Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 684.9 LIT at 2.33$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3538 (1 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3187 (0.5 %)
Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 684.9 LIT at 2.33$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3538 (1 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3187 (0.5 %)
Position
Entry 2.3304$
Qty 684.8975 LIT
Size 1596.0851$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 2.3538 (+1%)
TP $ 16.03$
SL 2.3187 (-0.5%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7526
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.23×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.07×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.32×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 10:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.022164 15m : 0.243821 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5269 | r1h: -0.855% · r4h: -0.349% · r1d: 0.88% · r3d: 5.88% · ema21_slope: 0.1383% · dist_ema21: 0.139% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4756 | rs_1h: -1.004% · rs_4h: -0.875% · rs_1d: -0.03% · rs_3d: 4.32% · beta_24h: 2.232 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5484 | rvol_20: 1.56× · zscore_50: 1.504 · trend: 8.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7413 | ADX: 32.1 (trend) · Chop: 41.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.107% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.811% | 1.6R | -0.652% | 1.3R | 1.2× | 11 |
| 2h | +1.562% | 3.1R | -0.652% | 1.3R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.562% | 3.1R | -0.652% | 1.3R | 2.4× | 47 |
| 8h | +1.562% | 3.1R | -0.652% | 1.3R | 2.4× | 95 |
| 12h | +1.562% | 3.1R | -1.596% | 3.2R | 1.0× | 143 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -4.08% | +0.30 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near 0.1ATR | near 0.1ATR | 0.29 | range_medium | -0.40% | +0.40 | 17/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.26 | range_low | +0.52% | -0.03 | 17/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.21 | range_low | +0.42% | -0.07 | 17/08 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 2.472×ATR | p0 | +0.683×ATR | p40 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 18b | — | 2.837×ATR | p38 | +0.89×ATR | p57 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0.629×ATR | p2 | +0.26×ATR | p17 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.623×ATR | p43 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63517.8
0.00159176
63619
-0.022164
63315.2
0.00479754
63619
0.243821
63216
0.00621662
63609
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2.382
197
0.7152
0.5809
0.3612
0.2212
0.4758
0.9141
0.4463
0.5272
0.6645
0.9251
0.6554
0.5988
0.0898
0.0704
1
0.0776
0.9653
0.55
0.45
1
8
1
0.5576
0.4521
4.6238
0.55
0.9141
1.9752
0.9653
0.7811
0.1975
0.94
0.2417
0.5336
0.5716
0.8797
0.5988
-3.5243
5.259
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 09:15:00 | 2.3453 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:05:00 | 2.3598 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 10:20:00 | 2.3342 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:35:00 | 2.3479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:55:00 | 2.382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 12:10:00 | 2.352 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 12:55:00 | 2.371 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 13:05:00 | 2.3448 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 13:30:00 | 2.3602 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 14:00:00 | 2.3296 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 16:45:00 | 2.3608 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 19:00:00 | 2.3139 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-16 21:00:00 | 2.337 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 23:15:00 | 2.2725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:15:00 | 2.3867 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 06:45:00 | 2.3817 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 08:30:00 | 2.332 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 10:15:00 | 2.3342 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 11:45:00 | 2.382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 14:00:00 | 2.3296 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 03:00:00 | 2.2065 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 15:00:00 | 2.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-14 18:00:00 | 2.2625 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 05:00:00 | 2.3149 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-15 16:00:00 | 2.2772 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 03:00:00 | 2.3238 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 16:00:00 | 2.3608 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-16 23:00:00 | 2.2725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-17 05:00:00 | 2.3867 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-17 11:00:00 | 2.382 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3304 | 2.3187 | 2.3538 | 2 | 2.9674 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3187 - 2.3304 = -0.0117
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3304 - 2.3538 = -0.0234
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0234 / -0.0117 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1596.0851 | 100 | 684.8975 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0117 = -683.76
Taille de position USD = -683.76 x 2.3304 = -1593.43
Donc, tu peux acheter -683.76 avec un stoploss a 2.3187
Avec un position size USD de -1593.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -683.76 x -0.0117 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -683.76 x -0.0234 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1 % | 16.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6522 % | 129.89 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3304 | 2.3187 | 2.3538 | 2 | 2.9674 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3187 - 2.3304 = -0.0117
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3304 - 2.3538 = -0.0234
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0234 / -0.0117 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.811% | 1.6R | -0.652% | 1.3R | 1.2× | 11 |
| 2h | +1.562% | 3.1R | -0.652% | 1.3R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.562% | 3.1R | -0.652% | 1.3R | 2.4× | 47 |
| 8h | +1.562% | 3.1R | -0.652% | 1.3R | 2.4× | 95 |
| 12h | +1.562% | 3.1R | -1.596% | 3.2R | 1.0× | 143 |
computed 1 month ago
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