Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 2.5 ETH at 1892.5$ per unit. Take profit: 1898.8886 (0.34 %) & Stop Loss: 1889.3057 (0.17 %)
Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 2.5 ETH at 1892.5$ per unit. Take profit: 1898.8886 (0.34 %) & Stop Loss: 1889.3057 (0.17 %)
Position
Entry 1892.5$
Qty 2.5045 ETH
Size 4739.6784$ (margin 100$) (leverage 47)
Risk Setup
TP 1898.8886 (+0.34%)
TP $ 16$
SL 1889.3057 (-0.17%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6947
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.36×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.65×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 8.35×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 04:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.842298 15m : 0.779384 |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+2) 17/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 04:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5195 | r1h: -0.236% · r4h: 0.074% · r1d: 1.11% · r3d: 1.56% · ema21_slope: 0.0341% · dist_ema21: 0.596% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5067 | rs_1h: -0.030% · rs_4h: -0.087% · rs_1d: 0.37% · rs_3d: 0.62% · beta_24h: 1.403 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2469 | rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.267 · trend: -1.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7553 | ADX: 30.6 (trend) · Chop: 21.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.359% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.206% | 1.2R | -0.074% | 0.4R | 2.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.206% | 1.2R | -0.074% | 0.4R | 2.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.861% | 5.1R | -0.074% | 0.4R | 11.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.173% | 7.0R | -0.074% | 0.4R | 15.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.173% | 7.0R | -0.074% | 0.4R | 15.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_high |
34%
|
noisy_chop 27% | late | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -4.20% | -0.06 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -1.6ATR | 0.86 | range_medium | -0.33% | +0.09 | 17/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_low |
34%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.82 | range_low | +0.20% | +0.02 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.30% | -0.05 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 52b | — | 8.464×ATR | p92 | +0.442×ATR | p30 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.811×ATR | p28 | +2.05×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.322×ATR | p28 | +0.446×ATR | p39 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 4.25×ATR | p82 | -1.395×ATR | p67 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63346.1
0.00058116
63383
0.842298
63194.8
0.00346806
63414
0.779384
63231.7
0.00250228
63390
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1911
197
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0.6285
0.304
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0.3542
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0.6161
0.653
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0.521
0.1446
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1
0.4454
1.0157
0.5
0.5
1
2
1
0.5148
0.4856
6.1079
0.6
2.1692
9.1983
1.0157
0
0.2734
0.92
2.9233
0.703
0.5228
0.4383
0.521
-3.5677
3.88
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:24 | 1892.50000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:30 | 1894.00000000 | +0.079% |
| 3 | 04:36 | 1893.40000000 | +0.048% |
| 4 | 04:42 | 1892.30000000 | -0.011% |
| 5 | 04:48 | 1892.90000000 | +0.021% |
| 6 | 04:54 | 1892.30000000 | -0.011% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 01:30:00 | 1896.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 02:05:00 | 1887.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:50:00 | 1906.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 03:25:00 | 1897.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 04:20:00 | 1904 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 04:30:00 | 1900.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:20:00 | 1903.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 1897.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 1911 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:20:00 | 1890.7 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 16:30:00 | 1891.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:00:00 | 1881.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:30:00 | 1888.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:30:00 | 1868.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 00:15:00 | 1871.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:45:00 | 1906.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 04:15:00 | 1904 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 1897.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 1911 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:00:00 | 1892.1 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 14:00:00 | 1863.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 16:00:00 | 1887.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 1885.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 1875.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 17:00:00 | 1885.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 01:00:00 | 1876.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 1891.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 1868.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 1911 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:00:00 | 1892.1 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1892.5 | 1889.3057 | 1898.8886 | 2 | 2532.4 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1889.3057 - 1892.5 = -3.1943000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1892.5 - 1898.8886 = -6.3886
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.3886 / -3.1943000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4739.6784 | 100 | 2.5045 | 47.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -3.1943000000001 = -2.5
Taille de position USD = -2.5 x 1892.5 = -4731.25
Donc, tu peux acheter -2.5 avec un stoploss a 1889.3057
Avec un position size USD de -4731.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2.5 x -3.1943000000001 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2.5 x -6.3886 = 15.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.34 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.17 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.074 % | 43.84 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1892.5 | 1889.3057 | 1898.8886 | 2 | 2532.4 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1889.3057 - 1892.5 = -3.1943000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1892.5 - 1898.8886 = -6.3886
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.3886 / -3.1943000000001 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.206% | 1.2R | -0.074% | 0.4R | 2.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.206% | 1.2R | -0.074% | 0.4R | 2.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.861% | 5.1R | -0.074% | 0.4R | 11.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.173% | 7.0R | -0.074% | 0.4R | 15.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.173% | 7.0R | -0.074% | 0.4R | 15.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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