Short Trade on MON (BosPullback)
With 40526.85 MON at 0.0201$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01977 (1.64 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0203 (1 %)
Short Trade on MON (BosPullback)
With 40526.85 MON at 0.0201$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01977 (1.64 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0203 (1 %)
Position
Entry 0.0201$
Qty 40526.849 MON
Size 814.7518$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 0.01977 (+1.64%)
TP $ 13.37$
SL 0.0203 (-1%)
SL $ 8.11$
RR 1.65
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4148
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.64×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.07×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.33×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 09:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 17/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 17/08 08:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3935 | r1h: -0.104% · r4h: 0.589% · r1d: -3.65% · r3d: -4.65% · ema21_slope: -0.1695% · dist_ema21: -0.753% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4002 | rs_1h: -0.002% · rs_4h: 0.298% · rs_1d: -4.52% · rs_3d: -5.94% · beta_24h: 1.774 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2484 | rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -0.550 · trend: 13.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7086 | ADX: 31.6 (trend) · Chop: 45.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.997% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.348% | 0.4R | -0.423% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.348% | 0.4R | -0.925% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.348% | 0.4R | -5.119% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.348% | 0.4R | -5.119% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.348% | 0.4R | -8.955% | 9.0R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -4.08% | -0.47 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.40 | range_medium | -0.27% | -0.56 | 17/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.36 | range_low | +0.40% | -0.42 | 17/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.17 | range_low | +0.47% | +0.01 | 17/08 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.102×ATR | p32 | -1.062×ATR | p63 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 29b | — | 6.944×ATR | p94 | -2.325×ATR | p93 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.07×ATR | p36 | -0.676×ATR | p51 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 4.685×ATR | p78 | +0.677×ATR | p40 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.019722
145
0.2567
0.7177
0.3697
0.2521
0.4658
1
0.3625
0.369
0.2852
0.856
0.7697
0.1495
-0.1326
-0.1142
0
-0.8718
-2.3965
0.3
0.7
-1
4
1
0.4958
0.8023
2.7918
0.7
1.8182
2.9617
-2.3965
0.2068
0.2802
0.76
1.6882
0.6556
0.3994
0.9272
0.1495
-10.7983
1.8983
1
1
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0.5291
0.020327
0.019974
0.0201505
0.8942
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:10 | 0.02010400 | +0.02% |
| 2 | 09:22 | 0.02004400 | -0.279% |
| 3 | 09:28 | 0.02004400 | -0.279% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0201 | 0.0203 | 0.01977 | 1.65 | 0.02228 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0203 - 0.0201 = 0.0002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0201 - 0.01977 = 0.00033
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00033 / 0.0002 = 1.65
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 814.7518 | 100 | 40526.849 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0002 = 40000
Taille de position USD = 40000 x 0.0201 = 804
Donc, tu peux acheter 40000 avec un stoploss a 0.0203
Avec un position size USD de 804$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 40000 x 0.0002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 40000 x 0.00033 = 13.2
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 13.2$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.64 % | 13.37 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1 % | 8.11 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.11 $ | -1.00 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0398 % | 104.5 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0201 | 0.0203 | 0.01977 | 1.65 | 0.02228 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0203 - 0.0201 = 0.0002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0201 - 0.01977 = 0.00033
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00033 / 0.0002 = 1.65
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.348% | 0.4R | -0.423% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.348% | 0.4R | -0.925% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.348% | 0.4R | -5.119% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.348% | 0.4R | -5.119% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.348% | 0.4R | -8.955% | 9.0R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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