Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 65.92 HYPE at 59.365$ per unit. Take profit: 59.6077 (0.41 %) & Stop Loss: 59.2436 (0.2 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 65.92 HYPE at 59.365$ per unit. Take profit: 59.6077 (0.41 %) & Stop Loss: 59.2436 (0.2 %)
Position
Entry 59.365$
Qty 65.9181 HYPE
Size 3913.2251$ (margin 100$) (leverage 39)
Risk Setup
TP 59.6077 (+0.41%)
TP $ 16$
SL 59.2436 (-0.2%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9045
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.91×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.40×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 08:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.196676 |
1H_regime : bull_medium_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 17/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 17/08 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6134 | r1h: -0.336% · r4h: 0.124% · r1d: 3.90% · r3d: 6.09% · ema21_slope: 0.1837% · dist_ema21: 1.794% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5579 | rs_1h: -0.346% · rs_4h: -0.148% · rs_1d: 2.83% · rs_3d: 4.80% · beta_24h: 1.928 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8744 | rvol_20: 2.26× · zscore_50: 3.054 · trend: 94.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8258 | ADX: 39.1 (trend) · Chop: 24.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.715% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.081% | 0.4R | -0.863% | 4.2R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.081% | 0.4R | -0.991% | 4.8R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.345% | 1.7R | -0.991% | 4.8R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.345% | 1.7R | -1.693% | 8.3R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.345% | 1.7R | -1.693% | 8.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -4.20% | +0.62 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.51 | range_medium | -0.23% | +0.48 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | weak | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.52 | range_low | +0.62% | +0.29 | 17/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_low_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.46 | range_low | +0.63% | +0.05 | 17/08 07:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 3.143×ATR | p20 | +1.028×ATR | p60 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 5.471×ATR | p85 | +3.031×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 6.309×ATR | p93 | +2.301×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.71×ATR | p7 | +1.211×ATR | p55 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63481.5
0.00172392
63591
0.196676
0
0
63591
63241
0.00546976
63587
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0.1871
0.78
0.3915
0.69
0.4914
0.9359
0.8922
-1.1661
9.6483
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0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:16 | 59.36500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 08:21 | 59.33600000 | -0.049% |
| 3 | 08:27 | 59.30200000 | -0.106% |
| 4 | 08:33 | 59.20100000 | -0.276% |
| 5 | 08:39 | 59.10900000 | -0.431% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 05:55:00 | 58.668 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:55:00 | 59.647 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:20:00 | 59.128 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 08:50:00 | 59.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:10:00 | 59.264 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:45:00 | 59.316 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 09:55:00 | 59.316 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:15:00 | 59.149 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:10:00 | 59.874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:15:00 | 59.365 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 17:00:00 | 58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:15:00 | 57.395 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 19:15:00 | 57.931 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:15:00 | 57.021 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 03:45:00 | 59.176 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 05:45:00 | 58.668 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:45:00 | 59.647 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:45:00 | 59.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 59.874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:15:00 | 59.365 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 55.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 11:00:00 | 55.822 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 19:00:00 | 57.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 00:00:00 | 56.714 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 06:00:00 | 56.747 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 09:00:00 | 57.547 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 14:00:00 | 57.021 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 17:00:00 | 58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 57.021 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 59.874 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.365 | 59.2436 | 59.6077 | 2 | 81.27 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 59.2436 - 59.365 = -0.1214
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 59.365 - 59.6077 = -0.2427
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2427 / -0.1214 = 1.9992
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3913.2251 | 100 | 65.9181 | 39.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1214 = -65.9
Taille de position USD = -65.9 x 59.365 = -3912.15
Donc, tu peux acheter -65.9 avec un stoploss a 59.2436
Avec un position size USD de -3912.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -65.9 x -0.1214 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -65.9 x -0.2427 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.2 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.20 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.219 % | 107.09 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.365 | 59.2436 | 59.6077 | 2 | 81.27 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 59.2436 - 59.365 = -0.1214
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 59.365 - 59.6077 = -0.2427
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2427 / -0.1214 = 1.9992
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.081% | 0.4R | -0.863% | 4.2R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.081% | 0.4R | -0.991% | 4.8R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.345% | 1.7R | -0.991% | 4.8R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.345% | 1.7R | -1.693% | 8.3R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.345% | 1.7R | -1.693% | 8.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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