Short Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 17714.01 MON at 0.02$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01951 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02046 (2.25 %)
17 Aug 2026 at 05:10:06
hyperliquid
MON
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
17 Aug 2026 05:10
→ 11:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.02001$
Qty 17714.0074 MON
Size 354.3864$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.01951 (+2.5%)
TP $ 8.86$
SL 0.02046 (-2.25%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 1.11
Status
loss
PnL
-1.28%
/ -4.53$
MAE -1.38%
MFE +1.44%
0.6R
expires
17 Aug 11:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 72098)
#30 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 05:00
score du 17/08/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5696
Quality Score
0.510
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 05:03
17/08 05:03
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#30 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#30 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.67×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.11×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.39×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 05:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 17/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 17/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1588
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.92
Snapshot évalué :
17/08 05:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
17/08/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.5096
Score SMA
0.4989
Rank
#30
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5696
Rank Norm SMA
0.4287
Calculé le
17/08/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3428 | r1h: -0.666% · r4h: -1.035% · r1d: -4.49% · r3d: -5.87% · ema21_slope: -0.1974% · dist_ema21: -2.117% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3486 | rs_1h: -0.442% · rs_4h: -0.786% · rs_1d: -4.96% · rs_3d: -6.55% · beta_24h: 1.257 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5372 | rvol_20: 1.06× · zscore_50: 0.838 · trend: 93.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7478 | ADX: 29.7 (trend) · Chop: 29.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.944% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.249%
(0.0005)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.439% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.439% | 0.6R | -0.775% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.439% | 0.6R | -1.234% | 0.6R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.439% | 0.6R | -1.379% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.439% | 0.6R | -5.592% | 2.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.439% | 0.6R | -5.592% | 2.5R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.85
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -4.20% | -0.48 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.41 | range_medium | -0.54% | -0.56 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.35 | range_low | +0.14% | -0.47 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near -1.6ATR | — | 0.08 | range_low | +0.23% | -0.12 | 17/08 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.217×ATR | p36 | -1.143×ATR | p68 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 28b | — | 7.327×ATR | p94 | -2.803×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.548×ATR | p4 | -1.789×ATR | p89 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 2.546×ATR | p25 | -1.271×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.02045762
- tp_price: 0.01950585
- atr: 0.00018065
- expires_at: 2026-08-17T15:10:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 45
- total: 46
- score: 0.3428
- delta_2h: -0.039
- extension_atr: -2.04
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5696
- confidence: 0.978
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:10 | 0.02000600 | -0.02% |
| 2 | 06:10 | 0.01988200 | -0.64% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02001 | 0.02046 | 0.01951 | 1.11 | 0.02446 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02001
- Stop Loss: 0.02046
- Take Profit: 0.01951
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02046 - 0.02001 = 0.00045
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02001 - 0.01951 = 0.0005
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0005 / 0.00045 = 1.1111
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 354.3864 | 100 | 17714.0074 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00045
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00045 = 17777.78
Taille de position USD = 17777.78 x 0.02001 = 355.73
Donc, tu peux acheter 17777.78 avec un stoploss a 0.02046
Avec un position size USD de 355.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 17777.78 x 0.00045 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 17777.78 x 0.0005 = 8.89
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.89$
Résumé
- Taille de position 17777.78
- Taille de position USD 355.73
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 8.89
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.1111
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 8.86 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.25 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.53 $ | -1.28 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3793 % | 61.33 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02001 | 0.02046 | 0.01951 | 1.11 | 0.02446 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02001
- Stop Loss: 0.02046
- Take Profit: 0.01951
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02046 - 0.02001 = 0.00045
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02001 - 0.01951 = 0.0005
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0005 / 0.00045 = 1.1111
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.249%
(0.0005)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.439% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.439% | 0.6R | -0.775% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.439% | 0.6R | -1.234% | 0.6R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.439% | 0.6R | -1.379% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.439% | 0.6R | -5.592% | 2.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.439% | 0.6R | -5.592% | 2.5R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.