Short Trade on FET (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2681.64 FET at 0.12$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1173 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1233 (2.49 %)
17 Aug 2026 at 09:10:04
hyperliquid
FET
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
17 Aug 2026 09:10
→ 11:50
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.1203$
Qty 2681.6392 FET
Size 322.6816$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1173 (+2.49%)
TP $ 8.04$
SL 0.1233 (-2.49%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 1
Status
loss
PnL
-2.49%
/ -8.05$
MAE -3.18%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
17 Aug 15:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 72264)
#28 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 17/08/2026 09:00
score du 17/08/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3364
Quality Score
0.506
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
17/08 09:01
17/08 09:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#28 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#28 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 09:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 17/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 17/08 08:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1592
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.87
Transition risk :
0.13
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.92
Snapshot évalué :
17/08 09:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
17/08/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.5056
Score SMA
0.5077
Rank
#28
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3364
Rank Norm SMA
0.5245
Calculé le
17/08/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3441 | r1h: -0.728% · r4h: 0.418% · r1d: -2.87% · r3d: -11.72% · ema21_slope: -0.1318% · dist_ema21: -1.594% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3215 | rs_1h: -0.626% · rs_4h: 0.128% · rs_1d: -3.74% · rs_3d: -13.00% · beta_24h: 1.678 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5823 | rvol_20: 1.37× · zscore_50: 1.003 · trend: 81.95% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7035 | ADX: 41.7 (trend) · Chop: 56.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.055% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.494%
(0.0030)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.879% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.153% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.810% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.175% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.175% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.458% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -4.08% | -0.88 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | — | 0.53 | range_medium | -0.27% | -0.87 | 17/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.39 | range_low | +0.40% | -0.38 | 17/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near 0.5ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.39% | -0.03 | 17/08 08:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 5.238×ATR | p61 | -2.81×ATR | p97 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 8.16×ATR | p96 | -2.495×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 0.577×ATR | p0 | -1.461×ATR | p68 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.8×ATR | p3 | -0.495×ATR | p29 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.12331325
- tp_price: 0.11732175
- atr: 0.0011933
- expires_at: 2026-08-17T19:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 46
- total: 46
- score: 0.3441
- delta_2h: -0.0153
- extension_atr: -1.18
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3364
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1203 | 0.1233 | 0.1173 | 1 | 0.1951 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1203
- Stop Loss: 0.1233
- Take Profit: 0.1173
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1233 - 0.1203 = 0.003
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1203 - 0.1173 = 0.003
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.003 / 0.003 = 1
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 322.6816 | 100 | 2681.6392 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.003
Taille de position = 8 / 0.003 = 2666.67
Taille de position USD = 2666.67 x 0.1203 = 320.8
Donc, tu peux acheter 2666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.1233
Avec un position size USD de 320.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2666.67 x 0.003 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2666.67 x 0.003 = 8
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2666.67
- Taille de position USD 320.8
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 8
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 8.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.05 $ | -2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.8096 % | 112.66 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1203 | 0.1233 | 0.1173 | 1 | 0.1951 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1203
- Stop Loss: 0.1233
- Take Profit: 0.1173
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1233 - 0.1203 = 0.003
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1203 - 0.1173 = 0.003
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.003 / 0.003 = 1
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1173
[entry_price] => 0.1203
[stop_loss] => 0.1236
[rr_ratio] => 0.91
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 15:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1173
[entry_price] => 0.1203
[stop_loss] => 0.1239
[rr_ratio] => 0.83
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-17 17:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.494%
(0.0030)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.879% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.153% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.810% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.175% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.175% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.458% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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