Long Trade on JTO (CatchTheWave)
With 3164.13 JTO at 0.603$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6081 (0.85 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6005 (0.41 %)
Long Trade on JTO (CatchTheWave)
With 3164.13 JTO at 0.603$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6081 (0.85 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6005 (0.41 %)
Position
Entry 0.603$
Qty 3164.1314 JTO
Size 1908.0029$ (margin 100$) (leverage 19)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6081 (+0.85%)
TP $ 16.14$
SL 0.6005 (-0.41%)
SL $ 7.91$
RR 2.04
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8068
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.51×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.05×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.89×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 05:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.142985 15m : 0.340378 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6035 | r1h: 0.089% · r4h: -0.051% · r1d: 3.59% · r3d: 8.01% · ema21_slope: 0.1073% · dist_ema21: 2.038% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6173 | rs_1h: 0.312% · rs_4h: 0.198% · rs_1d: 3.12% · rs_3d: 7.33% · beta_24h: 3.853 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2310 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.491 · trend: -2.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7301 | ADX: 27.6 (trend) · Chop: 27.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.257% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.556% | 1.3R | -0.129% | 0.3R | 4.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.556% | 1.3R | -0.738% | 1.8R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.556% | 1.3R | -1.506% | 3.6R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.556% | 1.3R | -2.043% | 4.9R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.556% | 1.3R | -3.451% | 8.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -4.20% | +0.83 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | explosive | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.23 | range_medium | -0.62% | +0.59 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.17 | range_low | +0.21% | +0.13 | 17/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.17 | range_low | +0.22% | -0.09 | 17/08 05:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 3.336×ATR | p18 | +1.261×ATR | p61 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 18b | — | 4.766×ATR | p81 | +1.926×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.908×ATR | p20 | +1.069×ATR | p52 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 4.042×ATR | p70 | -0.165×ATR | p12 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63371.5
-0.000671071
63329
0.142985
63208.8
0.0022331
63350
0.340378
63242.4
0.00241155
63395
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1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:26 | 0.60301000 | +0.002% |
| 2 | 05:32 | 0.60273000 | -0.045% |
| 3 | 06:56 | 0.60241000 | -0.098% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 01:35:00 | 0.58327 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:10:00 | 0.59945 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 03:40:00 | 0.59597 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 04:50:00 | 0.61307 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 05:30:00 | 0.60429 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:20:00 | 0.60066 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:50:00 | 0.62033 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:15:00 | 0.60572 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 08:45:00 | 0.61082 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:20:00 | 0.6022 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 13:15:00 | 0.59744 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 15:30:00 | 0.58886 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:45:00 | 0.59925 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:00:00 | 0.59009 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 18:30:00 | 0.59824 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 23:00:00 | 0.57503 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 04:45:00 | 0.61307 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:15:00 | 0.60066 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 0.62033 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:15:00 | 0.60526 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 0.57444 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 20:00:00 | 0.54701 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 02:00:00 | 0.5794 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 09:00:00 | 0.53783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 08:00:00 | 0.60162 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 15:00:00 | 0.57602 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 23:00:00 | 0.57514 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 0.59925 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 23:00:00 | 0.57503 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 0.62033 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.603 | 0.6005 | 0.6081 | 2.04 | 0.5406 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6005 - 0.603 = -0.0024999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.603 - 0.6081 = -0.0051
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0051 / -0.0024999999999999 = 2.04
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1908.0029 | 100 | 3164.1314 | 19.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0024999999999999 = -3200
Taille de position USD = -3200 x 0.603 = -1929.6
Donc, tu peux acheter -3200 avec un stoploss a 0.6005
Avec un position size USD de -1929.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3200 x -0.0024999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3200 x -0.0051 = 16.32
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.32$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.85 % | 16.14 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 7.91 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.91 $ | -0.41 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5705 % | 137.6 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.603 | 0.6005 | 0.6081 | 2.04 | 0.5406 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6005 - 0.603 = -0.0024999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.603 - 0.6081 = -0.0051
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0051 / -0.0024999999999999 = 2.04
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.556% | 1.3R | -0.129% | 0.3R | 4.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.556% | 1.3R | -0.738% | 1.8R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.556% | 1.3R | -1.506% | 3.6R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.556% | 1.3R | -2.043% | 4.9R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.556% | 1.3R | -3.451% | 8.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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