Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 442.68 ETHFI at 0.505$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5177 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.487 (3.58 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 442.68 ETHFI at 0.505$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5177 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.487 (3.58 %)
Position
Entry 0.5051$
Qty 442.6801 ETHFI
Size 223.5977$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5177 (+2.49%)
TP $ 5.58$
SL 0.487 (-3.58%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.7
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8168
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.23×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.46×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 17/08 10:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 16/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 17/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 17/08 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7082 | r1h: 0.640% · r4h: 1.545% · r1d: 2.02% · r3d: 16.82% · ema21_slope: 0.0677% · dist_ema21: 0.265% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6805 | rs_1h: 0.490% · rs_4h: 1.019% · rs_1d: 1.11% · rs_3d: 15.26% · beta_24h: 2.043 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3273 | rvol_20: 1.08× · zscore_50: 0.091 · trend: -28.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5946 | ADX: 31.1 (trend) · Chop: 58.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.527% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.724% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.047% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.669% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.259% | 0.1R | -3.669% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 71 |
| 8h | +0.259% | 0.1R | -3.669% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.259% | 0.1R | -3.669% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -4.08% | +0.96 | 16/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.33 | range_medium | -0.40% | +0.84 | 17/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.26 | range_low | +0.52% | -0.16 | 17/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.49% | -0.05 | 17/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 4.831×ATR | p67 | +2.368×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 35b | — | 9.267×ATR | p100 | +1.597×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.709×ATR | p9 | +0.179×ATR | p9 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.171×ATR | p32 | +0.754×ATR | p60 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5051 | 0.487 | 0.5177 | 0.7 | 0.5996 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.487 - 0.5051 = -0.0181
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5051 - 0.5177 = -0.0126
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0126 / -0.0181 = 0.6961
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 223.5977 | 100 | 442.6801 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0181 = -441.99
Taille de position USD = -441.99 x 0.5051 = -223.25
Donc, tu peux acheter -441.99 avec un stoploss a 0.487
Avec un position size USD de -223.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -441.99 x -0.0181 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -441.99 x -0.0126 = 5.57
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.57$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 5.58 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.58 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -3.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.6686 % | 102.38 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5051 | 0.487 | 0.5177 | 0.7 | 0.5996 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.487 - 0.5051 = -0.0181
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5051 - 0.5177 = -0.0126
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0126 / -0.0181 = 0.6961
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.724% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.047% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.669% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.259% | 0.1R | -3.669% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 71 |
| 8h | +0.259% | 0.1R | -3.669% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.259% | 0.1R | -3.669% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.