Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1363.34 NEAR at 1.63$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6412 (0.72 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6236 (0.36 %)
Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1363.34 NEAR at 1.63$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6412 (0.72 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6236 (0.36 %)
Position
Entry 1.6295$
Qty 1363.3428 NEAR
Size 2221.5671$ (margin 100$) (leverage 22)
Risk Setup
TP 1.6412 (+0.72%)
TP $ 15.95$
SL 1.6236 (-0.36%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 1.98
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6771
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.86×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.89×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 04:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.346326 15m : 0.326964 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 17/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 17/08 04:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5470 | r1h: -0.243% · r4h: 1.209% · r1d: 1.76% · r3d: 2.45% · ema21_slope: 0.0140% · dist_ema21: 1.257% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5456 | rs_1h: -0.037% · rs_4h: 1.048% · rs_1d: 1.02% · rs_3d: 1.51% · beta_24h: 1.732 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5813 | rvol_20: 1.59× · zscore_50: 1.318 · trend: 39.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6944 | ADX: 23.3 (weak) · Chop: 23.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.698% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.430% | 1.2R | -0.203% | 0.6R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.749% | 2.1R | -0.203% | 0.6R | 3.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.234% | 3.4R | -0.203% | 0.6R | 6.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.350% | 3.7R | -0.252% | 0.7R | 5.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.350% | 3.7R | -1.479% | 4.1R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -4.20% | -0.07 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.60 | range_medium | -0.54% | +0.19 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
52%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.48 | range_low | +0.20% | +0.01 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_low |
34%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.33 | range_low | +0.34% | +0.11 | 17/08 04:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 33b | — | 6.458×ATR | p85 | -0.624×ATR | p31 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.639×ATR | p20 | +0.914×ATR | p56 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.56×ATR | p0 | +1.15×ATR | p57 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.799×ATR | p13 | +0.089×ATR | p5 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63352.7
0.000761114
63401
0.346326
63194.8
0.00346806
63414
0.326964
63231.7
0.00250228
63390
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1
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1
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7.7029
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0
0.1807
0.88
0.7357
0.6664
0.4773
0
0.5668
-3.3919
4.438
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:26 | 1.62950000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:32 | 1.62970000 | +0.012% |
| 3 | 04:38 | 1.62630000 | -0.196% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 02:15:00 | 1.607 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:50:00 | 1.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 03:25:00 | 1.6134 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 04:35:00 | 1.6208 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:15:00 | 1.6453 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:15:00 | 1.6307 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 1.6555 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 07:35:00 | 1.6357 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 08:00:00 | 1.6468 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:25:00 | 1.6293 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 09:00:00 | 1.6194 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 12:30:00 | 1.6278 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 14:15:00 | 1.6178 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:30:00 | 1.627 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:00:00 | 1.6054 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:30:00 | 1.6128 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 1.5833 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:15:00 | 1.6307 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 1.6555 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:15:00 | 1.6337 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 23:00:00 | 1.6423 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 1.5818 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 1.6685 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 1.6281 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 14:00:00 | 1.6303 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 16:00:00 | 1.6473 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 07:00:00 | 1.6046 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 12:00:00 | 1.6278 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 1.5833 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 1.6555 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6295 | 1.6236 | 1.6412 | 1.98 | 5.8123 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6236 - 1.6295 = -0.0059
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6295 - 1.6412 = -0.0117
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0117 / -0.0059 = 1.9831
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2221.5671 | 100 | 1363.3428 | 22.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0059 = -1355.93
Taille de position USD = -1355.93 x 1.6295 = -2209.49
Donc, tu peux acheter -1355.93 avec un stoploss a 1.6236
Avec un position size USD de -2209.49$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1355.93 x -0.0059 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1355.93 x -0.0117 = 15.86
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.86$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.72 % | 15.95 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.95 $ | 0.72 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2025 % | 55.92 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6295 | 1.6236 | 1.6412 | 1.98 | 5.8123 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6236 - 1.6295 = -0.0059
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6295 - 1.6412 = -0.0117
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0117 / -0.0059 = 1.9831
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Array
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)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.430% | 1.2R | -0.203% | 0.6R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.749% | 2.1R | -0.203% | 0.6R | 3.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.234% | 3.4R | -0.203% | 0.6R | 6.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.350% | 3.7R | -0.252% | 0.7R | 5.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.350% | 3.7R | -1.479% | 4.1R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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