Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.16 BTC at 63313$ per unit. Take profit: 63415.7783 (0.16 %) & Stop Loss: 63261.6109 (0.081 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.16 BTC at 63313$ per unit. Take profit: 63415.7783 (0.16 %) & Stop Loss: 63261.6109 (0.081 %)
Position
Entry 63313$
Qty 0.1557 BTC
Size 9856.2482$ (margin 100$) (leverage 99)
Risk Setup
TP 63415.7783 (+0.16%)
TP $ 16$
SL 63261.6109 (-0.081%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5645
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.61×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 4.22×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.64×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 05:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) 17/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 05:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4970 | r1h: -0.224% · r4h: -0.249% · r1d: 0.47% · r3d: 0.68% · ema21_slope: 0.0220% · dist_ema21: 0.180% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2792 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: 0.040 · trend: 3.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7151 | ADX: 25.8 (trend) · Chop: 24.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8783 | ATR%: 0.264% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.057% | 0.7R | -0.096% | 1.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.564% | 7.0R | -0.096% | 1.2R | 5.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.690% | 8.5R | -0.096% | 1.2R | 7.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.718% | 21.2R | -0.096% | 1.2R | 17.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.001% | 24.7R | -0.096% | 1.2R | 20.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | — | — | — | — | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_low |
33%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | — | — | — | — | 17/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17/08 05:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 27b | — | 2.81×ATR | p14 | -0.206×ATR | p9 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.409×ATR | p10 | +0.841×ATR | p44 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.822×ATR | p17 | +0.681×ATR | p47 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 3.851×ATR | p61 | -0.326×ATR | p17 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Array
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[0] => 2026-08-14 22:00:00
[1] => 62778
[2] => L
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[1] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-15 03:00:00
[1] => 63176
[2] => H
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[2] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-15 09:00:00
[1] => 62890
[2] => L
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[3] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-15 15:00:00
[1] => 63112
[2] => H
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[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-15 21:00:00
[1] => 63144
[2] => H
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[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 01:00:00
[1] => 62977
[2] => L
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[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 10:00:00
[1] => 62942
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 16:00:00
[1] => 63368
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 22:00:00
[1] => 62678
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 06:00:00
[1] => 63685
[2] => H
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)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.45536625579022
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.143942053033
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6066243338971
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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)
Array
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[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
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[0] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-16 11:45:00
[1] => 62956
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 16:30:00
[1] => 63368
[2] => H
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[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 18:00:00
[1] => 63090
[2] => L
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[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 19:30:00
[1] => 63207
[2] => H
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[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 22:30:00
[1] => 62678
[2] => L
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[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-16 23:00:00
[1] => 62982
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 00:30:00
[1] => 62730
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 05:30:00
[1] => 63416
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 06:45:00
[1] => 63685
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 08:45:00
[1] => 63318
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.52602653686111
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.050538551438769
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.57961401181339
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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)
Array
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[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
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[0] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-17 04:50:00
[1] => 63559
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 05:05:00
[1] => 63422
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 05:20:00
[1] => 63553
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 05:40:00
[1] => 63416
[2] => L
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[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 06:10:00
[1] => 63586
[2] => H
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[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 06:45:00
[1] => 63685
[2] => H
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[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 07:15:00
[1] => 63499
[2] => L
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[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 08:50:00
[1] => 63318
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 09:15:00
[1] => 63400
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-17 09:20:00
[1] => 63300
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13722397476341
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.020537124802528
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.15797788309637
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
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63685
196
0.7126
0.5419
0.3369
0.2476
0.41
0
0.173
0.6082
0.6254
0.892
0.5883
0.444
0.153
0.0761
1
0.7906
1.2972
0.4
0.6
1
3
1
0.5047
0.3708
6.035
0.5
0
0
1.2972
0
0.2378
0.82
2.3835
0.6069
0.5615
0.4542
0.444
-6.2797
5.0146
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:24 | 63313.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 05:36 | 63307.00000000 | -0.009% |
| 3 | 05:42 | 63278.00000000 | -0.055% |
| 4 | 05:48 | 63274.00000000 | -0.062% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 04:50:00 | 63559 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 05:05:00 | 63422 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:20:00 | 63553 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 05:40:00 | 63416 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:10:00 | 63586 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 63685 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 07:15:00 | 63499 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 08:50:00 | 63318 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:15:00 | 63400 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:20:00 | 63300 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 11:45:00 | 62956 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:30:00 | 63368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:00:00 | 63090 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:30:00 | 63207 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:30:00 | 62678 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 23:00:00 | 62982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:30:00 | 62730 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:30:00 | 63416 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 63685 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:45:00 | 63318 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 62778 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 63176 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 62890 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 15:00:00 | 63112 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 21:00:00 | 63144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 01:00:00 | 62977 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 10:00:00 | 62942 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 63368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 62678 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 63685 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63313 | 63261.6109 | 63415.7783 | 2 | 83445 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 63261.6109 - 63313 = -51.3891
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 63313 - 63415.7783 = -102.7783
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -102.7783 / -51.3891 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9856.2482 | 100 | 0.1557 | 99.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -51.3891 = -0.16
Taille de position USD = -0.16 x 63313 = -10130.08
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.16 avec un stoploss a 63261.6109
Avec un position size USD de -10130.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.16 x -51.3891 = 8.22
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.22$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.16 x -102.7783 = 16.44
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.44$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.16 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.081 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.08 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0963 % | 118.6 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63313 | 63261.6109 | 63415.7783 | 2 | 83445 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 63261.6109 - 63313 = -51.3891
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 63313 - 63415.7783 = -102.7783
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -102.7783 / -51.3891 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 63415.7783
[entry_price] => 63313
[stop_loss] => 63256.47199
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 09:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 63415.7783
[entry_price] => 63313
[stop_loss] => 63251.33308
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 10:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
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[take_profit] => 63415.7783
[entry_price] => 63313
[stop_loss] => 63246.19417
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 10:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 63415.7783
[entry_price] => 63313
[stop_loss] => 63235.91635
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 10:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.057% | 0.7R | -0.096% | 1.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.564% | 7.0R | -0.096% | 1.2R | 5.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.690% | 8.5R | -0.096% | 1.2R | 7.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.718% | 21.2R | -0.096% | 1.2R | 17.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.001% | 24.7R | -0.096% | 1.2R | 20.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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