · rs_3d: 5.79% · beta_24h: 3.688 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3252 | rvol_20: 0.74× · zscore_50: 0.080 · trend: 11.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7683 | ADX: 32.5 (trend) · Chop: 38.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.044% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.218%
(0.0758)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.204% | 0.1R | -0.985% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.204% | 0.1R | -0.985% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.074% | 0.3R | -0.985% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.138% | 0.4R | -1.698% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.138% | 0.4R | -1.698% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.138% | 0.4R | -2.968% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.58
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -4.20% | +0.34 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near 0.4ATR | near -0.3ATR | 0.29 | range_medium | -0.33% | +0.40 | 17/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.29 | range_low | +0.39% | +0.06 | 17/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.25 | range_low | +0.51% | +0.12 | 17/08 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 2.524×ATR | p0 | +0.733×ATR | p43 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 3.056×ATR | p47 | +1.367×ATR | p77 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.071×ATR | p4 | +1.296×ATR | p72 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.006×ATR | p3 | +0.843×ATR | p51 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.6659
- reason: up_bo width=2.98×ATR dur=65b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 2.27941422
- tp_price: 2.54466446
- atr:
- score: 0.66588566995587
- expires_at: 2026-08-17T19:52:31.821933
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.66588566995587
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0712
- obi_top10 : 0.0618
- micro_price : 2.34608772
- spread_pct : 0.042626
- mid_price : 2.3465
- bid_wall_price : 2.32
- bid_wall_size : 19392
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 2.41
- ask_wall_size : 21408
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.094
- obi_top5_std : 0.0128
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7027
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
2.31935
- balance_zone_bottom:
2.2445
- balance_zone_mid:
2.281925
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786719600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786950000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9811
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
65
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.6659
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786932000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
2.31935
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6308
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
5
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4278
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.02510785 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
65
inside_close_ratio
0.6308
bars_since_breakout
5
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4278
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:52 | 2.35520000 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:58 | 2.35520000 | 0% |
| 3 | 04:05 | 2.35520000 | 0% |
| 4 | 04:40 | 2.33680000 | -0.781% |
| 5 | 04:47 | 2.33680000 | -0.781% |
| 6 | 04:52 | 2.34680000 | -0.357% |
| 7 | 04:58 | 2.34680000 | -0.357% |
| 8 | 05:06 | 2.34680000 | -0.357% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7027ms
Confidence avant OB :
67%
→
67%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.071
avg 0.094
± 0.013
OBI Top 10
0.062
Microstructure
Mid Price
2.3465
Micro Price
2.3461
Spread
0.0426%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
2.3200
Size
19,392.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
2.4100
Size
21,408.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3552 | 2.2794 | 2.5447 | 2.5 | 3.6626 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.3552
- Stop Loss: 2.2794
- Take Profit: 2.5447
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2794 - 2.3552 = -0.0758
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3552 - 2.5447 = -0.1895
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1895 / -0.0758 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 248.6166 | 100 | 105.5607 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0758
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0758 = -105.54
Taille de position USD = -105.54 x 2.3552 = -248.57
Donc, tu peux acheter -105.54 avec un stoploss a 2.2794
Avec un position size USD de -248.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -105.54 x -0.0758 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -105.54 x -0.1895 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -105.54
- Taille de position USD -248.57
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.05 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.22 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.28 $ | -0.92 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6984 % | 52.77 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3552 | 2.2794 | 2.5447 | 2.5 | 3.6626 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.3552
- Stop Loss: 2.2794
- Take Profit: 2.5447
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2794 - 2.3552 = -0.0758
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3552 - 2.5447 = -0.1895
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1895 / -0.0758 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.218%
(0.0758)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.204% | 0.1R | -0.985% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.204% | 0.1R | -0.985% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.074% | 0.3R | -0.985% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.138% | 0.4R | -1.698% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.138% | 0.4R | -1.698% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.138% | 0.4R | -2.968% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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