Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 2.88 ETH at 1896$ per unit. Take profit: 1901.5465 (0.29 %) & Stop Loss: 1893.2267 (0.15 %)
Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 2.88 ETH at 1896$ per unit. Take profit: 1901.5465 (0.29 %) & Stop Loss: 1893.2267 (0.15 %)
Position
Entry 1896$
Qty 2.8847 ETH
Size 5469.3481$ (margin 100$) (leverage 55)
Risk Setup
TP 1901.5465 (+0.29%)
TP $ 16$
SL 1893.2267 (-0.15%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6947
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.42×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.65×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 8.35×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 04:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.840811 15m : 0.769524 |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+2) 17/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 17/08 03:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5195 | r1h: -0.236% · r4h: 0.074% · r1d: 1.11% · r3d: 1.56% · ema21_slope: 0.0341% · dist_ema21: 0.596% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5067 | rs_1h: -0.030% · rs_4h: -0.087% · rs_1d: 0.37% · rs_3d: 0.62% · beta_24h: 1.403 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2469 | rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.267 · trend: -1.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7553 | ADX: 30.6 (trend) · Chop: 21.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.359% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.280% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.021% | 0.1R | -0.280% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.675% | 4.6R | -0.280% | 1.9R | 2.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.986% | 6.7R | -0.280% | 1.9R | 3.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.986% | 6.7R | -0.280% | 1.9R | 3.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_high |
34%
|
noisy_chop 27% | late | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -4.20% | -0.06 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -1.6ATR | 0.86 | range_medium | -0.33% | +0.09 | 17/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_low |
32%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.82 | range_low | +0.39% | +0.03 | 17/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.78 | range_low | +0.50% | -0.03 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 52b | — | 8.464×ATR | p92 | +0.442×ATR | p30 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.811×ATR | p28 | +2.05×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 4.821×ATR | p90 | +1.318×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 3.249×ATR | p61 | +0.145×ATR | p7 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63344.7
0.00169264
63452
0.840811
63191.1
0.00412869
63452
0.769524
63233.1
0.00355631
63458
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0.8192
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2
1
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2.1692
9.1983
1.4631
0
0.2809
0.86
2.5902
0.6876
0.5082
0.44
0.5661
-3.5311
4.6075
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:06 | 1896.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:12 | 1893.90000000 | -0.111% |
| 3 | 04:18 | 1894.90000000 | -0.058% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 01:30:00 | 1896.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 02:05:00 | 1887.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:50:00 | 1906.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 03:25:00 | 1897.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 04:20:00 | 1904 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 04:30:00 | 1900.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:20:00 | 1903.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 1897.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 1911 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:05:00 | 1895 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 16:30:00 | 1891.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:00:00 | 1881.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:30:00 | 1888.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:30:00 | 1868.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 00:15:00 | 1871.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:45:00 | 1906.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 04:15:00 | 1904 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 1897.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 1911 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:00:00 | 1895 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 14:00:00 | 1863.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 16:00:00 | 1887.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 1885.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 1875.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 17:00:00 | 1885.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 01:00:00 | 1876.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 1891.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 1868.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 1911 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:00:00 | 1897.4 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1896 | 1893.2267 | 1901.5465 | 2 | 2507.8 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1893.2267 - 1896 = -2.7733000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1896 - 1901.5465 = -5.5464999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.5464999999999 / -2.7733000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5469.3481 | 100 | 2.8847 | 55.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.7733000000001 = -2.88
Taille de position USD = -2.88 x 1896 = -5460.48
Donc, tu peux acheter -2.88 avec un stoploss a 1893.2267
Avec un position size USD de -5460.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2.88 x -2.7733000000001 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2.88 x -5.5464999999999 = 15.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.29 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.15 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.15 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2057 % | 140.6 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1896 | 1893.2267 | 1901.5465 | 2 | 2507.8 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1893.2267 - 1896 = -2.7733000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1896 - 1901.5465 = -5.5464999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.5464999999999 / -2.7733000000001 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.280% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.021% | 0.1R | -0.280% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.675% | 4.6R | -0.280% | 1.9R | 2.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.986% | 6.7R | -0.280% | 1.9R | 3.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.986% | 6.7R | -0.280% | 1.9R | 3.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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