Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 3.04 ETH at 1898.5$ per unit. Take profit: 1903.7701 (0.28 %) & Stop Loss: 1895.865 (0.14 %)
Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 3.04 ETH at 1898.5$ per unit. Take profit: 1903.7701 (0.28 %) & Stop Loss: 1895.865 (0.14 %)
Position
Entry 1898.5$
Qty 3.036 ETH
Size 5763.8657$ (margin 100$) (leverage 58)
Risk Setup
TP 1903.7701 (+0.28%)
TP $ 16$
SL 1895.865 (-0.14%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6112
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.62×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.59×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 8.20×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 08:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.838125 15m : 0.815306 |
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+2) 17/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 17/08 08:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5381 | r1h: -0.037% · r4h: 0.284% · r1d: 1.35% · r3d: 1.49% · ema21_slope: 0.0562% · dist_ema21: 0.637% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5035 | rs_1h: -0.046% · rs_4h: 0.012% · rs_1d: 0.28% · rs_3d: 0.20% · beta_24h: 1.342 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2306 | rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.146 · trend: -19.70% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7493 | ADX: 29.9 (trend) · Chop: 28.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.384% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.427% | 3.1R | -0.158% | 1.1R | 2.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.511% | 3.7R | -0.158% | 1.1R | 3.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.853% | 6.2R | -0.158% | 1.1R | 5.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.853% | 6.2R | -0.158% | 1.1R | 5.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.022% | 7.4R | -0.158% | 1.1R | 6.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_high |
34%
|
noisy_chop 27% | late | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -4.08% | -0.05 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -1.6ATR | 0.86 | range_medium | -0.23% | +0.07 | 17/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_low |
35%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.82 | range_low | +0.48% | +0.01 | 17/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.81 | range_low | +0.41% | -0.02 | 17/08 08:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 52b | — | 8.508×ATR | p92 | +0.549×ATR | p37 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 2.726×ATR | p28 | +1.733×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 1.563×ATR | p2 | +0.895×ATR | p63 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.917×ATR | p47 | -0.495×ATR | p21 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63495.1
0.000752949
63543
0.838125
63275.5
0.00422708
63543
0.815306
63241
0.00546976
63587
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1890.7
195
0.7057
0.69
0.35
0.2226
0.4542
0.4799
0.4168
0.7572
0.6442
0.904
0.7215
0.7972
0.0951
0.0638
1
0.9658
1.712
0.5
0.5
1
6
1
0.5548
0.6612
6.1079
0.55
0.4799
2.9312
1.712
0.4795
0.3009
0.84
1.6482
0.6101
0.4443
0.8598
0.7972
-1.2661
4.9767
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:30 | 1898.50000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:18 | 1895.80000000 | -0.142% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 05:20:00 | 1903.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 1897.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 1911 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:20:00 | 1890.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 08:50:00 | 1891.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:15:00 | 1896.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:20:00 | 1891.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:45:00 | 1908.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 11:45:00 | 1907.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:25:00 | 1897.9 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 22:30:00 | 1868.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 00:15:00 | 1871.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 02:45:00 | 1906.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 04:15:00 | 1904 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 1897.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 1911 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:15:00 | 1890.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:15:00 | 1891.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:45:00 | 1908.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:15:00 | 1897.9 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 14:00:00 | 1863.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 16:00:00 | 1887.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 03:00:00 | 1885.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 09:00:00 | 1875.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 17:00:00 | 1885.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 01:00:00 | 1876.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 1891.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 1868.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 06:00:00 | 1911 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:00:00 | 1890.7 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1898.5 | 1895.865 | 1903.7701 | 2 | 2410.8 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1895.865 - 1898.5 = -2.635
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1898.5 - 1903.7701 = -5.2701
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.2701 / -2.635 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5763.8657 | 100 | 3.036 | 58.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.635 = -3.04
Taille de position USD = -3.04 x 1898.5 = -5771.44
Donc, tu peux acheter -3.04 avec un stoploss a 1895.865
Avec un position size USD de -5771.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3.04 x -2.635 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3.04 x -5.2701 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.28 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.14 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1475 % | 106.27 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1898.5 | 1895.865 | 1903.7701 | 2 | 2410.8 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1895.865 - 1898.5 = -2.635
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1898.5 - 1903.7701 = -5.2701
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.2701 / -2.635 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.427% | 3.1R | -0.158% | 1.1R | 2.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.511% | 3.7R | -0.158% | 1.1R | 3.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.853% | 6.2R | -0.158% | 1.1R | 5.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.853% | 6.2R | -0.158% | 1.1R | 5.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.022% | 7.4R | -0.158% | 1.1R | 6.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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