Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.14 BTC at 63388$ per unit. Take profit: 63500.7998 (0.18 %) & Stop Loss: 63331.6001 (0.089 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.14 BTC at 63388$ per unit. Take profit: 63500.7998 (0.18 %) & Stop Loss: 63331.6001 (0.089 %)
Position
Entry 63388$
Qty 0.1418 BTC
Size 8991.2222$ (margin 100$) (leverage 90)
Risk Setup
TP 63500.7998 (+0.18%)
TP $ 16$
SL 63331.6001 (-0.089%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6110
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.17×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.57×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.64×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 04:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) 17/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 03:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5114 | r1h: -0.206% · r4h: 0.161% · r1d: 0.74% · r3d: 0.95% · ema21_slope: 0.0201% · dist_ema21: 0.440% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2526 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.462 · trend: 12.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7165 | ADX: 26.0 (trend) · Chop: 22.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8664 | ATR%: 0.260% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.062% | 0.7R | -0.110% | 1.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.062% | 0.7R | -0.215% | 2.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.571% | 6.4R | -0.215% | 2.4R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.275% | 14.3R | -0.215% | 2.4R | 5.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.881% | 21.1R | -0.215% | 2.4R | 8.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | — | — | — | — | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_low |
33%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | — | — | — | — | 17/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17/08 04:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 27b | — | 2.81×ATR | p14 | -0.206×ATR | p9 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.729×ATR | p17 | +1.494×ATR | p82 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +1.335×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.124×ATR | p15 | +0.911×ATR | p43 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
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[1] => 63176
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[1] => 62890
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[1] => 63368
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[1] => 62678
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[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.35644186229096
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2444557899103
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6066243338971
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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[0] => 2026-08-16 11:45:00
[1] => 62956
[2] => L
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[1] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-16 16:30:00
[1] => 63368
[2] => H
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[2] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-16 18:00:00
[1] => 63090
[2] => L
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[3] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-16 19:30:00
[1] => 63207
[2] => H
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[4] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-16 22:30:00
[1] => 62678
[2] => L
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[5] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-16 23:00:00
[1] => 62982
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[0] => 2026-08-17 00:30:00
[1] => 62730
[2] => L
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[7] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-17 05:30:00
[1] => 63416
[2] => L
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[8] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-17 06:45:00
[1] => 63685
[2] => H
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[9] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-17 08:00:00
[1] => 63387
[2] => L
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[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.46635785506791
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0015776105510594
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.47012794421569
[ms_bos_up] => 1
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[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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Array
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[1] => 63495
[2] => H
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[1] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-17 04:30:00
[1] => 63441
[2] => L
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[2] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-17 04:50:00
[1] => 63559
[2] => H
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[3] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-17 05:05:00
[1] => 63422
[2] => L
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[4] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-17 05:20:00
[1] => 63553
[2] => H
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[1] => 63416
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[1] => 63586
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[7] => Array
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[1] => 63685
[2] => H
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[8] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-17 07:15:00
[1] => 63499
[2] => L
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[9] => Array
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[1] => 63387
[2] => L
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[detected_trend] => range
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0015776105510594
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
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[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.17669238171865
[ms_bos_up] => 1
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62982
190
0.578
0.6873
0.3825
0.242
0.4975
0.4406
0.4685
0.6907
0.328
0.904
0.6682
0.4761
0.1932
0.0887
1
1.1683
1.6755
0.4
0.6
-1
10
1
0.5159
0.6941
6.035
0.5
0.4406
2.659
1.6755
0.6432
0.2585
0.84
2.4989
0.6189
0.5484
0.2545
0.4761
-5.8736
5.3371
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (9)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:12 | 63388.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:18 | 63384.00000000 | -0.006% |
| 3 | 04:24 | 63383.00000000 | -0.008% |
| 4 | 04:30 | 63393.00000000 | +0.008% |
| 5 | 04:36 | 63380.00000000 | -0.013% |
| 6 | 04:42 | 63351.00000000 | -0.058% |
| 7 | 04:48 | 63350.00000000 | -0.06% |
| 8 | 04:54 | 63324.00000000 | -0.101% |
| 9 | 05:00 | 63350.00000000 | -0.06% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 04:05:00 | 63495 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 04:30:00 | 63441 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 04:50:00 | 63559 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 05:05:00 | 63422 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:20:00 | 63553 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 05:40:00 | 63416 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:10:00 | 63586 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 63685 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 07:15:00 | 63499 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 08:10:00 | 63387 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 11:45:00 | 62956 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:30:00 | 63368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:00:00 | 63090 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:30:00 | 63207 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:30:00 | 62678 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 23:00:00 | 62982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:30:00 | 62730 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:30:00 | 63416 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 63685 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:00:00 | 63387 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 62778 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 63176 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 62890 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 15:00:00 | 63112 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 63144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 01:00:00 | 62977 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 62942 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 63368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 62678 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 63685 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63388 | 63331.6001 | 63500.7998 | 2 | 83713 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 63331.6001 - 63388 = -56.399899999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 63388 - 63500.7998 = -112.7998
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -112.7998 / -56.399899999997 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8991.2222 | 100 | 0.1418 | 90.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -56.399899999997 = -0.14
Taille de position USD = -0.14 x 63388 = -8874.32
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.14 avec un stoploss a 63331.6001
Avec un position size USD de -8874.32$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.14 x -56.399899999997 = 7.9
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.9$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.14 x -112.7998 = 15.79
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.79$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.089 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1104 % | 124.04 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63388 | 63331.6001 | 63500.7998 | 2 | 83713 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 63331.6001 - 63388 = -56.399899999997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 63388 - 63500.7998 = -112.7998
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -112.7998 / -56.399899999997 = 2
Array
(
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[entry_price] => 63388
[stop_loss] => 63325.96011
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 08:50:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.2] => Array
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[take_profit] => 63500.7998
[entry_price] => 63388
[stop_loss] => 63320.32012
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 08:50:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.3] => Array
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[take_profit] => 63500.7998
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[stop_loss] => 63314.68013
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 09:20:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.5] => Array
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[take_profit] => 63500.7998
[entry_price] => 63388
[stop_loss] => 63303.40015
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 09:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.062% | 0.7R | -0.110% | 1.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.062% | 0.7R | -0.215% | 2.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.571% | 6.4R | -0.215% | 2.4R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.275% | 14.3R | -0.215% | 2.4R | 5.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.881% | 21.1R | -0.215% | 2.4R | 8.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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