Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 29812.92 XPL at 0.0765$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07705 (0.69 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07625 (0.35 %)
Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 29812.92 XPL at 0.0765$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07705 (0.69 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07625 (0.35 %)
Position
Entry 0.07652$
Qty 29812.9239 XPL
Size 2281.1657$ (margin 100$) (leverage 23)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07705 (+0.69%)
TP $ 15.8$
SL 0.07625 (-0.35%)
SL $ 8.05$
RR 1.96
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3617
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.01×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.82×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.32×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 08:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.182895 15m : 0.252627 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 17/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 17/08 08:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4778 | r1h: -0.113% · r4h: -0.371% · r1d: -1.53% · r3d: 2.20% · ema21_slope: 0.0104% · dist_ema21: 0.627% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4566 | rs_1h: -0.122% · rs_4h: -0.644% · rs_1d: -2.60% · rs_3d: 0.91% · beta_24h: 1.404 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1504 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.749 · trend: -49.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6313 | ADX: 17.7 (weak) · Chop: 40.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.886% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.084% | 0.2R | -0.533% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.084% | 0.2R | -0.725% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.789% | 2.2R | -0.725% | 2.1R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.192% | 3.4R | -0.891% | 2.5R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.192% | 3.4R | -0.891% | 2.5R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -4.08% | -0.67 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.41 | range_medium | -0.27% | +0.32 | 17/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.38 | range_low | +0.48% | -0.05 | 17/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -1.4ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.45% | -0.06 | 17/08 08:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 44b | — | 8.282×ATR | p91 | -0.223×ATR | p10 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.968×ATR | p0 | +0.183×ATR | p12 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 4.274×ATR | p85 | +0.519×ATR | p33 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.65×ATR | p39 | -0.873×ATR | p38 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63497.8
0.000489892
63529
0.182895
63276
0.00466078
63571
0.252627
63240.7
0.0051753
63568
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185
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0.0724
0.0253
1
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0.109
0.6
0.4
-1
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1
0.4978
0.2087
3.6321
0.6
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0.2091
0.42
-0.1886
0.4997
0.4964
0
0.5999
-3.4458
5.1658
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:39 | 0.07651600 | -0.005% |
| 2 | 08:51 | 0.07647100 | -0.064% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 07:55:00 | 0.077533 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:25:00 | 0.077438 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:50:00 | 0.07673 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:20:00 | 0.076751 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 09:30:00 | 0.077257 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:05:00 | 0.076798 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:30:00 | 0.077331 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 11:35:00 | 0.076543 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:50:00 | 0.077438 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:35:00 | 0.076516 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 16:15:00 | 0.077276 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 18:00:00 | 0.076316 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.073885 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 01:00:00 | 0.075628 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 02:00:00 | 0.075015 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:30:00 | 0.075953 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:45:00 | 0.077533 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:45:00 | 0.07673 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:30:00 | 0.076543 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:45:00 | 0.077438 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 0.073546 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 22:00:00 | 0.075494 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 08:00:00 | 0.073551 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 0.077425 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-14 22:00:00 | 0.075218 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-15 10:00:00 | 0.078341 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 23:00:00 | 0.075368 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 09:00:00 | 0.078969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 22:00:00 | 0.073885 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 07:00:00 | 0.077533 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07652 | 0.07625 | 0.07705 | 1.96 | 0.08057 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07625 - 0.07652 = -0.00027000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07652 - 0.07705 = -0.00052999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00052999999999999 / -0.00027000000000001 = 1.963
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2281.1657 | 100 | 29812.9239 | 23.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00027000000000001 = -29629.63
Taille de position USD = -29629.63 x 0.07652 = -2267.26
Donc, tu peux acheter -29629.63 avec un stoploss a 0.07625
Avec un position size USD de -2267.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -29629.63 x -0.00027000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -29629.63 x -0.00052999999999999 = 15.7
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.7$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.69 % | 15.8 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.35 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.05 $ | -0.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5332 % | 151.13 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07652 | 0.07625 | 0.07705 | 1.96 | 0.08057 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07625 - 0.07652 = -0.00027000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07652 - 0.07705 = -0.00052999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00052999999999999 / -0.00027000000000001 = 1.963
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.084% | 0.2R | -0.533% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.084% | 0.2R | -0.725% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.789% | 2.2R | -0.725% | 2.1R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.192% | 3.4R | -0.891% | 2.5R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.192% | 3.4R | -0.891% | 2.5R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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