Long Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 8292.39 ONDO at 0.336$ per unit. Take profit: 0.338 (0.57 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3351 (0.3 %)
Long Trade on ONDO (CatchTheWave)
With 8292.39 ONDO at 0.336$ per unit. Take profit: 0.338 (0.57 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3351 (0.3 %)
Position
Entry 0.3361$
Qty 8292.3897 ONDO
Size 2786.8234$ (margin 100$) (leverage 28)
Risk Setup
TP 0.338 (+0.57%)
TP $ 15.76$
SL 0.3351 (-0.3%)
SL $ 8.29$
RR 1.9
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7452
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.59×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.48×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.63×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 04:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.047208 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 17/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 17/08 03:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5867 | r1h: -0.448% · r4h: 1.180% · r1d: 4.10% · r3d: 1.95% · ema21_slope: 0.1080% · dist_ema21: 1.609% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5616 | rs_1h: -0.242% · rs_4h: 1.020% · rs_1d: 3.37% · rs_3d: 1.01% · beta_24h: 1.555 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2173 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.335 · trend: -20.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7377 | ADX: 28.5 (trend) · Chop: 33.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.739% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.369% | 1.2R | -0.214% | 0.7R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.616% | 2.1R | -0.286% | 1.0R | 2.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.732% | 5.8R | -0.286% | 1.0R | 6.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.854% | 6.2R | -0.286% | 1.0R | 6.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.854% | 6.2R | -1.256% | 4.2R | 1.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -4.20% | -0.95 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.51 | range_medium | -0.33% | +0.07 | 17/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
53%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.53 | range_low | +0.39% | +0.26 | 17/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
52%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | range_low | +0.51% | +0.05 | 17/08 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 18b | — | 5.33×ATR | p75 | -0.897×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 3.223×ATR | p40 | +1.561×ATR | p81 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 4.568×ATR | p90 | +1.894×ATR | p88 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.516×ATR | p0 | +1.494×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63351.4
0.000608422
63390
0.047208
63194.3
0.00309582
63390
63231.7
0.00250228
63390
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1
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6.2709
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2.5966
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0.1904
0.82
0.8087
0.6762
0.5893
0.7892
0.8237
-1.3137
6.1357
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:15 | 0.33607000 | -0.009% |
| 2 | 04:20 | 0.33549000 | -0.181% |
| 3 | 04:27 | 0.33590000 | -0.06% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 02:35:00 | 0.33574 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 03:10:00 | 0.33557 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 03:50:00 | 0.33267 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 04:05:00 | 0.33483 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 04:35:00 | 0.33368 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:40:00 | 0.338 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 07:00:00 | 0.33967 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 07:15:00 | 0.33723 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:55:00 | 0.3384 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:10:00 | 0.33607 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 11:30:00 | 0.32698 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:30:00 | 0.32544 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 15:45:00 | 0.33394 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 19:15:00 | 0.3302 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:45:00 | 0.33241 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.32633 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:30:00 | 0.33574 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 03:45:00 | 0.33267 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:00:00 | 0.33967 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:00:00 | 0.33607 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 0.32998 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 21:00:00 | 0.32135 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 0.33145 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 0.3254 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 13:00:00 | 0.32969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 0.3284 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 02:00:00 | 0.32231 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 15:00:00 | 0.33394 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.32633 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:00:00 | 0.33967 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3361 | 0.3351 | 0.338 | 1.9 | 0.5092 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3351 - 0.3361 = -0.001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3361 - 0.338 = -0.0019
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0019 / -0.001 = 1.9
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2786.8234 | 100 | 8292.3897 | 28.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.001 = -8000
Taille de position USD = -8000 x 0.3361 = -2688.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -8000 avec un stoploss a 0.3351
Avec un position size USD de -2688.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -8000 x -0.001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -8000 x -0.0019 = 15.2
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.2$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.57 % | 15.76 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.3 % | 8.29 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.75 $ | 0.57 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2856 % | 96 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3361 | 0.3351 | 0.338 | 1.9 | 0.5092 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3351 - 0.3361 = -0.001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3361 - 0.338 = -0.0019
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0019 / -0.001 = 1.9
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.369% | 1.2R | -0.214% | 0.7R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.616% | 2.1R | -0.286% | 1.0R | 2.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.732% | 5.8R | -0.286% | 1.0R | 6.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.854% | 6.2R | -0.286% | 1.0R | 6.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.854% | 6.2R | -1.256% | 4.2R | 1.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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